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SUNNY OPTICAL(2382.HK):2025 PROFIT ALERT BEAT EXCLUDING ONE-OFFS
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-01 06:37
Company Overview - Sunny Optical issued a positive profit alert for 2025, projecting net profit between RMB4,588.6 million and RMB4,723.5 million, representing a 70.0% to 75.0% year-on-year increase, with the mid-point exceeding estimates by 32%–35% [1] - The profit increase is driven by improvements in smartphone mix and investment income from Goertek Optical, with adjusted net income expected to be RMB3.67 billion to RMB3.80 billion, a 5-9% beat compared to consensus estimates [1] Industry Context - The smartphone industry is expected to face challenges in 2026, with memory prices continuing to rise, leading to potential downward adjustments in global smartphone shipments and OEM's gross profit margins due to increased BOM costs [2] - Despite Sunny Optical's focus on higher-end Android models and a growing presence in Apple, a decline in global smartphone shipments and supply chain margin compression is anticipated [2] Strategic Developments - Sunny Optical filed for an IPO of its vehicle-related optical business, Sunny Smart Autotech, which includes automotive lenses, camera modules, LiDAR, HUD, and smart lamp businesses, aiming to attract strategic investors and enhance shareholder value [2] - A joint venture with Goertek Group was established, transferring equity interest in Shanghai OmniLight, which strengthens Sunny's supply capabilities within the AR ecosystem and allows for shared development costs [3] Market Sentiment - The market sentiment towards consumer electronics is expected to remain cautious due to ongoing memory supply consumption by AI capital expenditures, despite the positive profit alert from Sunny Optical [1] - The recent layoffs at Meta Reality Lab, which downsized by approximately 1,500 employees, may negatively impact Sunny Optical's near-term XR business, as the company has a higher revenue contribution from VR compared to AR/AI glasses [4]