September 5, 2025 02:53 PM GMT Greater China Materials | Asia Pacific Weekly Monitor: Anti-involution Wind Blows to Glass Fiber Industry Key Takeaways Base metals: Shanghai copper prices inched up 0.8% WoW while inventories rose 2.6% WoW. Shanghai aluminum prices edged down 0.3% WoW; inventories trended down by 1.2% WoW. Battery metals: Domestic industrial- and battery-grade lithium hydroxide both declined 1.5% WoW. Industrial- and battery-grade lithium carbonate prices saw 6.4% and 6.3% WoW cuts, respectiv ...

Accessible version Basic Materials - China Solid copper/gold price on rates cut expectation; lithium price down Industry Overview Metals: solid copper/gold price on rates cut expectation During the week, LME copper price was +1.1% WoW to US$9,822/t and China price was +0.6% WoW to RMB79,450/t (Changjiang price) on rates cut expectation. SHFE copper inventory was -5% WoW to 82kt; LME copper inventory was +0.1% WoW to 156kt; COMEX copper inventory was +2% WoW to 271kt. LME aluminum price was -0.3% WoW to US$2 ...

Core Insights - Corning's Q2 2025 earnings report showed strong performance with adjusted earnings and revenues exceeding estimates, driven by growth in optical communication and Gen-AI applications [2][3][4] Financial Performance - Net income for Q2 2025 was $469 million or 54 cents per share, a significant increase from $104 million or 12 cents in the same quarter last year [3] - Core earnings rose to $523 million or 60 cents per share, up from $407 million or 47 cents year-over-year, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3 cents [3] - Total net sales reached $3.86 billion, up from $3.25 billion in the prior year, with core sales increasing 12% to $4.04 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $3.85 billion [4] Segment Performance - Optical Communications segment generated $1.56 billion in revenues, a 41% year-over-year increase, with enterprise sales driven by Gen-AI products growing 81% [5] - Display Technologies reported revenues of $898 million, down 11% year-over-year, missing revenue estimates [6] - Specialty Materials saw revenues of $545 million, up 9% year-over-year, exceeding estimates [6] - Automotive segment contributed $460 million in net sales, a slight decrease from the previous year, but net income increased by 11% [7] - Life Sciences segment revenues were stable at $250 million, with a 6% increase in net income [8] Profitability Metrics - Quarterly gross profit increased to $1.39 billion from $949 million, with gross margins improving to 36% from 29.2% [10] - Operating income rose to $573 million from $186 million year-over-year, with core gross margin at 38.4% [10] Cash Flow and Liquidity - Corning generated $708 million in net cash from operations, up from $521 million in the prior year [11] - As of June 30, 2025, the company had $1.49 billion in cash and cash equivalents against $6.71 billion in long-term debt [11] Future Outlook - For Q3 2025, core sales are projected at $4.2 billion, with core EPS expected in the range of 63-67 cents [12] - Estimates for the stock have been trending upward, indicating a positive outlook for the coming months [13][15]

证券代码：601636 证券简称：旗滨集团 公告编号：2025-083 可转债代码：113047 可转债简称：旗滨转债 株洲旗滨集团股份有限公司 "提质增效重回报"行动方案 2025 年半年度评估报告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 为持续践行"以投资者为本"的发展理念，巩固株洲旗滨集团股份有限公司 （以下简称"公司"）"提质增效重回报"行动成效，推动公司高质量发展，现 将该行动方案 2025 年上半年实施进展及评估情况报告如下： 一、强化战略引领，提升主营业务核心竞争力 （一）深化战略引领，锚定长期发展方向 行业趋势与内外部资源禀赋，制定并推出了《旗滨集团中长期战略发展规划纲要 （2025-2030 年）》，构建了新一轮战略发展体系。确立"聚焦主业和优势领域， 以科技创新引领为核心，加速新质生产力培育，向高端化、智能化、绿色化发展， 构建产品领先、技术领先、成本领先核心竞争力"的战略目标，明确"强基工程" （2025-2026 年）实施路径，推动全产业技术突破与综合竞争力提升，为长期发 展筑牢根基。 （二）推 ...

