Core Viewpoint - The upcoming shareholder meeting is expected to highlight Tesla's growth opportunities, emphasizing the potential for significant valuation increases if ambitious goals are met [1]. Group 1: Valuation and Compensation - If Tesla achieves an $8 trillion valuation, Elon Musk's compensation could be justified at around a trillion dollars, reflecting the company's operational and profitability milestones [3]. - The last three profitability milestones include achieving $400 billion in EBITDA over a 12-month period, which is unprecedented [3]. Group 2: Future Growth Drivers - Tesla's future growth is anticipated to be driven primarily by advancements in physical AI rather than just automotive sales [5][6]. - The company is focusing on applications of AI in various sectors, including robots and autonomous driving, indicating a strategic shift away from solely automotive revenue [6]. Group 3: Analyst Perspective - The current hold rating on Tesla shares reflects a full valuation based on existing fundamentals, with flat earnings projected for the next year [7]. - Analysts foresee negative earnings revisions but acknowledge that the market is increasingly focusing on Tesla's growth potential rather than just its automotive business [8].

Core Insights - The proposed pay package for Tesla CEO Elon Musk could be valued at $1 trillion if performance targets are met over the next decade [1][6] - Shareholders will vote on the pay package by November 5, with the structure involving 12 tranches of stock tied to specific market cap and operational milestones [1][3] Summary by Categories Pay Package Structure - The pay package consists of 12 tranches of stock, each unlocked upon achieving challenging milestones related to market capitalization and operational performance [1][2] - Key milestones include delivering 20 million Tesla vehicles, achieving 10 million active Full Self-Driving (FSD) subscriptions, and reaching various adjusted EBITDA targets ranging from $50 billion to $400 billion [2] Shareholder Sentiment - There is a high likelihood (approximately 90%) that shareholders will approve the pay package due to its shareholder-friendly design, where Musk earns nothing unless he meets the set milestones [3] - Long-time Tesla shareholders recognize Musk's critical role in the company's success, especially during challenging times, which increases the likelihood of their support for the pay package [4] Board and Investor Support - Elon Musk enjoys strong loyalty from Tesla's shareholder base, with historical voting patterns indicating overwhelming support for his compensation packages [5] - The backing of Tesla's board chair and influential investors, such as Cathie Wood, further solidifies the expectation of approval for the pay package [5][7]