Key Takeaways GM will take $7.6B in EV-related charges in 2025, including $6B in Q4, dragging down reported net income.GM scaled back EV plans as U.S. policy shifts and fading incentives cooled demand and slowed EV adoption.GM is shifting resources toward higher-margin vehicles and proven revenue drivers. U.S. legacy automaker General Motors (GM) is taking a financial hit as it slows down its aggressive electric vehicle (EV) push. The company notified that it will record about $6 billion in special charges ...

Key Takeaways GM leads U.S. auto sales, driven by pickups and SUVs across Chevrolet, Buick, GMC and Cadillac.GM logged about $2B in software revenues YTD, while deferred software revenues jumped over 90% to $5B by Q3.Ford is resetting its EV strategy. It expects $19.5B in special items and targets Model e breakeven by 2029.General Motors (GM) and Ford (F) have long been fierce rivals in the American auto industry—but which stock looks like the better investment now? Both automakers have been resilient and w ...

Core Insights - The performance of legacy auto companies, particularly General Motors (GM), in Q3 2025 has exceeded investor expectations, with GM's stock rising 44% after beating earnings estimates and raising guidance for the full year [3][4][8] - Despite a significant decline in electric vehicle (EV) adoption, GM continues to grow its market share in internal combustion engine (ICE) and hybrid vehicles, demonstrating resilience in a challenging market [5][12] Company Performance - GM's stock remains undervalued with strong upside potential, driven by its ability to generate profits across different market conditions [4][10] - In Q3 2025, GM achieved a 41% market share in full-size pickups and 60% in full-size SUVs, contributing to a total U.S. market share increase from 14.4% in 2021 to 17.2% in the TTM ended Q3 2025 [7][8] - GM's total U.S. vehicle deliveries reached 710,000 in Q3 2025, marking an 8% year-over-year increase [8] EV Market Dynamics - The EV market has seen a slowdown, with GM managing to grow its EV market share despite scaling back production; GM holds the 2 position in the U.S. EV market [12][13] - Year-to-date EV unit sales for GM's brands (Chevrolet, GMC, Cadillac) grew significantly, with Chevrolet being the 2 U.S. EV brand [14][15] Financial Health - GM has generated $45 billion in free cash flow from 2014 through Q3 2025, with $7.9 billion in free cash flow over the TTM [22][26] - The company has reinstated and increased its dividend, currently providing a yield of 0.9%, and has repurchased $24.2 billion in shares since 2022 [24][25] Challenges and Outlook - GM recorded a $1.6 billion charge related to EV operations in Q3 2025, but management expects to reduce these losses in 2026 and beyond [29] - Tariffs continue to impact profitability, although GM is taking steps to mitigate these effects by expanding U.S. production [30][31] Valuation Perspective - GM's current stock price implies a pessimistic outlook, expecting a 40% decline in NOPAT, which contrasts with the company's historical growth rates [33][34] - Scenarios suggest that GM's stock could rise over 40% even with a decline in profits, indicating potential for significant upside if the company performs in line with historical trends [36][38]

Q3 2025 Performance Highlights - GM achieved 1 in total U S sales with 710K deliveries, up 8% year-over-year[13] - The company's Q3 U S market share reached 17 0%[13] - GM's Q3 EBIT-adjusted was $3 4 billion and adjusted automotive free cash flow was $4 2 billion[13,47] - EPS-diluted-adjusted stood at $2 80[13,47] - EV sales reached a record of 67K, representing 16 5% of the U S EV market[13] Financial Performance and Guidance - The company invested $2 1 billion in capital projects, paid down $1 3 billion of balance sheet debt, and repurchased $1 5 billion of stock in Q3[14] - The updated 2025 EBIT-adjusted guidance is $12 0–13 0 billion, EPS-diluted-adjusted is $9 75–10 50, and adjusted auto free cash flow is $10 0–11 0 billion[39] - The full-year gross tariff impact is improved to $3 5–4 5 billion, with mitigation actions expected to offset approximately 35%[42] Market Position and Strategic Initiatives - GM increased ICE market share year-to-date to 17 4%, up 0 5 percentage points[18] - The company is on track to lead the industry in full-size pickups for the 6th straight year, with a year-to-date share of 41%[22] - GM is solidifying its 2 position in the EV segment and leads the industry in EV market share growth year-to-date[23] - The company recognized approximately $2 billion in year-to-date revenue from Super Cruise, OnStar, and other software and services, with deferred revenue of approximately $5 billion at the end of Q3, up over 90% year-over-year[28]

