Bumble Inc. (NASDAQ:BMBL) is one of the cheap penny stocks to invest in. On December 11, Jefferies lowered the firm’s price target on Bumble to $4 from $5 while keeping a Hold rating on the shares. The firm recommended a cautious stock-picking approach for the Internet sector in 2026. Key risks include limited margin growth due to rising investment costs and the possibility that AI agents could bypass traditional platforms, capping the potential for higher stock multiples. In its Q3 2025 earnings report, ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for Q3 2025 was $246 million, a 10% decline year-over-year [22] - Bumble app revenue was $199 million, also down 10% year-over-year [23] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $83 million, up 1%, representing a margin of 34%, up from 30% in the year-ago period [24] - Net income was $52 million [24] - Cash flow from operations was $77 million compared to $93 million in the year-ago period [25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Badoo app and other revenue declined 11% to $47 million [23] - Cost of revenue was $69 million, representing 28% of revenue, down approximately 1 percentage point year-over-year [24] - Sales and marketing expense was $32 million, down 50% year-over-year [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Member registrations are lower in the near term due to the focus on quality over quantity, but early indicators suggest that retention is improving [6][25] - The company is seeing a 4 percentage point improvement in brand awareness among single women in the U.S. aged 22 to 45 due to the "For the Love of Love" campaign [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is transforming into the "Love Company," expanding beyond dating to build a global platform for meaningful relationships [6] - The focus is on improving member experience and quality, with a commitment to trust and safety [19] - The company is implementing a "Be High Fit" framework to measure progress against goals of building a higher quality community [8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledges that the current transformation may create near-term headwinds but is designed for healthier growth and stronger monetization over time [18] - The outlook for Q4 anticipates continued attrition in active and paying members, but improvements in retention and average revenue per paying user are expected [25][26] - The company expects total revenue in Q4 to be in the range of $216 million to $224 million, representing a year-over-year decline of approximately 17% to 14% [26] Other Important Information - A transaction to purchase all parties' outstanding tax receivable agreement rights for approximately $186 million was agreed upon, simplifying the capital structure and improving future cash flows [27] - The company ended the quarter with $308 million in cash and equivalents [25] Q&A Session Summary Question: Vision for Bumble in 2-3 years - The company aims to solve women's pain points and enhance the member experience, focusing on delivering high-quality matches [29][30] Question: Timing and magnitude of revenue growth recovery - The company needs to complete the trust and safety efforts and expects to see improvements in paying user growth beginning in early 2026 [33][34] Question: Insights on improved members - The company is focused on helping improved members transition to approved members through better profile setups and engagement tools [38][39] Question: Standalone AI product vision - The standalone AI product will provide a unique dating experience and will also integrate learnings into the core Bumble experience [44][46] Question: Key drivers for upcoming product releases - The company is prioritizing customer service improvements and addressing member pain points as key drivers for future growth [50][51]

Core Insights - ODDITY Tech Ltd. reported strong Q2 2025 results, with net sales and earnings exceeding estimates and showing year-over-year growth [1][3] - The company raised its full-year outlook, driven by robust top-line growth and strategic investments in innovation [2] Financial Performance - Adjusted EPS for Q2 was 92 cents, beating the estimate of 88 cents, and increased by 12.2% year-over-year [3] - Net sales reached $241.1 million, surpassing the estimate of $239 million, and grew by 25.1% from $192.8 million in the prior year [3] - Online DTC sales rose by 29.6% to $235.2 million, constituting 98% of total sales, up from 94% in the previous year [4] Margin and Cost Analysis - Gross profit was $174.4 million, a 25.3% increase from $139.1 million last year, with a gross margin of 72.3% [5] - SG&A expenses increased by 36.3% to $117.3 million, representing 48.6% of net sales, up 200 basis points year-over-year [5] - Operating income was $57.1 million, a 7.6% increase, while the operating margin declined to 23.7% [6] Strategic Developments - ODDITY's core brands, IL MAKIAGE and SpoiledChild, achieved double-digit online sales growth, supported by AI-driven personalization [10] - The company is on track to launch Brand 3 in Q4 2025, targeting the medical-grade dermatology segment, and Brand 4 is expected to launch in 2026 [11] - ODDITY raised $600 million through its first exchangeable note offering, indicating strong investor confidence [12] Future Guidance - For FY25, ODDITY expects net sales between $799 million and $804 million, reflecting 23-24% year-over-year growth [13] - Adjusted EBITDA is projected between $160 million and $162 million, with adjusted EPS expected between $2.06 and $2.09 [14] - For Q3 2025, net sales are anticipated to be between $144 million and $146 million, indicating year-over-year growth of 21-23% [14] Financial Health - As of June 30, 2025, ODDITY had cash and cash equivalents of $656.8 million, no long-term debt, and shareholders' equity of $351.2 million [9]

