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XINYI GLASS(00868.HK):DEEP PROCESSING BUSINESS UNDERPINS EARNINGS; WATCH FOR MARGINAL RECOVERY IN FLOAT GLASS
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-03 18:24
Core Viewpoint - Xinyi Glass reported a decline in revenue and net profit for 1H25, primarily due to weak demand in the float glass and architectural glass sectors, although automotive glass earnings showed resilience [1][2]. Financial Performance - Revenue for 1H25 decreased by 9.7% YoY to Rmb9.8 billion, with net profit attributable to shareholders falling 59.6% YoY to Rmb1 billion [1]. - Automotive glass revenue increased by 10.6% YoY to Rmb3.3 billion, with gross margin rising by 5.0 percentage points YoY to 54.5% [2]. - Float glass revenue dropped by 16.4% YoY to Rmb5.4 billion, with the industry average selling price (ASP) declining by 28% YoY to Rmb1,329 per ton [3]. Cost and Expenses - The firm's expense ratio increased by 2.4 percentage points YoY to 18.6%, with selling expenses rising by 1.6 percentage points YoY to 6.7%, attributed to higher US import tariffs [4]. - The effective tax rate rose by 5-6 percentage points YoY, linked to a decrease in earnings from associates [4]. Capital Expenditure and Dividends - Capital expenditure fell by 81% YoY to Rmb1 billion, primarily for investments in new industrial parks in China and Indonesia [5]. - An interim dividend of HK$0.125 per share was proposed, with a payout ratio of approximately 49% and a dividend yield of 3.3% [5]. Industry Outlook - The float glass industry is expected to adjust supply through cold repairs, with potential cost increases for highly polluting fuels possibly improving earnings [5]. - The company's focus on deep engagement in the automotive glass aftermarket and expansion into the OEM segment may provide stability to overall earnings [5]. Financial Forecasts - The 2025 EPS forecast was cut by 21% to Rmb0.52, while the 2026 EPS forecast remains at Rmb0.68, reflecting pressures on the float glass business [5]. - The target price is maintained at HK$8.5, implying a 15x 2025e and 11x 2026e P/E ratio, with a 5% upside potential [5].