Core Insights - General Motors (GM) is implementing a multi-faceted strategy to enhance profitability, which includes reducing tariff exposure, improving electric vehicle (EV) profitability, and expanding software services, leading to an increased profit guidance of $12 billion to $13 billion, up from $10 billion to $12.5 billion [3] Software Services - GM's software services, including OnStar and Super Cruise, have generated nearly $2 billion in revenue this year, with OnStar subscribers increasing by 34% year-over-year and Super Cruise customers nearly doubling [4] - The company anticipates robust double-digit revenue growth through the end of the decade, with growth margins around 70% [4] Production Strategy - GM is increasing domestic production to mitigate tariff impacts and to produce more full-sized gas-powered trucks and SUVs for the U.S. market, as the company reassesses its EV strategies in light of potential changes in emissions standards by the EPA [5] - The company expects internal combustion engine (ICE) volumes to remain high for an extended period, with plans to retool its Lake Orion, Michigan plant to produce new Cadillac Escalade and full-size pickup trucks by early 2027 [6] Financial Performance - GM reported a 57% year-over-year decline in Q3 net income, primarily due to $1.1 billion in tariff costs and a revised EV production strategy amid cooling demand [7] - Despite the quarterly setback, GM's CEO expects that actions to improve manufacturing capacity and EV battery production will restore EBIT margins to historical levels of 8% to 10% [7]

Core Insights - General Motors (GM) reported a $1.1 billion impact from tariffs in the second quarter but still exceeded analyst expectations due to strong sales of gasoline trucks and SUVs [1][4] - The company anticipates that the tariff impact will worsen in the third quarter, maintaining a previous estimate that trade headwinds could affect the bottom line by $4 billion to $5 billion [1][5] - GM's revenue for the quarter fell nearly 2% to approximately $47 billion, with adjusted earnings per share dropping to $2.53 from $3.06 a year earlier, although it surpassed the average analyst expectation of $2.44 [4][5] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings before interest and taxes decreased by 32% to $3 billion [5] - GM revised its annual guidance due to tariff impacts, lowering its forecast for annual adjusted core profit to between $10 billion and $12.5 billion [5] Market Dynamics - Despite tariff challenges, GM's underlying business remained solid, with a 7% increase in sales in the US market, its main profit center [6] - The company returned to a small profit in China after experiencing losses the previous year [6] Strategic Moves - GM has increased investment in its combustion-engine operations, raising questions about its goal to end production of gas-powered vehicles by 2035 [9] - The automaker announced a $4 billion investment in three facilities in Michigan, Kansas, and Tennessee, which includes plans to move production of the Cadillac Escalade and increase output of its pickup trucks [10] Industry Trends - Car manufacturers are increasingly focusing on strengthening their core lineup of gasoline trucks and SUVs as the growth rate of electric vehicle (EV) sales has slowed [13] - The impending elimination of government support for battery-powered models, including tax credits, is influencing this shift [14]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The total company revenue for the first half reached a record $91 billion, driven by strong demand and stable vehicle pricing [24] - Adjusted EBIT for the quarter was $3 billion, down $1.4 billion year over year, primarily due to a net tariff impact of $1.1 billion [32][33] - Adjusted automotive free cash flow was $2.8 billion, down $2.5 billion year over year, mainly due to tariff payments and lower dealer inventory levels [33] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America revenue was nearly $77 billion for the first half, slightly up year over year, with U.S. market share reaching 17.3%, a 1.2 percentage point increase [25][28] - The Chevrolet Equinox saw total sales rise more than 20% compared to the same period last year, gaining nearly six points of retail market share year over year [10][28] - GM International delivered second quarter adjusted EBIT of $200 million, an increase of $150 million year over year, driven by improved profitability from China [39] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In China, GM reported its second consecutive quarter of year-over-year sales growth, being the only foreign OEM to gain market share [7][8] - The U.S. automotive industry saw a spike in demand due to tariff-related sales pull ahead, particularly in April and May, before normalizing in June and July [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to grow its U.S. manufacturing footprint and domestic supply chain while strengthening its international business and innovating in batteries, software, and autonomous technology [6][7] - A $4 billion investment in U.S. assembly plants will add 300,000 units of capacity for high-margin vehicles, helping to reduce tariff exposure and meet customer demand [16][19] - The company is focused on improving EV profitability through new battery chemistries and lighter vehicle architectures [47] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's resilience and ability to adapt to new trade and tax policies, with a focus on long-term profitability in electric vehicle production [6][19] - The guidance for EBIT adjusted remains in the range of $10 billion to $12.5 billion, with EPS diluted adjusted expected between $8.25 and $10 per share [40] Other Important Information - The company has booked $4 billion of deferred revenue from software services, which will be recognized over time [13] - The projected Super Cruise revenue is expected to exceed $200 million in 2025 and more than double in 2026 [14] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you walk through the accounting for the $600 million related to EVs? - The adjustment reflects potential losses on inventory due to market expectations and pricing pressures, which is expected to improve as inventory stabilizes [50][52] Question: What would be the impact if tariffs with key countries were reduced? - A reduction in tariffs would have an immediate positive impact, and the company expects to offset at least 30% of the tariff impact through strategic actions [54][56] Question: How do you reconcile pricing assumptions for the second half? - The company maintains a pricing assumption of a 0.5% to 1% increase for the year, despite challenges in fleet pricing due to increased competition [63][66] Question: What is the strategy for EV profitability given regulatory changes? - The company is focused on improving EV profitability through battery technology advancements and lighter vehicle designs, while also maintaining a diverse EV portfolio [70][73] Question: How will tariff impacts evolve beyond this year? - The company anticipates that tariff costs may decrease as trade deals are finalized and production adjustments are implemented [80][82]

