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Casino Stock Eyes Multi-Year Highs After Goldman Nod
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-12-01 15:44
Core Viewpoint - Wynn Resorts Ltd's stock has increased by 3.3% to $132.95 after being added to Goldman Sachs' 'Conviction Buy' list, highlighting its strong Las Vegas operations and improvements in Macau [1] Stock Performance - WYNN reached a high of $134.20, close to its four-year high of $134.23 from October 2, and has risen 55% in 2025, with support found at its 100-day moving average during a November drawdown [2] - A sustained move above $134 is significant due to a double top formation on the charts since December [2] Short Interest - There is potential for a modest short squeeze, as short interest has decreased by 5% in recent reporting periods, but 4.40 million shares sold short still represent 5.8% of the stock's total float [4] - At the current trading pace, it would take shorts over four trading days to cover their positions [4] Options Activity - Options traders are heavily favoring calls, with a 10-day call/put volume ratio of 5.83, ranking in the 86th percentile of its annual range, indicating a significant preference for call options over puts [5] - The elevated call buying rate has rarely been higher in the past year [5] Volatility Metrics - Options are currently affordably priced following a post-earnings volatility crush, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 36% in the 11th percentile of its annual range [6] - The Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) stands at 78 out of 100, indicating that the stock has historically exceeded options traders' volatility expectations over the past year [6]
Red Rock Resorts (RRR) Up 12.5% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?
ZACKS· 2025-11-27 17:36
Core Viewpoint - Red Rock Resorts reported a mixed performance in its Q3 2025 earnings, with earnings exceeding estimates while revenues fell short, indicating potential challenges ahead [2][3]. Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Q3 2025 were 68 cents, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 36 cents, and up from 48 cents in the prior-year quarter [3]. - Quarterly revenues reached $475.6 million, slightly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $476 million, but reflecting a year-over-year growth of 1.6% from $468 million [3]. - Net income for the quarter was $76.9 million, an increase from $55.4 million in the prior-year quarter [5]. - Adjusted EBITDA was reported at $190.9 million, marking a 4.5% year-over-year increase from $182.7 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 40.1%, up 110 basis points from the previous year [5]. Segment Performance - Las Vegas Operations generated revenues of $468.6 million, a 0.8% increase from $464.7 million in the prior-year quarter, with adjusted EBITDA of $209.4 million, up 3.4% from $202.6 million [4]. - Native American Management reported revenues and adjusted EBITDA of $3.9 million, reflecting cumulative development fee recognition [4]. Financial Position - As of September 30, 2025, Red Rock Resorts had cash and cash equivalents of $129.8 million, down from $164.4 million as of December 31, 2024 [6]. - Outstanding debt was $3.1 billion, reduced from $3.35 billion as of December 31, 2024 [6]. - The board declared a cash dividend of $0.26 per share, payable on December 31, 2025, indicating a commitment to shareholder returns [6]. Market Sentiment - There has been a downward trend in estimates revision, with the consensus estimate shifting down by 5.19% [7]. - Red Rock Resorts currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting an expectation of in-line returns in the coming months [10]. Industry Comparison - Red Rock Resorts is part of the Zacks Gaming industry, where Boyd Gaming (BYD) has seen an 8.6% gain over the past month, reporting revenues of $1 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, a year-over-year increase of 4.5% [11]. - Boyd's EPS for the same period was $1.72, compared to $1.52 a year ago, with a current quarter earnings estimate of $1.92 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of -2% [12].
