Core Insights - The article highlights the expertise of Fred Piard, a quantitative analyst with over 30 years in technology, focusing on data-driven systematic investment strategies since 2010 [1]. Group 1: Expertise and Background - Fred Piard has authored three books and runs an investing group called Quantitative Risk & Value, which focuses on quality dividend stocks and innovative tech companies [1]. - He provides various market strategies, including market risk indicators, real estate, bond, and income strategies in closed-end funds [1].

Group 1: Industry Consolidation - The industry is expected to see consolidation, highlighted by Goldman Sachs' acquisition of Innovator ETFs, with over 400 unique ETF brands and 4,000 products in the market [1] - Raymond James' acquisition of Clark Capital Management Group indicates a trend, with expectations of three to five meaningful deals in the current year [2] Group 2: Smart Beta ETFs - Predictions suggest inflows for smart beta ETFs will double from $37 billion to $75 billion, with the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) being the fourth-largest fund by flows this year [3] - The record for smart beta inflows was set at $103 billion in 2022 [3] Group 3: Crypto Index ETFs - Skepticism exists regarding the prediction that crypto index ETFs will triple assets from $1.7 billion to $5 billion, as year-to-date flows have primarily gone to bitcoin and ethereum funds [4] - A survey indicated that 42% of advisors prefer crypto index ETFs over individual tokens [4] Group 4: International Equity and Fixed Income ETFs - Predictions on international equity and fixed income ETFs breaking records are endorsed, with bond ETFs capturing 32% of total flows this year, up from 29% last year [5] - Flows are shifting from short duration to the belly of the curve, approximately six years duration [5] Group 5: Active ETFs - Active ETFs experienced record inflows of $580 billion in 2025, contrasting with active mutual funds that had $640 billion in outflows [6]

Core Viewpoint - The current market environment is characterized by a transition into a new cycle, driven by recent Federal Reserve rate cuts and a shift in market leadership towards emerging markets and real assets, suggesting a need for portfolio evolution away from large-cap tech stocks [1][2]. ETF Market Trends - The ETF industry has experienced record inflows, with $1.2 trillion in inflows this year, while mutual funds have seen $1 trillion in outflows, indicating a significant shift in investor preference towards ETFs [1][2]. - Over 900 new ETFs have been launched this year, reflecting ongoing innovation and growth within the ETF space [1]. Investment Strategies - Investors are advised to diversify their portfolios by including asset classes and sectors that benefit from higher inflation, such as gold, which is up 54% year-to-date, and emerging markets, which are also up 27% [1][2]. - Leveraged ETFs are gaining popularity, but caution is advised due to their complexity and the high costs associated with accessing leverage, which can lead to underperformance compared to benchmarks [1][2]. Market Performance Insights - The S&P 500 has been outperformed by sectors such as industrials and banks, which have seen gains of 16% and 19% respectively, compared to the S&P's 12% increase [1]. - The weakening dollar has been identified as a catalyst for non-U.S. markets outperforming the U.S., with historical trends showing that a weaker dollar typically benefits gold and emerging markets [2]. Future Outlook - The ETF industry is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with predictions of more crypto-related ETF launches and innovations in share class structures that could further drive flows from mutual funds to ETFs [9][12]. - The complexity of the ETF market is increasing, necessitating more due diligence from investors as new products are introduced [11].

Core Insights - The article discusses the investment strategies and expertise of Fred Piard, a quantitative analyst with over 30 years of experience in technology and systematic investing since 2010 [1]. Group 1: Investment Strategies - Fred Piard runs the investing group Quantitative Risk & Value, focusing on quality dividend stocks and companies leading in tech innovation [1]. - The group also provides market risk indicators, a real estate strategy, a bond strategy, and an income strategy in closed-end funds [1].

Core Insights - A record $1 trillion has been invested in US ETFs in 2025, indicating a significant shift from traditional mutual funds to ETFs [2][3] - The ETF industry is projected to reach $1.4 trillion by year-end, surpassing last year's record and solidifying ETFs as a dominant investment vehicle in the US [3] - Total US ETF assets reached $12.7 trillion by the end of September, with a 23% year-to-date growth rate and 41 consecutive months of net inflows [3] ETF Performance - Bond and gold ETFs have shown exceptional performance, with $39 billion in inflows for fixed-income ETFs last month and SPDR Gold Trust ETF attracting $15.97 billion as gold prices exceeded $4,100 per ounce [4] - The current market environment is characterized by a risk-on sentiment and persistent inflation, which are driving these inflows [4] Investor Behavior - BlackRock's iShares and Tidal Financial Group anticipate continued inflows into ETFs, as mutual fund outflows have reached $481 billion this year [5] - Investors are increasingly favoring ETFs for their cost efficiency, transparency, liquidity, and diversification, which are reshaping global investment behavior [5] Growth in Crypto ETFs - A parallel boom in crypto-linked funds and Asian ETF markets is expected, with significant growth anticipated in crypto ETFs over the next five years, potentially capturing 10-20% of all assets [7][8] - The cost-effectiveness of ETFs compared to traditional crypto services is highlighted, with exposure available for as low as 25 basis points [8]

Core Insights - Transitioning investment portfolios to focus on income during retirement can be challenging for investors [1] - High-yield investments are available that promise significant income potential [1] - A hybrid investment strategy combining classic dividend growth stocks, Business Development Companies, REITs, and Closed End Funds can enhance investment income while achieving total returns comparable to traditional index funds like the S&P [1] Investment Strategy - The strategy involves creating a solid base of classic dividend growth stocks [1] - Incorporating a mix of Business Development Companies, REITs, and Closed End Funds can lead to a more efficient income generation [1] - This approach allows investors to capture total returns that align with the performance of the S&P index [1]