Group 1: Market Overview - The Russell 2000 index rose by +1% as small-cap stocks benefited from the fastest stock market rebound in history following a correction of over 10% in March [1] - Many underperforming stocks are attracting investor attention as the market exits a favorable Q2 [1] Group 2: Bumble (BMBL) - Bumble's stock has rebounded over +50% in the last three months but remains more than 30% below its 52-week high of $10 per share [3] - The company operates two of the highest-grossing dating apps, Badoo and Bumble, and is already profitable since going public in 2021 [3] - Bumble trades at 7X forward earnings, with expected high-double-digit EPS growth in fiscal 2025 and 10% EPS growth in FY26 [3] Group 3: Earnings Estimates for Bumble - Current quarter EPS estimate is $0.31, with a year-over-year growth estimate of 40.91% [4] - Next quarter EPS estimate is $0.26, with a year-over-year decline of 25.71% [4] - Current year EPS estimate is $0.91, with a significant year-over-year growth of 119.74% [4] Group 4: Creative Realities (CREX) - Creative Realities has seen its stock surge over +50% in the last three months, trading at $3 per share [5] - The company is expected to cross into profitability this year after an adjusted loss of -$0.34 per share in 2024 [5] - Total sales are projected to rise by 10% in FY25 and another 13% in FY26, reaching $63.3 million [5] Group 5: Lyft (LYFT) and Crexendo (CXDO) - Lyft's stock, with a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), has posted +20% gains in the last three months and is expected to grow over 10% in FY25 and FY26 [6] - Lyft shares trade under $20 at 14.3X forward earnings, while Crexendo trades at $6 with a P/E multiple of 21.3X [7] Group 6: Investment Sentiment - The extended rally in top-rated internet stocks like Bumble, Creative Realities, Lyft, and Crexendo is expected to continue amid the stock market's historic rebound [8]

Core Insights - Bumble Inc. announced a 30% workforce reduction, equating to approximately 240 job losses, to realign its operating structure and optimize execution on strategic priorities [1][5][6] - CEO Whitney Wolfe Herd emphasized the need for decisive restructuring to build a resilient organization prepared for future challenges [2][4] - The company aims to become more agile and prioritize core product innovation while focusing on member health and experience [4] Financial Implications - Bumble expects to incur $13-18 million in charges related to severance and benefits due to the layoffs, primarily in Q3 and Q4 of this year [5] - The job cuts are projected to yield annual savings of up to $40 million, which will be redirected towards strategic initiatives, including product and technology development [11] - For Q2, Bumble anticipates revenue between $244 million and $249 million, with an EBITDA forecast of $88 million to $93 million [8] User Metrics - As of the end of Q1, Bumble had a total of four million paying users [12] - The company reported a year-over-year revenue decline to $247.1 million in Q1 [9] Strategic Adjustments - Bumble is shutting down two of its apps, Fruitz and Official, as part of its strategy to streamline operations [10]