Wynn Resorts Stock Down on Q3 Earnings Miss, Revenues Up Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-11-07 17:02
Core Insights - Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) reported mixed third-quarter 2025 results, with earnings missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate but revenues exceeding expectations, showing an 8.3% year-over-year increase [1][4][10] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter were 86 cents, below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.09, compared to 90 cents in the prior-year quarter [4][10] - Quarterly operating revenues reached $1.83 billion, surpassing the consensus mark by 3.9% [4] Operational Highlights - Strong performance was noted across Wynn Resorts' properties, particularly in Macau and Las Vegas, with Macau benefiting from market share gains and increased mass table drop [2][10] - Wynn Palace's operating revenues were $635.5 million, up 22.3% year over year, while casino revenues increased by 29.8% to $542.4 million [5] - Wynn Macau's operating revenues were $365.5 million, reflecting a 3.9% year-over-year increase, with casino revenues rising 6% to $314.5 million [6][7] - Las Vegas operations generated $621 million in revenues, a 2.3% increase year over year, with casino revenues jumping 11.3% to $161.6 million [8] Project Developments - Progress was made on the Wynn Al Marjan Island project, with construction advancing toward completion [2] Cash Position and Debt - As of September 30, 2025, Wynn Resorts had cash and cash equivalents totaling $1.49 billion, down from $1.98 billion in the prior quarter [13] - Total outstanding debt amounted to $10.57 billion, including $5.81 billion related to Macau operations [13] Market Reaction - WYNN stock experienced a 1% decline in after-hours trading following the earnings release [3]
Wynn Resorts to Post Q3 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-11-05 17:01
Core Viewpoint - Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) is set to report its third-quarter 2025 results on November 6, with expectations of earnings growth despite potential margin pressures from rising costs and competition [1][9]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for WYNN's third-quarter earnings per share (EPS) is $1.09, reflecting a growth of 21.1% from the previous year's 90 cents [2]. - Revenue expectations are pegged at approximately $1.77 billion, indicating a rise of 4.3% from the same quarter last year [2]. Performance Drivers - Strong demand in key markets, particularly in Las Vegas and a steady recovery in Macau, is anticipated to positively influence WYNN's third-quarter performance [3]. - Elevated casino drop and handle, along with solid weekend performance and group bookings, are expected to enhance Las Vegas operations, with projected revenues rising 1.3% year over year to $615.2 million [4]. - In Macau, improvements in mass and VIP volumes, supported by strategic investments, are likely to result in third-quarter revenues of $877.6 million [5]. - Encore Boston Harbor is expected to show stable performance, with revenues projected to increase 5.2% year over year to $225.3 million [6]. Cost and Margin Pressures - Factors such as softer midweek trends in Las Vegas, increased labor and living costs, and heightened competition in Macau may negatively impact profitability [7]. - Renovation-related expenditures and construction progress at Wynn Al Marjan Island could add to near-term cost pressures, with total operating expenses expected to rise 2.7% year over year to $1.6 billion [7]. Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for WYNN, as it has an Earnings ESP of -0.27% and a Zacks Rank of 1 [10].
Caesars Entertainment falls 9% after Las Vegas properties see a Q3 slump (CZR:NASDAQ)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-29 11:14
Core Insights - Caesars Entertainment reported third-quarter earnings that fell short of estimates, leading to a decline in early trading [2] - The company's revenue remained flat year-over-year at $2.87 billion [2] Revenue Performance - Regional casinos experienced a revenue increase of 6.2% during the quarter [2] - The performance of Las Vegas casinos was not specified but implied to be less favorable compared to regional counterparts [2]
Red Rock Resorts(RRR) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-28 21:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The third quarter net revenue for Las Vegas operations was $468.6 million, up almost 1% from the prior year's third quarter [9] - Adjusted EBITDA for Las Vegas operations was $209.4 million, up 3.4% from the prior year's third quarter, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 44.7%, an increase of 110 basis points from the prior year [9][10] - Consolidated third quarter net revenue, including $3.9 million from the North Fork project, was $475.6 million, up 1.6% from the prior year's third quarter [10] - Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA was $190.9 million, up 4.5% from the prior year's third quarter, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 40.1%, an increase of 110 basis points from the prior year [10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The hotel segment generated near-record results despite the West Tower at Green Valley Ranch being offline for renovation, driven by increased occupancy across the portfolio [11] - The food and beverage segment achieved record revenue and near-record profitability for the quarter, supported by higher cover counts across outlets [11] - Group Sales and Catering delivered near-record third-quarter revenue, with positive momentum expected to continue into early 2026 [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company saw continued strength in carded slot play across its database, including regional and national segments, with robust visitation and net theoretical win driving record revenue and profitability in the gaming segment [11] - The local market is expected to add more than 6,000 new households within a three-mile radius of the Durango property over the next few years, supported by the development of downtown Summerlin and Summerlin West, projected to add approximately 34,000 new households [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on executing its development pipeline, maintaining operating discipline, and enhancing shareholder returns through a balanced capital allocation strategy [21] - Significant investments are being made in the Durango Casino Resort, Sunset Station, and Green Valley Ranch properties, with ongoing renovations and expansions aimed at enhancing guest experience