Slow grind upwards on many #Altcoins and therefore starting to show more strength.I think we'll see this simply continue over the coming weeks, more and more short squeezes and rallies on the markets indicating that we're going to be more risk-on. ...

RT Brant Hammer (Professor BTC) (@CapitalNotes)Equities say risk-on. The copper / gold ratio says something else entirely.This ratio has been in freefall since 2022 and just hit levels we haven't seen in years. Copper is the "Dr. Copper" of the global economy, tied to growth and industrial demand. Gold is the fear trade, the hedge, the "I don't trust what's happening" trade.When gold is massively outperforming copper, it's the market's way of saying: "growth expectations are deteriorating, and people are lo ...

Market Overview - Futures are trading higher after a poor start to the trading week, influenced by a risk-off bias due to tariff increases and a rotation out of technology stocks [1] - The Dow Jones closed down 1.66% at 48,804, S&P 500 down 1.04% at 6,837, Nasdaq down 1.13% at 22,627, and Russell 2000 down 1.60% at 2,621 [1] Treasury Bonds - Treasury yields decreased across the curve, indicating a flight to safety amid stock market declines [2] - The 30-year bond closed at 4.70% and the benchmark 10-year note at 4.03% [2] Oil and Gas - Oil prices saw a slight decline after a strong previous week, with Brent Crude closing at $71.58 (down 0.25%) and West Texas Intermediate at $66.41 (down 0.11%) [3] - Natural gas closed down 1.77% at $2.99 despite a significant storm on the East Coast [3] Gold - Gold experienced solid buying, closing at $5,227 (up 2.38%), driven by Middle East concerns and UBS raising its target price for gold to $6,200 by mid-2026 [4] - Silver also saw gains, closing up 4.23% at $88.10 [4] Cryptocurrency - Cryptocurrency prices, particularly Bitcoin, fell sharply, with Bitcoin dropping 3% to 5% to below $65,000, reaching lows around $64,200 to $64,800 [5] - Bitcoin is currently trading at $63,012, while Ethereum is at $1,824, marking a decline of over 25% for Bitcoin this year [5] Analyst Upgrades - Booking Holdings Inc. was upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley, with a target price of $5,500 [7] - Domino's Pizza Inc. was upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan, with a target price of $450 [10] - Fox Corporation was raised to Buy from Neutral at Seaport Research, with a target price of $64 [10] - Qualcomm Inc. was upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Wells Fargo, with a target price raised to $150 from $135 [10] Analyst Downgrades - Blue Owl Capital Inc. was downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank, with a target price lowered to $10 from $15 [10] - Cable One Inc. was cut to Underperform from Neutral at BNP Paribas, with a target price slashed to $80 from $125 [10] - Comcast Corp. was downgraded to Underperform at BNP Paribas, with a target price of $27 [10] Analyst Initiations - Alkermes Plc. was initiated with an Outperform rating and a target price of $45 at Wolfe Research [10] - Blackstone Inc. was started with an Outperform rating at RBC Capital, with a target price of $179 [10] - Bloom Energy Inc. was initiated with a Neutral rating at Citigroup, with a target price of $162 [10] - Neurocrine Biosciences Inc. was initiated with an Outperform rating at Wolfe Research, with a target price of $160 [10]

Market Overview - The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged by 853.91 points, or 1.75%, reaching 49,762.63, marking one of its strongest single-day rebounds this year [1][15] - The S&P 500 increased by 73.61 points (1.08%) to 6,872.01, while the Nasdaq Composite rose by 188.76 points (0.84%) to 22,729.34 [1][15] Sector Performance - The energy sector played a significant role in the market surge, with WTI Crude Oil stabilizing around $63.64, leading to a nearly 6% jump in Halliburton due to robust domestic drilling outlooks for the first half of 2026 [2][9] - Financials also contributed to the rebound, with large U.S. banks rising as investors anticipated steadier net interest margins and reduced recession odds [7][16] - Healthcare stocks rebounded as defensive capital rotated back into the sector, enhancing stability [7][10] Investment Trends - The market exhibited a "risk-on" appetite for hard assets, with gold prices spiking 1.62% to $4,968.90 and Bitcoin surging over 8% to reclaim the $68,000 level, indicating a return of liquidity to the markets [3][14] - Trading volume surged across blue-chip stocks, and volatility eased, suggesting a reset in market positioning rather than a mere relief bounce [4][16] Comparative Analysis - The Dow outperformed both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq due to its composition, which leans towards banks, energy producers, healthcare giants, and industrial leaders, as opposed to tech-heavy indexes [5][8] - The divergence in tech stocks, with Nvidia surging while Amazon dropped over 9%, indicates that stock selection is becoming more critical than sector exposure [11][12] Broader Market Implications - The rally extended beyond equities, with commodities and crypto markets also showing strength, reflecting improving liquidity conditions and rising investor confidence [13][14] - ETF flows were decisive, with semiconductor bull ETFs experiencing double-digit gains, while inverse funds collapsed, further supporting the bullish sentiment across various asset classes [14]

there's a ratio that that the gold bugs use 50 to1 40 to1 and because of that I'm going to go heavy into silver and it worked out great for me and now I get to hear it every damn day so that's awesome >> I kind of feel like it's the same argument as for uh for Bitcoin it's just you want to own Bitcoin because of that argument during riskon times and you want to hold metals because of that argument in risk off times >> it's hey it's not a good bad way to diversify that's for sure >> yeah uh palladium's now a ...

