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Brinker to Post Q4 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-08-11 15:41
Core Insights - Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) is set to report its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results on August 13, 2025, with expectations of strong earnings and revenue growth [1][10] Earnings Performance - In the last reported quarter, adjusted earnings and revenues exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 7.3% and 3.4%, respectively, with year-over-year increases of 114.5% and 27.2% [1][2] - The company has beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 24.5% [2] Estimate Revisions - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal fourth-quarter EPS has risen to $2.43 from $2.39 over the past 30 days, indicating a 50.9% increase from the previous year's $1.61 per share [3] - The revenue consensus is set at $1.43 billion, reflecting an 18.6% growth from the same quarter last year [3] Revenue Drivers - Revenue growth is anticipated due to effective marketing strategies, improved menu pricing, increased traffic, and a favorable menu item mix [4] - Chili's core menu strategies and operational improvements at Maggiano's are expected to contribute positively to sales [4][6] - Digital initiatives and social media campaigns targeting younger demographics may have further enhanced guest check and comparable sales growth, with projected comps rising 18.1% year over year [5] Margin Expectations - Margins are expected to improve year over year, supported by strategic pricing, effective cost management, and a focus on higher-margin menu items [7] - However, inflationary pressures on labor and commodities, along with increased operating costs, may partially offset margin gains, with total operating costs predicted to rise 14.7% year over year to $1.28 billion [8] Overall Outlook - Earnings and revenues are likely to show solid year-over-year gains in fiscal Q4 2025, driven by pricing strategies, traffic gains, and core menu initiatives [10] - The model predicts an earnings beat for Brinker, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +0.93% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [11][12]