Group 1 - General Motors (GM) will move production of a gas-powered SUV to Michigan and increase manufacturing of pickup trucks in the state to meet strong customer demand [1][2] - The Cadillac Escalade, Chevrolet Silverado, and GMC Sierra light-duty pickups will begin production at the Orion Assembly plant in early 2027 [2][3] - The Orion Assembly plant is being retooled for gas products, and this move is part of GM's $4 billion investment in U.S. facilities announced in June [4] Group 2 - The Silverado and Sierra trucks will continue to be produced in Fort Wayne, Indiana, while additional production will occur at the Orion Assembly plant due to high demand [3][4] - GM's previous commitment to exclusively offer electric vehicles (EVs) by 2035 has been adjusted due to slower-than-expected customer demand for EVs [5]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - GM reported a revenue increase of over 9% year-over-year to $187 billion and record adjusted EBIT of $14.9 billion for 2024 [25][26] - The company has successfully launched several vehicles across its profitable ICE portfolio and growing EV business, strengthening its product portfolio [25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - GM became the number two seller of EVs in North America in the second half of the year, indicating strong growth in the EV segment [26] - The redesigned ICE SUVs, including Chevrolet Equinox, Traverse, and Tahoe, have been well received, contributing to market share growth [29] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - GM's shareholder returns outperformed key competitors and the S&P 500 index last year, reflecting strong market performance [26] - The company is focusing on agile execution and innovation to align with consumer demand for ICE vehicles and the evolving regulatory environment [28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - GM is committed to achieving carbon neutrality in global products and operations by 2040, with a focus on reducing supply chain emissions [14][15] - The company is enhancing its manufacturing capabilities and supply chains in response to shifts in global trade policy [27][28] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in GM's ability to adapt to the new trade policy environment and emphasized the importance of American manufacturing [27] - The company is optimistic about its future, citing strong management and a commitment to teamwork and customer loyalty [32] Other Important Information - The board of directors has been refreshed to ensure diverse viewpoints and skills, with a focus on long-term shareholder interests [24][25] - The shareholder proposal on supply chain GHG emissions reduction strategies was not approved, indicating a lack of consensus on this issue [20][32] Q&A Session Summary Question: Board's succession process and AI expertise - The board's governance committee discusses a five-year succession plan and considers recruiting new directors based on strategic needs, with existing members possessing a range of skills including AI expertise [34] Question: Plans for Apple CarPlay in next-gen EVs - GM is focused on providing a holistic infotainment system that integrates seamlessly with vehicle functionality, rather than relying on external phone-based solutions [35][36] Question: Commitment to community initiatives - GM has increased corporate giving, focusing on road safety and STEAM education, while aligning investments with economic development in Detroit [38] Question: Access to GM Heritage Museum - The project for the museum will not be complete until the end of 2026, after which GM will consider how to allow shareholder access [40][41] Question: Plans for a seven-passenger SUV plug-in hybrid - GM is developing plug-in hybrids in strategic segments but has no specific announcements at this time; the Cadillac Bistric is highlighted as an option for customers [42][43]

Financial Performance - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of $44 billion[37], EBIT-adjusted of $3.5 billion[37], resulting in an EBIT-adjusted margin of 7.9%[37, 94] - Adjusted Automotive Free Cash Flow was $0.8 billion[9, 37] - EPS-Diluted-Adjusted was $2.78[9, 37] Market Share and Sales - U S market share increased by 1.8 percentage points year-over-year to 17.2%[9, 56, 94] - EV sales increased by 94%, resulting in a 10.4% U S EV market share[15] - Cadillac retail sales increased by 21%[21] and EV sales were up 37%[21] Strategic Initiatives - The company is accelerating AI initiatives across the enterprise, partnering with industry leaders like NVIDIA[22, 23] - Super Cruise enabled vehicles on the road increased by approximately 230,000 units year-over-year, representing a more than 100% increase[9, 24] Updated Guidance - The company updated its 2025 EBIT-adjusted guidance to $10.0-12.5 billion[31], EPS-diluted-adjusted to $8.25-10.00[31], and Adjusted Auto Free Cash Flow to $7.5-10.0 billion[31] - The guidance assumes a $4-5 billion impact due to tariffs[31, 95]