and driving growth [17][18] - The company plans to expand the Durango Casino Resort with additional casino space and amenities, including a bowling facility and luxury movie theaters, to capture additional market share [8][9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the strength and resilience of the business, despite near-term disruptions from ongoing construction projects [13][21] - The Las Vegas locals' market is viewed as fundamentally different from the Strip, with a loyal customer base and a gaming-centric business model that does not rely heavily on tourism [40] - The company anticipates continued stability in its core slot and table games business, with a return to normal hold in the sports business as the fourth quarter begins [12][40] Other Important Information - The company's cash and cash equivalents at the end of the third quarter were $129.8 million, with total principal debt outstanding at $3.4 billion, resulting in a net debt of $3.3 billion [13] - The board approved an increase in the regular cash quarterly dividend to $0.26 per Class A share, reflecting confidence in the business's strength and long-term earnings power [20] - Capital expenditures for the third quarter were $93.7 million, with a full-year expectation of $325 million to $350 million, down $25 million from previous guidance [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about the rationale for the expansion at Durango? - Management highlighted the strong performance of Durango and the lack of competition within three miles, indicating the potential to drive additional traffic and guests through the expansion [25] Question: What was the impact of sports betting hold this quarter? - Management noted that the hold returned to normal levels after an unfavorable hold in the previous year, with an estimated disruption impact of $2.5 million to $3 million for the quarter [30] Question: How did the hotel segment perform relative to the Strip? - The hotel segment performed well, with occupancy up 244 basis points, and the company outperformed the Strip by about 25% on an ADR basis [35] Question: What are the early thoughts on the tavern business? - The company has eight taverns under contract, with two operational and five expected to open in the coming months, showing promising early performance [92][93] Question: What is the expected disruption from ongoing construction projects? - Management anticipates approximately $8 million in disruption from the Green Valley Ranch project in the fourth quarter, with minor disruptions at other properties [30][90]
Red Rock Resorts(RRR) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-28 21:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, the company's Las Vegas operations achieved net revenue of $468.6 million, an increase of almost 1% year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA of $209.4 million, up 3.4% from the previous year [8][9] - Consolidated net revenue for the quarter was $475.6 million, reflecting a 1.6% increase from the prior year, while adjusted EBITDA was $190.9 million, up 4.5% [9] - The adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 40.1%, an increase of 110 basis points from the prior year [9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The hotel segment performed exceptionally well, achieving near-record results despite renovations at Green Valley Ranch, with occupancy rates increasing across the portfolio [11] - The food and beverage segment also reported record revenue and near-record profitability, driven by higher cover counts [11] - The gaming segment experienced the highest third-quarter revenue and profitability in the company's history, supported by robust visitation and net theoretical win [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted continued strength in carded slot play across its database, including regional and national segments, indicating a healthy demand from both local and out-of-town guests [10] - The Las Vegas locals' market remains resilient, with the company positioned to capture market share due to its gaming-centric business model [38] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding the Durango Casino Resort, with a total project cost of approximately $120 million, expected to be completed in late December [5][12] - Future phases of the Durango Master Plan will add significant new amenities and gaming capacity, with an estimated cost of $385 million [6][7] - The company is committed to disciplined capital allocation, returning approximately $221 million to shareholders year-to-date through dividends and share repurchases [18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the strength and resilience of the business, despite ongoing construction disruptions at several properties [12][19] - The company anticipates continued stability in its core gaming operations and a return to normal hold in its sports betting business [11][29] - Management highlighted the favorable demographic trends and high barriers to entry in the Las Vegas locals' market as key drivers for long-term growth [19] Other Important Information - The company reported cash and cash equivalents of $129.8 million and total debt of $3.4 billion, resulting in a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.89 times [12] - The board approved an increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.26 per Class A share, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term earnings power [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the rationale for the expansion at Durango? - Management noted that the expansion aims to drive additional traffic and guests by adding capacity and entertainment assets, with expected returns similar to the initial build [24][25] Question: What was the impact of sports betting hold this quarter? - Management indicated that the hold returned to normal levels after a previous unfavorable hold last year, with an estimated disruption impact of $2.5 to $3 million for the quarter [29][30] Question: How did the hotel performance compare to the Strip? - Management reported strong hotel performance, with occupancy up and RevPAR only slightly down, outperforming the Strip by about 25% on an ADR basis [33] Question: What is the outlook for construction disruption? - Management expects disruption from ongoing projects to extend into 2026, with estimated impacts of around $8 million for Q4 [30][81] Question: Can you provide an update on the tavern business? - Management reported that two taverns are operational with strong early performance, and five more are expected to open in 2026, targeting a younger customer base [84][85]
