Key Takeaways Ford targets an 8% adjusted EBIT margin by 2029 after posting 3.6% in 2025.F expects flat Q1 2026 EBIT, with H1 pressured by aluminum and commodity costs.Ford plans stronger H2 2026 as volumes stabilize and Ford Blue investments rise.Ford Motor Company (F) exited last year as a structurally stronger company, establishing a solid foundation to achieve its long-term target of an 8% adjusted EBIT margin by 2029, per the company’s fourth-quarter 2025 earnings transcript. In 2025, the company repor ...

Core Viewpoint - General Motors is recalling over 43,000 SUVs due to a transmission issue that poses a potential crash risk [1][2]. Group 1: Recall Details - The recall affects specific models from the 2022 year, including 17,178 Chevrolet Tahoes, 7,616 Chevrolet Suburbans, 7,820 GMC Yukons, 5,270 GMC Yukon XLs, 3,609 Cadillac Escalades, and 2,239 Cadillac Escalade ESVs [1]. - All recalled models are equipped with a 10-speed transmission featuring an electronic transmission range select system [1]. Group 2: Technical Issue - A transmission control valve in some vehicles may experience excessive wear over time, leading to a gradual loss of pressure and harsh shifting for drivers [2]. - In rare instances, the rear wheels may lock up, increasing the risk of a crash [2]. Group 3: Remedial Actions - Dealers will install new transmission control module software to monitor valve performance and detect excessive wear [3][5]. - If an issue is detected, the transmission will be limited to fifth gear to prevent wheel lockup [3]. - Notifications to vehicle owners regarding the available remedy will be mailed on March 30 [3]. Group 4: Company Commitment - A GM spokesperson emphasized that customer safety is the highest priority and the company is working to resolve the issue promptly [4].

General Motors Co. (NYSE:GM) has issued a recall of multiple SUVs in its lineup due to a transmission issue that could cause the rear wheels to lock up.43K Vehicles RecalledGM is recalling the 2022 Chevrolet Tahoe and Suburban, the GMC Yukon and Yukon XL, as well as the Cadillac Escalade and Escalade ESV SUVs equipped with the company's 10-speed automatic transmission, the company said in its acknowledgement to NHTSA on Thursday.The recall was issued due to a problem with the transmission control valve, whi ...

分组1: Starbucks Performance - Starbucks reported a mixed performance for the quarter, with global and US comparable store sales increasing by 4% year over year, driven by a 3% increase in traffic [2][3] - Net revenue rose approximately 6% year over year, with same store sales in China growing by 7%, indicating a turnaround in a previously struggling market [2] - The company is prioritizing long-term growth over immediate profit, investing in wages and technology, and transitioning to a licensing model in China to reduce direct stakes [2][4] 分组2: Market Sentiment and Valuation - Despite some positive indicators, there is skepticism about the sustainability of growth, with concerns that a 3% revenue growth may not justify high valuation multiples, which are around 60 on a trailing basis and 36 on a forward basis [7][11] - Analysts express caution regarding the stock's attractiveness, noting that while operational improvements are evident, the price may not be compelling for investors seeking high growth [11][10] - The market reacted positively to the earnings report, with stocks up about 4% early in trading, reflecting some investor optimism [12] 分组3: General Motors Performance - General Motors reported a net income of approximately $2.7 billion for the fiscal year, down from $6 billion the previous year, largely due to a net loss in Q4 driven by special charges related to EV capacity realignment [15][17] - Revenue for the fiscal year was about $185 billion, with growth primarily from internal combustion engine vehicles, particularly large trucks and SUVs, rather than electric vehicles [17] - GM is maintaining a strong position in the US AV market and is focusing on cost efficiencies while navigating fluctuating demand [17] 分组4: Autonomy and Buybacks - GM announced plans for Level 3 autonomy in their Cadillac Escalade by 2028, integrating advanced technology for improved safety and performance [22][19] - The company initiated a new $6 billion stock buyback program, following a $10 billion accelerated share repurchase, which has reduced the number of outstanding shares and boosted earnings per share [23][21] - Analysts note that while buybacks and dividends are positive for shareholders, the overall growth profile may not be compelling enough for new investments [24][23] 分组5: Silver and Market Dynamics - The recent interest in silver is attributed to a weak dollar, with central banks and institutional investors diversifying away from dollar-dominated assets, making precious metals cheaper for foreign investors [29][27] - There is a notable influx of retail investors in silver, leading to speculative behavior reminiscent of meme stocks, which raises concerns about potential corrections [29][30] - The dynamics of the global forex market and geopolitical factors are influencing the demand for silver, with a focus on the long-term implications of a weaker dollar [28][27]

