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The AI Bubble Is Overblown but This 10.6% Dividend Wins Either Way
Investing· 2026-01-15 10:28
Core Viewpoint - Concerns about an AI bubble are considered exaggerated, with opportunities for investment in corporate bonds, particularly through closed-end funds (CEFs) that offer attractive yields [1][10]. Group 1: AI Bubble Concerns - Prominent figures in the tech industry, including CEOs from major companies like Microsoft, Meta, and Alphabet, express confidence that there is no AI bubble [2]. - Institutional investors and hedge funds, which have a deep understanding of the tech sector, also believe that fears regarding an AI bubble are overstated [3]. - The current growth in corporate bond issuances for the tech, media, and telecom sectors is minimal, indicating that the bond market is not overly exposed to AI, contrasting with the rapid debt growth seen during the dot-com boom [6][7]. Group 2: Corporate Bonds as a Hedge - The corporate bond market is viewed as a suitable hedge against potential volatility stemming from AI bubble concerns, as any market selloff could drive cash from stocks into corporate bonds [8]. - The current low demand for corporate bonds presents an opportunity to invest before any potential increase in demand due to market volatility [10]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The BlackRock Corporate High Yield Fund (HYT) is highlighted as a strong investment option, offering a yield of 10.6% and a history of increasing payouts, unlike the benchmark SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF [14]. - HYT is currently trading at a discount to its net asset value (NAV), presenting a buying opportunity as this discount may decrease in the future [14].