Boyd Gaming (BYD) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-23 22:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported revenues exceeding $1 billion for the third quarter, with EBITDA at $322 million, maintaining margins at 37% [4][17] - Year-to-date capital expenditures reached $440 million, with expectations to total approximately $600 million for the year [20][21] - The total leverage ratio improved from 2.8x to 1.5x following the sale of a stake in FanDuel [23][90] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Las Vegas Locals segment generated revenues of $211 million and EBITDA of $92 million, with year-over-year growth of 2% excluding the Orleans property [5][6] - The Midwest and South segment achieved its strongest third-quarter performance in three years, with revenues rising 3% to $539 million and EBITDA growing to $202 million [9][10] - The online segment showed growth from Boyd Interactive, with an increased EBITDA guidance to $60 million for the year [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The broader Las Vegas Locals market saw gaming revenue growth of over 3% in the last 12 months, supported by solid wage growth of more than 6% [7][9] - The Southern Nevada economy remains resilient and diversified, with significant job growth in sectors beyond hospitality [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on capital investments to enhance property offerings, with a budget of $100 million per year for growth capital projects [14][21] - Ongoing expansions include the Sky River Casino and the Cadence Crossing project, aimed at enhancing competitive positioning in the market [15][16] - The company maintains a disciplined approach to M&A, looking for the right opportunities in the market [31] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted strong play from core customers and improving trends from retail customers, indicating a positive outlook for the fourth quarter [12][18] - The company is optimistic about the impact of recent tax legislation on customer spending, although specific quantification of benefits remains uncertain [8][66] - Management expressed confidence in the long-term growth potential of the Las Vegas Locals business, supported by a diversified economy [9][18] Other Important Information - The company repurchased $160 million in stock during the quarter and paid $15 million in dividends, returning a total of $637 million to shareholders year-to-date [17][22] - The company is managing ongoing construction at properties like Suncoast and Orleans, with expectations of minimal disruption to operations [14][52] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the main drivers of weakness in the destination business? - Management indicated that the weakness is primarily in the destination business, particularly at the Orleans, while core and locals customers continue to perform well [26][28] Question: Can you share thoughts on the M&A pipeline? - Management noted a disciplined approach to M&A, monitoring opportunities but not seeing a significant increase in pitch books [31] Question: How did the Midwest and South properties perform? - Performance was broad-based across the portfolio, with notable growth at Treasure Chest [36] Question: What is the expected impact of the Orleans renovation? - Management anticipates limited disruption from the renovation, with more clarity on timing and scope to be provided later [51][54] Question: How is the promotional environment across markets? - Management reported a consistent promotional environment, maintaining disciplined marketing spend despite increased competition [55] Question: What are the expectations for the tax bill benefits? - Management expects incremental benefits from the tax bill but has not quantified the overall impact on revenue and EBITDA [66] Question: How is the balance sheet positioned for future leverage? - Management indicated that leverage is expected to gradually increase to around 2.5x due to capital plans, but they are not actively seeking to increase leverage at this time [90][92]
Monarch Casino & Resort Reports All-Time Record Quarterly Financial Results
Globenewswire· 2025-10-21 20:03
Core Insights - Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. reported record financial results for the third quarter of 2025, achieving the highest quarterly revenue, net income, and EBITDA in its 32-year history [1][2][8] Financial Performance - Net revenue for Q3 2025 was $142.8 million, a 3.6% increase from $137.9 million in Q3 2024 [1][5] - Net income rose by 14.4% to $31.6 million compared to $27.6 million in the same period last year [1][8] - Adjusted EBITDA reached an all-time quarterly record of $54.8 million, reflecting an 8.3% increase from $50.6 million in Q3 2024 [1][8] - Basic EPS increased by 15.3% to $1.73, while diluted EPS rose by 15.0% to $1.69 [1][8] Revenue Breakdown - Casino revenue increased by 5.0%, food and beverage revenue grew by 2.9%, and hotel revenue rose by 3.9% year-over-year [5][8] - SG&A expenses for Q3 2025 were $27.5 million, slightly up from $27.2 million in Q3 2024, but as a percentage of net revenue, it decreased to 19.3% from 19.7% [6][8] Operational Efficiency - Casino operating expenses as a percentage of casino revenue decreased to 35.8% from 36.3% year-over-year, attributed to improved labor management and operational efficiencies [6][7] - Food and beverage operating expenses as a percentage of revenue decreased to 69.9% from 72.8%, while hotel operating expenses declined to 31.4% from 33.8% [7] Capital Management - As of September 30, 2025, the company had cash and cash equivalents of $107.6 million and no borrowings against its credit facility [9] - Capital expenditures for Q3 2025 totaled $5.4 million, funded from operating cash flow, including upgrades to guest rooms at Atlantis [9][11] - The company declared a cash dividend of $0.30 per share, payable on December 15, 2025, as part of an annual cash dividend of $1.20 per share [10][13] Share Repurchase Program - In Q3 2025, the company repurchased 111,169 shares for $11.3 million under its Repurchase Plan, funded from operating cash flow [11]
Full House Resorts: Despite Lackluster Recent News, Bull Case Has Yet To Shatter (FLL)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-29 04:51
Core Insights - Full House Resorts (NASDAQ: FLL) has seen significant stock price fluctuations since May, with notable increases in June and July attributed to insider buying activity [1] Company Performance - The stock price of FLL surged sharply during June and July, indicating a strong market interest and confidence in the company due to insider purchases [1]