Summary of Conference Call on Glass Industry Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the glass industry, specifically focusing on float glass and solar glass sectors in Greater China [1][6]. Key Points and Arguments Solar Glass Fundamentals - Solar glass supply has tightened since June due to industry-wide losses and declining demand, with maintenance on 9,700 tons per day (t/d) of capacity [2][10]. - Effective operating capacity has decreased to approximately 86,000 t/d, supporting about 45-46 gigawatts (GW) of monthly module production [2][10]. - Inventory levels have dropped to around 27 days, down from a peak of 36 days, due to reduced supply and restocking by module producers [21][23]. - Solar glass prices increased to Rmb10.5-11 per square meter (sqm) in August, driven by resilient module demand and reduced supply [2][22]. Float Glass Market Conditions - Float glass prices remain under pressure due to high supply and muted demand, with operating capacity at 159,000 t/d, down about 10% from the peak of 177,000 t/d in November 2021 [3][27]. - Demand from property developers is weak, with order days at processing plants at a multi-year low of 9.6 days as of the end of July [3][37]. - The industry is experiencing a significant decline in demand, with over 30% shrinkage in the same period [3]. Potential Anti-Involution Impact - The possibility of anti-involution in the glass sector is considered unlikely, but if implemented, it could occur through energy consumption controls, which would effectively reduce supply and potentially increase prices [4][43]. - Approximately 33.4% of float glass capacity still relies on coal, while smaller production lines account for 37% of overall capacity, which could be affected by stricter energy regulations [4][45]. - If anti-involution were to occur, it could lead to a significant reduction in supply for both float and solar glass, creating upward price pressure [4][57]. Stock Implications and Price Targets - The analysis maintains an underweight (UW) rating on float glass companies like Xinyi Glass and Kibing due to ongoing price pressures [5]. - An overweight (OW) rating is maintained on Xinyi Solar and Flat Glass, with price targets raised to reflect improved industry fundamentals and potential anti-involution impacts [5][66]. - Price targets for various companies were adjusted, including: - Xinyi Solar: from HK$3.10 to HK$3.50 - Flat Glass Group: from Rmb19.40 to Rmb20.10 - Xinyi Glass: from HK$6.70 to HK$7.00 - Kibing Group: from Rmb4.50 to Rmb4.90 [5][66]. Earnings Estimates Adjustments - Earnings estimates for Xinyi Solar and Flat Glass were updated to reflect actual earnings and market conditions, with EPS estimates raised by 16% for 2025 [59][66]. - For Kibing Glass, EPS estimates for 2026 and 2027 were increased by 77% and 23%, respectively, due to improved market conditions [73]. Other Important Insights - The glass industry is currently facing a challenging environment with high supply and low demand, particularly in the float glass segment [3][38]. - The potential for anti-involution policies could significantly alter market dynamics, but the likelihood of such measures being implemented remains low [43][57]. - The overall sentiment in the glass market is cautious, with producers facing ongoing challenges related to profitability and inventory management [3][22].

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry Focus**: Greater China Materials, specifically in the Asia Pacific region [1] - **Market Sentiment**: The industry view is considered attractive by Morgan Stanley [6] Price Movements and Inventory Changes Base Metals - **Copper**: Prices decreased by 1.5% week-over-week (WoW), with inventories down by 1.2% WoW [2] - **Aluminum**: Prices fell by 1.3% WoW, while inventories increased by 1.5% WoW [2] - **Gold**: Price decreased by 1.4% WoW, settling at US$3,290 per ounce [2] Battery Metals - **Lithium Hydroxide**: Prices for industrial-grade and battery-grade lithium hydroxide rose by 9.4% and 8.5% WoW, respectively [2] - **Lithium Carbonate**: Prices for industrial-grade and battery-grade lithium carbonate increased by 1.5% and 2.1% WoW, respectively [2] Steel - **HRC and CRC Prices**: Shanghai HRC prices increased by 0.9% WoW, while CRC prices decreased by 0.2% WoW [3] - **Rebar**: Prices rose by 2.3% WoW [3] - **Long Steel Inventories**: Increased by 3.3% WoW [3] Cement and Coal - **Cement Prices**: Decreased by 0.6% WoW to Rmb323 per ton [3] - **Coal Prices**: QHD5500 coal prices increased by 0.5% WoW to Rmb665 per ton, with inventories dropping by 10.8% WoW [3] Glass - **Glass Fiber Prices**: Average prices declined by 1.3% WoW to Rmb3,850 per ton [4] - **Float Glass Prices**: Increased by 2.8% WoW to Rmb1,317 per ton [4] Regulatory Environment - **NDRC Initiatives**: The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) is promoting a unified national market and aims to eliminate 'involution-style' competition [8] - **CISA Recommendations**: The China Iron and Steel Association (CISA) emphasized the need for regional and product self-discipline, urging enterprises to control production and stabilize prices [8] Analyst Insights - **Analyst Team**: The report includes insights from multiple equity analysts at Morgan Stanley, indicating a collaborative approach to research [5] - **Investment Banking Relationships**: Morgan Stanley has disclosed its investment banking relationships with several companies in the materials sector, which may influence research objectivity [6][18] Stock Ratings - **Coverage Universe**: The report lists various companies within the Greater China Materials sector, with ratings ranging from Overweight to Underweight [62][64] - **Notable Companies**: Companies such as Aluminum Corp. of China Ltd. and Ganfeng Lithium Co. Ltd. are highlighted with their respective ratings [62][64] Conclusion - The Greater China Materials sector is experiencing mixed price movements across various commodities, with regulatory efforts aimed at stabilizing the market. Analysts maintain an attractive outlook for the industry, supported by ongoing price adjustments and inventory management strategies.