General Motors Company (NYSE: GM) Conference Summary Company Overview - **Company**: General Motors Company (GM) - **Date of Conference**: February 04, 2026 - **Key Speaker**: Paul Jacobson, CFO of GM Core Industry Insights - **Transformation in the Auto Industry**: The auto industry is undergoing significant transformation, particularly in the shift towards electric vehicles (EVs) and adapting to a dynamic regulatory environment [2][4][15] - **Impact of Tariffs**: GM has faced over $3 billion in tariffs last year and expects $3-$4 billion in tariffs this year, which has influenced financial guidance and operational strategies [5][6] - **Market Share Gains**: GM has achieved substantial market share gains in lower-priced vehicles, selling over 700,000 vehicles priced under $30,000, indicating a successful strategy across different market segments [9][10] Financial Performance - **Earnings and Margins**: GM restored its North American margins to 8%-10% ahead of expectations, demonstrating resilience and effective management despite external challenges [6][12] - **Free Cash Flow**: GM has increased its free cash flow from approximately $3 billion to a consistent $10 billion over the past 4-5 years, providing a financial cushion to absorb shocks [12][13] - **Balance Sheet Strength**: The company boasts a strong balance sheet with minimal pension liabilities and an investment-grade credit rating, positioning it well for future investments [13] Electric Vehicle Strategy - **Investment in EVs**: GM announced a $7 billion charge related to EV investments, indicating a commitment to infrastructure capable of producing 1 million EVs annually [16][18] - **Regulatory Environment**: Changes in the regulatory landscape are expected to align better with consumer demand, potentially leading to more stable EV adoption rates [17][15] - **Onshoring Investments**: GM plans to invest $5 billion in onshoring initiatives, aiming to produce nearly 2 million vehicles in the U.S. by 2027, which will help mitigate tariff impacts [18][24] Supply Chain Management - **Resiliency Focus**: GM has prioritized supply chain resiliency, particularly in light of past challenges such as the chip shortage and rare earth material dependencies [41][45] - **Supplier Relationships**: The company emphasizes healthy collaboration with suppliers to ensure stability and profitability across the supply chain [26][27] Future Outlook - **Software and Services Growth**: GM is focusing on expanding its software and services revenue, targeting $7.5 billion in deferred revenue, and enhancing customer interactions through technology [20][62] - **Market Positioning**: GM aims to maintain competitiveness in a changing market landscape, particularly against emerging Chinese brands and evolving consumer preferences [72][74] - **Long-term EV Commitment**: Despite current challenges, GM remains committed to the EV market, viewing it as a long-term growth opportunity, while also ensuring profitability through cost management and technological advancements [55][56] Additional Considerations - **Hybrid Vehicles**: GM is exploring opportunities in hybrid vehicles, leveraging existing expertise while ensuring a measured approach to market entry [58][59] - **AI Integration**: The use of AI in vehicle development and production processes is growing, enhancing efficiency and decision-making capabilities within the company [75][76] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed during the conference, highlighting GM's strategic direction, financial health, and industry positioning amidst ongoing transformations in the automotive sector.

