Core Insights - Akamai Technologies reported fourth-quarter results that exceeded Wall Street expectations, but shares fell approximately 10% intra-day due to weaker-than-expected guidance for the upcoming year [1] Financial Performance - Non-GAAP earnings were $1.84 per share, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.75 [1] - Revenue increased 7% year over year to $1.095 billion, slightly above analyst projections of $1.08 billion [1] - GAAP net income per diluted share decreased 36% to $0.58, primarily due to a $55 million restructuring charge [3] - Non-GAAP net income rose 6% to $270 million, and adjusted EBITDA increased 7% to $458 million, representing a margin of 42% [3] - For the full year, revenue rose 5% to $4.21 billion, with non-GAAP EPS growing 10% to $7.12, while GAAP EPS declined 6% to $3.07 [3] Revenue Breakdown - Growth was driven by higher-margin security and cloud offerings, with security revenue advancing 11% to $592 million [2] - Guardicore Segmentation and API Security revenue surged 36% to $90 million [2] - Cloud Infrastructure Services revenue climbed 45% to $94 million [2] - In contrast, Delivery revenue declined 2% to $311 million [2] Future Guidance - Akamai forecasted fiscal 2026 non-GAAP EPS between $6.20 and $7.20, below the consensus estimate of $7.34 [4] - Projected revenue for the upcoming year is between $4.4 billion and $4.55 billion, with a non-GAAP operating margin of 26% to 28% [4]

Core Insights - Cloudflare Inc. reported fourth-quarter results that exceeded Wall Street expectations, driven by increased demand for artificial intelligence [1] - The company’s revenue for the fourth quarter was $614.51 million, surpassing analyst estimates of $591.28 million, with adjusted earnings of 28 cents per share, beating the consensus estimate of 27 cents [1] Financial Performance - Total revenue increased by 34% year-over-year [2] - The company recorded an operating loss of $49.2 million but achieved adjusted operating income of $89.6 million [2] - Free cash flow for the quarter was $99.4 million [2] Future Guidance - For Q1 2026, Cloudflare expects revenue between $620 million and $621 million, exceeding the Street's estimate of $613.93 million, but projects adjusted EPS of 23 cents, below the consensus of 25 cents [3] - Full-year 2026 revenue guidance is set at $2.79 billion to $2.80 billion, above analyst expectations of $2.74 billion, with projected adjusted EPS of $1.11 to $1.12 compared to estimates of $1.21 [3] Technical Analysis - Cloudflare's stock is trading approximately 14% above its 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and just 0.1% below its 100-day SMA, indicating strong short-term momentum and maintaining longer-term strength [4] - Over the past 12 months, shares have increased by 4.31%, positioning the stock closer to its 52-week highs, suggesting a bullish trend [4] Momentum Indicators - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 48.92, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD is above its signal line, suggesting bullish conditions [5] - The combination of neutral RSI and bullish MACD indicates mixed momentum, suggesting potential for further upward movement [5] Analyst Consensus - The stock carries a Buy Rating with an average price target of $217.03 [7] - Recent analyst actions include a 14.38% increase in shares during premarket trading, reaching $205.86 [7] - Key resistance is identified at $218.50 and key support at $191.00 [7]

Core Insights - Oracle reported an increase in remaining performance obligations for the second quarter, attributed to strong demand for its cloud infrastructure services as businesses accelerate their adoption of artificial intelligence [1] Group 1 - The growth in remaining performance obligations indicates a positive trend in Oracle's cloud service segment, reflecting robust market demand [1] - The company's focus on cloud infrastructure is aligned with broader industry trends towards digital transformation and AI integration [1]

Core Viewpoint - Oracle is positioned at the forefront of the artificial intelligence boom, but concerns about its rising debt and potential risks in the AI market are growing among investors [2]. Group 1: Financial Performance Expectations - Analysts expect Oracle's revenue to increase by 15% in the fiscal second quarter, reaching approximately $16.21 billion, up from $14.1 billion a year earlier [1][8]. - Cloud revenue is anticipated to be around $7.92 billion, while software revenue is expected to be approximately $6.06 billion [1]. Group 2: Market Position and Competition - Over the past decade, Oracle has diversified into cloud infrastructure, competing with major players like Amazon, Microsoft, and Google, all of whom are heavily investing in AI-related data centers and hardware [4]. - OpenAI has committed to spending over $300 billion on Oracle's infrastructure services over the next five years, highlighting Oracle's role in the AI sector [5]. Group 3: Stock Performance and Investor Sentiment - Oracle's stock experienced a significant decline of 23% in November, marking its worst monthly performance since 2001, and is currently 33% below its record high from September [3]. - Despite the recent downturn, Oracle's shares are up 33% for the year, outperforming the Nasdaq's 22% gain during the same period [3]. Group 4: Debt and Risk Concerns - Oracle raised $18 billion during the recent period, one of the largest issuances for a tech company, leading to increased investor skepticism reflected in the rising prices of five-year credit default swaps [6]. - Analysts express concerns about customer concentration and the company's ability to manage its debt, with RBC analyst Rishi Jaluria questioning how Oracle will finance its growth [7].

