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Should You Buy Nvidia Stock Before Aug. 27? Here's What History Suggests.
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-19 01:00
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia is set to report its second-quarter earnings on August 27, with high expectations from investors regarding its performance amid the ongoing AI boom [1][2]. Group 1: Earnings Performance - Nvidia's stock has historically seen a surge in buying activity following earnings releases, with only one exception earlier this year due to competition concerns and tariff uncertainties [5]. - Recent trends indicate that fears regarding competition have diminished, leading to renewed investor enthusiasm and a significant increase in Nvidia's share price alongside the rise of AI [6]. Group 2: Market Catalysts - Demand for Nvidia's GPUs and CUDA software has been driven by substantial capital expenditure commitments from major tech companies, including Meta Platforms and Alphabet, which are projected to spend a combined total of $340 billion on AI infrastructure this year [9]. - Nvidia's involvement in large-scale AI infrastructure projects, such as the $500 billion Project Stargate in the U.S. and similar initiatives in the Middle East, positions the company as a key player in the AI landscape [10]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - A new agreement with the U.S. government allows Nvidia to re-enter the Chinese market, with the company expected to remit 15% of its Chinese sales back to the U.S., which is manageable given Nvidia's pricing power [11]. - Emerging applications in AI, such as Tesla's robotaxi initiative and advancements in quantum computing, present new growth opportunities for Nvidia, reinforcing its critical role in sophisticated AI applications [13]. Group 4: Investment Considerations - Despite recent valuation expansions, Nvidia's shares still trade at a discount compared to previous peaks, suggesting potential upside as growth catalysts materialize [14][16]. - A dollar-cost averaging strategy is recommended for investors looking to build a position in Nvidia, which is viewed as a defining winner in the AI era [17].