Group 1 - Bitcoin (BTC) and XRP experienced price increases following the Federal Reserve's first policy call of 2026, indicating a "risk-on" sentiment in the market [1] - The Federal Open Market Committee decided to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 3.5%–3.75%, reflecting a resilient U.S. economy [2] - The U.S. unemployment rate decreased to 4.4% in December, supported by strong consumer spending, which has contributed to the buoyancy of risk assets [3] Group 2 - The dollar has been under pressure, nearing multi-year lows, which can influence financial conditions and alter global investors' perceptions of "risk-on" price action [5] - The rally in markets may be misleading due to the weakening value of money, as highlighted by Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio [4]

Core Viewpoint - The price of oil fell nearly 2% following the U.S. invasion of Venezuela and the capture of Nicolás Maduro, with traders believing this would not significantly impact oil prices in the short term [1] Group 1: Oil Market Dynamics - U.S. oil company stocks experienced significant increases, with Chevron up 7.82%, Halliburton up 8.45%, ConocoPhillips up 7.54%, and ExxonMobil up 3.95% in premarket trading [1] - Despite Venezuela's vast oil reserves, which account for about 17% of the world's total, its oil production has drastically declined by 75% from 2013 to 2020, now supplying less than 1% of daily global oil [3] - To fully exploit Venezuelan oil, U.S. companies would require strong guarantees against renationalization, the ability to commercialize discoveries, and freedom to explore the Orinoco oil belt, necessitating billions in investment and years of development [4] Group 2: Market Reactions and Trends - The overall market sentiment was positive, with S&P 500 futures up 0.29%, and significant gains in Asian and European markets, including a 2.97% rise in Japan's Nikkei 225 and a 3.43% increase in South Korea's KOSPI [5] - Following renewed threats from President Trump regarding Greenland, defense stocks saw a global uptick, with Rheinmetall up 7.4%, Saab AB up 5.75%, and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries up 8.39% [6] - The private sector is actively preparing for Venezuelan oil projects, with a former Chevron executive raising a $2 billion fund and plans for visits to Venezuela by industry leaders [7] Group 3: Currency and Investment Implications - The U.S. dollar experienced a modest increase, up 0.32% on the ICE U.S. Dollar Index, as the market reacted to the events in Venezuela, leading to a flight to quality assets like gold and the Swiss franc [8]

Market Analysis - Bitcoin's correlation with the Nasdaq is a key factor, but Bitcoin's underperformance relative to the Nasdaq indicates a potential mispricing [1] - The market experienced a significant crash, with Bitcoin correcting from $115 thousand to $80 thousand in two weeks [1] - "Beta" assets (high-volatility, tech stocks) have recovered substantially, signaling a "risk-on" appetite in the market [2][3] - A divergence exists between Beta assets and Bitcoin ($BTC), suggesting Bitcoin may soon follow the upward trend of Beta assets [3] - The analysis suggests Bitcoin is likely to rebound to $110-115 thousand in the coming weeks or months, reversing its recent losses [3] Investment Strategy - The report favors charts with direct relevance to Bitcoin's price over time-based assumptions like the 4-year cycle [4] - The recent correction in Bitcoin's price is viewed as potentially "dubious," implying a buying opportunity [3] Risk Assessment - The market crash saw a decline in assets characterized by "Pure Vol vs Pure Profitability or Beta vs Quality" [2] - "Quality" assets are defined as risk-off, profitable, and stable companies, contrasting with high-volatility "Beta" assets [2]

Going live for FOMO HOUR in 15 minutes!We are talking:- New bullish outlooks- BlackRock going risk-on for 2026- Coinbase stealth pilots- XCOPY bubbles+ a lot moreJoin us live at 10 am ET!https://t.co/FZJzRErcR8 ...

Market Sentiment & Cryptocurrency - The industry should watch Bitcoin (BTC) and overall market sentiment to confirm the current risk-on trend [1] - The industry should monitor small-cap Binance Coin (BNB) related assets driving upside in the sector [1] Key Players & Initiatives - The industry should track DWF Labs' fund activities [1] - The industry should track Myriad Market's growth [1] - The industry should track Nano Labs' Real World Asset (RWA) initiatives [1]