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Progressive Moves Above 50 and 200-Day SMAs: How to Play the Stock
ZACKSยท 2025-05-28 16:50
Core Viewpoint - Shares of The Progressive Corporation (PGR) are experiencing an upward trend due to its strong market presence, diverse product offerings, and solid operational capabilities, with shares closing at $278.75, indicating potential for growth [1][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - PGR shares have gained 16.4% year-to-date, outperforming the industry growth of 10.3%, the Finance sector's increase of 3.9%, and the S&P 500's decline of 1.8% [5]. - The average price target for PGR from 18 analysts is $301.89 per share, suggesting an 8.5% upside from the last closing price [24]. Group 2: Financial Metrics - PGR is currently trading at a price-to-book (P/B) multiple of 5.64, significantly higher than the industry average of 1.54 [12]. - Return on equity for the trailing 12 months is 33.5%, compared to the industry's 7.8%, indicating efficient use of shareholders' funds [26]. - Return on invested capital (ROIC) has been increasing, with a current ROIC of 18.7%, outperforming the industry average of 6% [27]. Group 3: Growth Prospects - PGR is well-positioned for growth through strategic initiatives, including emphasizing auto insurance bundles and enhancing segmentation with new product launches [14]. - The company has maintained an average combined ratio below 93% over the past decade, outperforming the industry average of over 100%, reflecting prudent underwriting practices [16]. - Analysts have raised earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 pegged at $16.00 per share, indicating a 13.9% increase from the previous year [21][22]. Group 4: Competitive Position - PGR is one of the largest auto insurance groups in the U.S., leading in motorcycle and boat policies, commercial auto insurance, and ranking among the top 15 homeowners carriers based on premiums written [5]. - The company has embraced digital transformation, integrating artificial intelligence to improve efficiency and margins [16].