Investment Rating - The report rates Minth shares as "Buy" with a target price raised to HK$46 from HK$38, reflecting an expected share price return of 31.4% and a total return of 33.6% [1][7][17]. Core Insights - Management anticipates a positive outlook with revenue growth accelerating in 2026, driven by new business initiatives, a return to growth in domestic revenue, and strong growth in Europe [1][4]. - New business initiatives include robotics, AI server liquid cooling products, and eVTOL, projected to contribute a total revenue of Rmb10 billion by 2030 [2][4]. - The company expects to maintain capital expenditures around Rmb2 billion in 2025/26, leveraging existing auto parts capacity for new initiatives [3]. Revenue and Profit Estimates - The forecast for net profit in 2H25 is Rmb1.48 billion, representing an 18.3% year-over-year increase [4]. - Revenue forecasts for 2026 and 2027 have been raised by 4-7% to Rmb29.3 billion and Rmb32.0 billion, respectively, due to contributions from new initiatives and improved domestic revenue visibility [4]. - The expected dividend payout ratio for 2025 is projected to rise to 30%, with a dividend yield of 2.2% [4]. Market Share and Growth - Minth's battery housing market share in Europe is expected to increase from approximately 36% in 2024 to over 40% in 2025, supported by design wins from major EV manufacturers [5][6]. - The gross margin for AI server liquid cooling products is anticipated to be around 35% in the early stages, with long-term margins projected at over 30% [2]. Financial Summary - For the year ending December 31, 2023, net profit is reported at Rmb1.903 billion, with diluted EPS of Rmb1.654, reflecting a growth of 26.9% [6]. - The projected P/E ratio for 2026 is 11.2, indicating a favorable valuation compared to historical averages [6][18].

Summary of Minth Group (0425.HK) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Minth Group - **Industry**: Automotive Parts and Emerging Technologies Key Points and Arguments 2030 Strategic Goals - **Revenue Target**: Rmb82 billion by 2030, with Rmb72 billion from the auto parts business and Rmb10 billion from emerging sectors [1][3][6] - **CAGR**: Implies a 23% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2030, compared to 10% and 17% in previous periods [1][2] - **Net Profit Growth**: Targeting a net profit CAGR of 20% and return on equity (ROE) improvement from 12% in 2024 to 15% in 2030 [1][3][12] Revenue Breakdown by Segment - **Auto Parts Business**: Expected incremental revenue from traditional auto parts, including battery housing, supported by higher-value products and market share gains [3][12] - **AI Server Liquid Cooling System**: Targeting Rmb4 billion in revenue by 2030, with secured orders from a top Taiwanese client [3][10] - **eVTOL (Electric Vertical Take-off and Landing)**: Projected revenue of Rmb1 billion based on a demand of 100,000 units, with revenue ramp-up expected to start in 2027 [3][10] - **Robotics**: Anticipating Rmb5 billion in revenue, with a target of 1 million units demand by 2030, leveraging synergies with the auto parts business [2][10] Competitive Strengths and Market Dynamics - **Emerging Businesses**: Minth has made progress in emerging sectors, with products being adopted by clients in small volumes [2] - **Global Development & Supply Capability**: Recognized competitive strengths in global development and supply capabilities, along with synergies from existing technology [2] - **Market Uncertainties**: Long-term targets depend on the expansion of total addressable market (TAM) for emerging technologies, which may face uncertainties [2] Financial Performance and Expectations - **Recent Performance**: Revenue and net profit growth in the first half of 2025 decelerated to 11% and 20%, respectively, compared to 13% and 22% in 2024 [2] - **Profitability**: Target gross margin of 25%-35% from the robotics business, with a net margin of over 10% supported by expense savings [12] - **Capital Expenditure**: Expected capital expenditure of Rmb2 billion in both 2025 and 2026, with varying revenue expectations based on business segments [12] Risks and Considerations - **Market Risks**: Potential risks include better or worse-than-expected auto production in Europe and the US, pricing pressures from OEM customers, and the pace of new product development [11] - **Neutral Rating**: Given the slowing auto cycle and postponed product launches, the company maintains a neutral outlook [2] Strategic Priorities - **Focus Areas**: Management prioritizes robotics and AI server liquid cooling systems as key growth areas [5][10] Additional Important Information - **Overseas Expansion**: The company is focusing on expanding its overseas business, particularly targeting North American clients [10] - **Strategic Partnerships**: Announced a three-year strategic cooperation with AgiBot for humanoid robots, leveraging in-house capabilities [10] This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call regarding Minth Group's strategic direction, financial targets, market dynamics, and potential risks.