Core Viewpoint - Planet Fitness, Inc. (PLNT) is expected to report its fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 24, with positive projections for earnings and revenues, driven by new club openings and membership growth [1][9]. Earnings and Revenue Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings per share (EPS) has risen to 78 cents, reflecting an 11.4% increase from 70 cents in the same quarter last year [2]. - Revenue estimates stand at $365.1 million, indicating a 7.2% growth from $340.5 million reported in the previous year [2]. Growth Drivers - Revenue growth is anticipated due to strong performance in the equipment segment, new club openings, and a favorable shift towards higher-tier Black Card memberships [3]. - Pricing actions and steady membership trends are expected to contribute positively to quarterly performance [3]. Challenges - Elevated attrition rates following the introduction of click-to-cancel functionality have impacted net membership growth, although these rates have started to moderate [4]. - Rising corporate operating expenses due to new club openings and international expansion may exert near-term margin pressure [7]. Revenue Breakdown - Franchise and Corporate-Owned clubs revenues are projected to increase by 8.8% to $97.4 million and by 8.6% to $137.2 million, respectively [5]. - Total Equipment revenues are expected to rise by 5.3% to $110.7 million [5]. Profitability Factors - The bottom line is expected to benefit from SG&A leverage, disciplined cost management, and improved marketing efficiency [6]. - The franchise model's high margins and a favorable real estate environment are expected to support long-term profitability [6]. Earnings Prediction - The model indicates a strong likelihood of an earnings beat for Planet Fitness, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +1.71% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [8][10].

Core Viewpoint - Planet Fitness, Inc. (PLNT) has experienced a 10.7% decline in share price over the past three months, yet it has outperformed the Zacks Leisure and Recreation Services industry, the broader Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector, and the S&P 500 during the same period [1][3]. Group 1: Company Performance - Despite the decline, PLNT stock has outperformed competitors such as Xponential Fitness, OneSpaWorld, and Peloton, which saw declines of 52.2%, 20.1%, and 43.6% respectively [4]. - The company has approximately 19.7 million members and operates 2,722 clubs across various regions, including the U.S., Canada, and parts of Europe and Latin America [6]. - PLNT has enacted several in-house initiatives aimed at gaining market share, optimizing costs, and increasing cash flow to mitigate adverse market impacts [6][19]. Group 2: Growth Strategies - The company introduced a new economic growth model in 2024, focusing on reduced build costs and extended capital investment timelines to enhance returns from new stores [7]. - PLNT has successfully integrated pricing trials into its operations, with the Classic Card membership priced at $15, and ongoing trials for the premium Black Card membership expected to conclude in Q1 2025 [8]. - The company plans to open 160-170 new clubs in 2025, building on the 150 new club openings reported in 2024 [9]. Group 3: Financial Outlook - Earnings estimates for 2025 have increased by 0.3% over the past week, with a projected year-over-year growth rate of 12.4% for 2025 earnings [10]. - The current earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025 stand at $2.91, with a projected increase to $3.41 in 2026 [11]. - PLNT is currently trading at a premium compared to industry peers, indicating strong market potential despite the challenges faced [13][15]. Group 4: Challenges and Risks - The company is facing pressures from elevated costs due to inflation and global macroeconomic risks, which have led to a 7.4% year-over-year increase in total operating costs to $857.5 million in 2024 [5][20]. - The uncertain global market scenario, including newly levied tariffs and potential foreign exchange risks, poses additional challenges for PLNT [16][18].