Core Viewpoint - Xinyi Glass reported a decline in revenue and net profit for 1H25, primarily due to weak demand in the float glass and architectural glass sectors, although automotive glass earnings showed resilience [1][2]. Financial Performance - Revenue for 1H25 decreased by 9.7% YoY to Rmb9.8 billion, with net profit attributable to shareholders falling 59.6% YoY to Rmb1 billion [1]. - Automotive glass revenue increased by 10.6% YoY to Rmb3.3 billion, with gross margin rising by 5.0 percentage points YoY to 54.5% [2]. - Float glass revenue dropped by 16.4% YoY to Rmb5.4 billion, with the industry average selling price (ASP) declining by 28% YoY to Rmb1,329 per ton [3]. Cost and Expenses - The firm's expense ratio increased by 2.4 percentage points YoY to 18.6%, with selling expenses rising by 1.6 percentage points YoY to 6.7%, attributed to higher US import tariffs [4]. - The effective tax rate rose by 5-6 percentage points YoY, linked to a decrease in earnings from associates [4]. Capital Expenditure and Dividends - Capital expenditure fell by 81% YoY to Rmb1 billion, primarily for investments in new industrial parks in China and Indonesia [5]. - An interim dividend of HK$0.125 per share was proposed, with a payout ratio of approximately 49% and a dividend yield of 3.3% [5]. Industry Outlook - The float glass industry is expected to adjust supply through cold repairs, with potential cost increases for highly polluting fuels possibly improving earnings [5]. - The company's focus on deep engagement in the automotive glass aftermarket and expansion into the OEM segment may provide stability to overall earnings [5]. Financial Forecasts - The 2025 EPS forecast was cut by 21% to Rmb0.52, while the 2026 EPS forecast remains at Rmb0.68, reflecting pressures on the float glass business [5]. - The target price is maintained at HK$8.5, implying a 15x 2025e and 11x 2026e P/E ratio, with a 5% upside potential [5].

Core Insights - Corning Incorporated (NYSE: GLW) is scheduled to report its earnings on July 29, 2025, with historical data indicating a tendency for negative one-day returns post-earnings announcements, occurring in 60% of cases [2][3] Financial Performance - Analysts project earnings of $0.57 per share on revenues of $3.84 billion for the upcoming quarter, showing an improvement from the previous year's earnings of $0.47 per share on revenues of $3.60 billion [3] - Corning has an estimated market capitalization of around $48 billion, with $14 billion in revenue generated over the past twelve months, operational profits of $1.3 billion, and a net income of $454 million [4] Historical Earnings Reaction - Over the past five years, Corning has recorded 20 earnings data points, with 8 positive and 12 negative one-day returns, resulting in positive returns approximately 40% of the time [6] - The median of the 8 positive returns is 3.9%, while the median of the 12 negative returns is -3.1% [6] Post-Earnings Return Analysis - The correlation between short-term (1D) and medium-term (5D, 21D) returns can guide trading strategies, with a focus on pairs that show the strongest correlation [7] - Historical data indicates that the correlation between 1D and 5D returns can be utilized for positioning trades following earnings announcements [7] Competitor Influence - The performance of competitors can impact Corning's post-earnings stock response, with pricing effects potentially starting before the earnings announcement [8]