Financial Performance - GM reported revenue of $185.0 billion for CY 2025[39], and $45.3 billion for Q4 2025[43] - The company's EBIT-adjusted was $12.7 billion for CY 2025[39], with a margin of 6.9%[39], and $2.8 billion for Q4 2025[43], with a margin of 6.3%[43] - Adjusted automotive free cash flow was $10.6 billion for CY 2025[39] and $2.8 billion for Q4 2025[43] - EPS-diluted-adjusted was $10.60 for CY 2025[39] and $2.51 for Q4 2025[43] Sales and Market Share - GM achieved 1 in total U S sales with 2.9 million deliveries in CY 2025, up 6% year-over-year[12, 109] - U S market share grew by 0.6 percentage points to 17.2% in CY 2025[12] - Global deliveries increased by 0.2 million year-over-year to 6.2 million units in CY 2025[47] Strategic Initiatives and Investments - GM invested $9.2 billion in capital projects and repurchased $6.0 billion of stock in CY 2025[13] - Deferred revenue from OnStar services was $5.4 billion at the end of 2025, up 65% year-over-year[22] - The company expects EV losses to improve by $1.0-1.5 billion due to right-sizing EV capacity[34] 2026 Guidance - GM projects EBIT-adjusted to be in the range of $13.0-15.0 billion for 2026[34] - Adjusted automotive free cash flow is expected to be $9.0-11.0 billion for 2026[34] - EPS-diluted-adjusted is guided to be $11.00-13.00 for 2026[34]

Group 1 - The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) has initiated a probe into nearly 600,000 General Motors Co. vehicles due to reports of engine failures [1] - The investigation focuses on the L87 6.2L V8 engines, affecting models such as the 2021-2024 Cadillac Escalade, Chevrolet Silverado, Suburban, Tahoe, GMC Sierra 1500, Yukon, and Yukon XL [2] - The NHTSA's Office of Defects Investigation (ODI) received 36 Vehicle Owner Questionnaires alleging engine damage or failure following a recall last year [3] Group 2 - General Motors has relocated to a new headquarters in Detroit, which is significantly smaller in square footage compared to the previous headquarters, the "Renaissance Center" [4] - CEO Mary Barra has reaffirmed GM's commitment to electric vehicles (EVs), describing them as the company's "North Star," despite recent layoffs of over 3,400 workers across multiple EV production facilities [5] - GM's stock price increased by 0.02% to $80.84 during after-hours trading on January 16 [6]

Core Insights - General Motors (GM) is experiencing significant financial impacts due to a slowdown in its electric vehicle (EV) initiatives, with an expected $6 billion in special charges in Q4 2025 related to its EV rollback [1][10] - The total EV-related charges for GM in 2025 are projected to reach $7.6 billion, which includes $1.8 billion in unused EV equipment and $4.2 billion in supplier settlements and contract cancellations [2][10] Group 1: Financial Impact - GM will incur approximately $6 billion in special charges in the fourth quarter of 2025 due to its reduced EV strategy, which will negatively affect reported net income but not adjusted earnings [1][10] - The total EV-related financial burden for GM in 2025 is estimated at $7.6 billion, which includes a prior $1.6 billion charge in Q3 2025 [2][10] - GM is also expected to record an additional $1.1 billion in charges primarily related to restructuring a Chinese joint venture [2] Group 2: Strategic Shift - The company is scaling back its EV plans in response to changing U.S. policies and declining consumer demand, moving away from aggressive EV targets set during the Biden administration [3][4] - GM is reallocating resources towards higher-margin vehicles, such as pickup trucks, and reducing its exposure to battery production by selling part of its stake in Ultium Cells [5][7] - The Orion plant, initially designated for EV production, will now manufacture profitable pickup trucks like the Cadillac Escalade and Chevrolet Silverado [5] Group 3: Market Context - GM's EV sales have dropped 43% year-over-year in Q4 2025, totaling just over 25,000 vehicles, following the expiration of federal EV tax credits [6] - Other automakers, including Ford and Stellantis, are also reassessing their EV strategies, indicating a broader industry trend towards more cautious and financially disciplined approaches to EV production [9][11][12] - The shift in strategy reflects a prioritization of profitability and flexibility over an aggressive push towards an EV-only future [12] Group 4: Valuation and Performance - GM's stock has increased by 67% over the past year, outperforming the industry average [13] - From a valuation standpoint, GM appears undervalued, trading at a forward price/sales ratio of 0.43 compared to the industry average of 3.27 [14]

Core Insights - General Motors (GM) and Ford are competing in the American auto industry, with GM currently showing stronger stock performance and fundamentals as they both transition towards electric and software-defined vehicles [1][2]. General Motors - GM is the top-selling automaker in the U.S. with approximately 17% market share, driven by strong demand for its core brands, particularly pickups and SUVs [3]. - The company is experiencing a recovery in China, with vehicle sales increasing by 10% year over year in Q3 2025, marking two consecutive quarters of growth [4]. - GM's software and services are significant growth drivers, generating around $2 billion in revenues year-to-date, with deferred software revenues rising over 90% year over year to $5 billion by the end of Q3 [5]. - GM is strategically involved in securing domestic battery materials through a joint venture in Lithium Americas' Thacker Pass project, positioning itself as a major lithium source in North America [6]. - The company has been shareholder-friendly, repurchasing over $3.5 billion in stock, reducing its share count by 15% year over year, with an additional $2.8 billion available for buybacks [7]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a slight 0.3% sales decline for GM in 2026, but a 13% increase in earnings per share (EPS) is expected [7]. Ford - Ford is adjusting its strategy in response to slower EV adoption and rising costs, focusing more on hybrids, gas-powered vehicles, and smaller electric models rather than large EVs [8]. - The introduction of Ford's Universal EV Platform aims to reduce costs and enhance flexibility, with the first vehicle expected to be a midsize electric pickup starting production in 2027 [9]. - Ford anticipates a significant turnaround in its EV unit, expecting to reach breakeven by 2029, but this transition will incur approximately $19.5 billion in special items, impacting cash flow mainly in 2026 and 2027 [11]. - Ford Pro is a bright spot for the company, showing strong demand for Super Duty trucks and growing software and service revenues [12]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate suggests a 3% decline in Ford's sales for 2026, while earnings are projected to increase by about 35% [13]. Comparative Analysis - GM is viewed as a more compelling investment heading into 2026 due to its focus on long-term profitability, narrowing EV-related losses, and strong momentum in software and performance in China [14]. - Ford's strategic adjustments are sensible, but the one-time charges related to its EV reset and delayed profitability timeline for its Model e present challenges [15]. - Valuation favors GM, trading at a forward earnings multiple of 7.14x compared to Ford's 9.55x, making GM the more attractive stock [16].

Core Insights - The performance of legacy auto companies, particularly General Motors (GM), in Q3 2025 has exceeded investor expectations, with GM's stock rising 44% after beating earnings estimates and raising guidance for the full year [3][4][8] - Despite a significant decline in electric vehicle (EV) adoption, GM continues to grow its market share in internal combustion engine (ICE) and hybrid vehicles, demonstrating resilience in a challenging market [5][12] Company Performance - GM's stock remains undervalued with strong upside potential, driven by its ability to generate profits across different market conditions [4][10] - In Q3 2025, GM achieved a 41% market share in full-size pickups and 60% in full-size SUVs, contributing to a total U.S. market share increase from 14.4% in 2021 to 17.2% in the TTM ended Q3 2025 [7][8] - GM's total U.S. vehicle deliveries reached 710,000 in Q3 2025, marking an 8% year-over-year increase [8] EV Market Dynamics - The EV market has seen a slowdown, with GM managing to grow its EV market share despite scaling back production; GM holds the 2 position in the U.S. EV market [12][13] - Year-to-date EV unit sales for GM's brands (Chevrolet, GMC, Cadillac) grew significantly, with Chevrolet being the 2 U.S. EV brand [14][15] Financial Health - GM has generated $45 billion in free cash flow from 2014 through Q3 2025, with $7.9 billion in free cash flow over the TTM [22][26] - The company has reinstated and increased its dividend, currently providing a yield of 0.9%, and has repurchased $24.2 billion in shares since 2022 [24][25] Challenges and Outlook - GM recorded a $1.6 billion charge related to EV operations in Q3 2025, but management expects to reduce these losses in 2026 and beyond [29] - Tariffs continue to impact profitability, although GM is taking steps to mitigate these effects by expanding U.S. production [30][31] Valuation Perspective - GM's current stock price implies a pessimistic outlook, expecting a 40% decline in NOPAT, which contrasts with the company's historical growth rates [33][34] - Scenarios suggest that GM's stock could rise over 40% even with a decline in profits, indicating potential for significant upside if the company performs in line with historical trends [36][38]