Summary of Conference Call on Float Glass Industry Industry Overview - **Industry**: Float Glass - **Region**: Greater China Materials, Asia Pacific Key Takeaways 1. **Price Movement**: Float glass prices have increased due to improved market sentiment, with future prices rising from Rmb980/ton in early July to Rmb1307/ton as of July 24, 2025, driven by expectations of anti-involution actions [11][1][2] 2. **Inventory Changes**: Total inventory at future-spot traders rose from 0.7 million weight cases in late May to 2.16 million weight cases currently, while traditional float glass inventory decreased from 60.6 million weight cases in mid-June to 53 million weight cases [11][1][2] 3. **Market Dynamics**: Despite the price increase, demand remains muted, with order days from processing plants at a multi-year low of 9.3 days, indicating a mismatch between supply and demand [2][3][1] 4. **Profit Margins**: The slight recovery in spot glass prices has led to a marginal improvement in margins for glass producers, although fundamental pressures persist due to high supply levels [1][2][3] Company-Specific Insights 1. **Major Players**: Companies such as Xinyi Glass and Zhuzhou Kibing Group are expected to face earnings pressure due to the ongoing supply-demand mismatch and potential downside in float glass prices [2][1] 2. **Maintenance Impact**: Improved profits have led to the postponement of maintenance plans for some production lines, which could further exacerbate supply issues [2][1] Risks and Considerations 1. **Downside Risks**: The industry faces risks from weaker-than-expected demand in the property segment, potential sharp decreases in float glass prices, and margin squeezes from rising costs of natural gas and soda [19][1] 2. **Upside Risks**: Potential improvements in downstream demand, particularly from the property and automotive markets, could positively impact the industry [16][1] Conclusion - The float glass industry is currently experiencing a complex interplay of rising prices driven by sentiment and inventory dynamics, against a backdrop of muted demand and fundamental pressures. Major producers are likely to face challenges in maintaining profitability amidst these conditions.

Group 1: Industry Overview - The main listed companies in the borosilicate glass industry include Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass, Linuo Pharmaceutical Packaging, Qibin Group, Weigao Group, and Zhengchuan Co., Ltd. [1] - The number of A-share listed companies in the borosilicate glass sector is relatively small, with key players being Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass, Linuo Pharmaceutical Packaging, Qibin Group, and Zhengchuan Co., Ltd. [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2024, the projected revenue for Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass from borosilicate glass-related businesses is 51.30 billion yuan, Linuo Pharmaceutical Packaging is 10.81 billion yuan, and Qibin Group is 156.49 billion yuan [2]. - The revenue contribution of borosilicate glass-related businesses to total revenue is significant, with Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass at 51.38%, Linuo Pharmaceutical Packaging at 43.24%, and Zhengchuan Co., Ltd. at 52.85% [5]. Group 3: Production and Sales Metrics - In 2024, Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass and Zhengchuan Co., Ltd. have production and sales rates close to 100%, while Linuo Pharmaceutical Packaging's rate is below 90% [6]. - The gross profit margin for Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass is notably high, while Linuo Pharmaceutical Packaging and Zhengchuan Co., Ltd. have margins around 22%-23% [6]. Group 4: Business Layout and Strategy - The borosilicate glass industry is concentrated in the eastern coastal regions of China, particularly in Jiangsu Province [2]. - Leading companies like Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass and Linuo Pharmaceutical Packaging are expanding capacity and integrating the supply chain to accelerate domestic substitution in the borosilicate glass market [8]. Group 5: Future Plans - Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass aims to increase its production capacity to 5 billion units per year by 2025, with a target export ratio of 20%-25% [9]. - Linuo Pharmaceutical Packaging plans to achieve a production capacity of 63,000 tons per year by 2025, covering all specifications from 5ml to 500ml [9]. - Qibin Group is investing 780 million yuan to build two production lines for borosilicate glass, expected to be operational by 2025 with an annual capacity of 100,000 tons [9].