Core Insights - Akamai Technologies Inc. reported better-than-expected third-quarter results, leading to a 10% increase in share price during intra-day trading [1] - The company raised its full-year outlook, indicating strong growth potential [3] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share for the third quarter were $1.86, exceeding analyst estimates of $1.64 [1] - Revenue for the quarter reached $1.055 billion, surpassing expectations of $1.04 billion, representing a 5% year-over-year increase or 4% on a constant-currency basis [1] - For 2025, Akamai raised its revenue outlook to between $4.178 billion and $4.198 billion, and adjusted EPS guidance to $6.93–$7.13, both exceeding consensus projections [3] Business Segments - The security business drove growth with revenue up 10% year-over-year to $568 million [2] - Cloud Infrastructure Services revenue surged 39% to $81 million [2] - Content delivery revenue fell 4% to $306 million [2] Future Guidance - The company forecasts fourth-quarter revenue between $1.065 billion and $1.085 billion, with adjusted earnings per share expected in the range of $1.65–$1.85, both at or above market expectations [2]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Akamai reported Q3 2025 revenue of $1.055 billion, representing a 5% year-over-year increase as reported and a 4% increase in constant currency [4][20] - Non-GAAP operating margins improved to 31%, and non-GAAP earnings per share was $1.86, up 17% year-over-year as reported and in constant currency [4][20] - Non-GAAP net income for Q3 was $269 million, with a non-GAAP EPS of $1.86, exceeding guidance by $0.20 [21][24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cloud Infrastructure Services (CIS) revenue was $81 million, up 39% year-over-year as reported and in constant currency, accelerating from a 30% growth rate in Q2 [6][19] - Security revenue reached $568 million, up 10% year-over-year as reported and 9% in constant currency, with high-growth security products generating $77 million, an increase of 35% year-over-year [20][14] - Delivery revenue was $306 million, down 4% year-over-year as reported and in constant currency, but showing improved trends [20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International revenue was $525 million, up 9% year-over-year, representing 50% of total revenue in Q3 [20] - Foreign exchange fluctuations positively impacted revenue by $4 million sequentially and $8 million year-over-year [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Akamai is transitioning from a CDN pioneer to a leader in cloud security and distributed cloud computing, with a focus on AI inference capabilities [5][10] - The launch of Akamai Inference Cloud aims to support the growing demand for AI inference on the internet, positioning the company to leverage its distributed architecture [7][11] - The company emphasizes the importance of reliability, aiming for five nines of uptime, which is critical for attracting major clients like banks [75] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the growth of CIS and high-growth security solutions, anticipating continued strong demand for AI-related services [20][24] - The company expects Q4 revenue to be in the range of $1.065 billion to $1.085 billion, reflecting a 4%-6% increase as reported [23] - Management noted that the AI inference market is at a transition point, with significant growth expected as AI systems are adopted at scale [10][12] Other Important Information - Akamai's CapEx for Q3 was $224 million, representing 21% of revenue, as the company continues to invest in its CIS business [21] - The company has not repurchased any shares in Q3 but has spent $800 million year-to-date on share buybacks, marking the largest annual buyback in its history [21][22] Q&A Session Summary Question: Guidance on security and compute growth - Management reiterated security growth at about 10% and compute growth slightly under 15% for the year, with momentum in CIS [28] Question: Insights on Akamai Inference Cloud - Management indicated strong interest and demand for AI applications, with many customers looking to adopt inference capabilities [30][32] Question: Hiring strategy for sales reps - The company is continuing to hire sales reps to support new business sales in security and compute, with a transformation expected to be largely complete by Q2 next year [36][37] Question: Confidence in benefiting from capacity constraints at hyperscalers - Management highlighted Akamai's unique platform and extensive points of presence, which allow it to provide faster services compared to hyperscalers [41][42] Question: Opportunities in API Security - Management confirmed ongoing efforts to extend API security into new agentic protocols, with strong interest from customers [44] Question: CapEx requirements for inference - Management noted that CapEx will closely follow revenue and demand, with expectations for similar gross margins to current compute margins [46][47] Question: Traffic mix and future trends - Management indicated that video delivery currently dominates traffic, but AI applications are expected to increase traffic significantly in the future [68][70]

Core Insights - Akamai Technologies reported Q3 CY2025 results that exceeded market revenue expectations, with sales reaching $1.05 billion, reflecting a 5% year-on-year growth [1][7] - The company anticipates Q4 revenue to be around $1.08 billion, aligning closely with analysts' estimates [1][7] - Non-GAAP profit per share was $1.86, surpassing analysts' consensus by 13.7% [1][7] Company Performance - Akamai delivered strong quarterly results, showcasing solid top-line performance and excellent bottom-line results, with significant year-over-year EPS growth and improved margins [3] - The company experienced a 39% year-on-year revenue growth in its Cloud Infrastructure Services segment, indicating strong momentum in this area [3] Revenue Growth Analysis - Over the past five years, Akamai's sales grew at a compounded annual growth rate of 5.8%, which is below the benchmark for the software sector [5] - The annualized revenue growth of 5.1% over the last two years aligns with the five-year trend, suggesting consistently weak demand [6] Financial Metrics - Q3 revenue was $1.05 billion, beating analyst estimates of $1.04 billion by 1% [7] - Adjusted EPS of $1.86 exceeded analyst estimates of $1.64 by 13.7% [7] - Adjusted Operating Income was $322 million, with a margin of 30.5%, surpassing estimates of $291.1 million [7] - Management raised full-year Adjusted EPS guidance to $7.03, reflecting a 4.9% increase [7] - Operating Margin improved to 15.7%, up from 7% in the same quarter last year [7] - Free Cash Flow Margin increased to 31.2%, up from 22.6% in the previous quarter [7] - Market Capitalization stands at $10.46 billion [7]

Core Insights - Global equity markets experienced a rally in Q3 2025, driven by enthusiasm for generative AI and strong capital flows into semiconductors, with the MSCI All Country World Index reaching record highs and returning 7.7% [7][8] - The U.S. equities outperformed due to robust economic growth and earnings, while emerging markets, particularly China, saw significant gains fueled by AI optimism and supportive government policies [8][9] - The investment strategy focused on quality growth faced challenges as the market favored high-beta growth stocks, leading to underperformance relative to broader indexes [8][16] Market Performance - The Polen Global Growth Composite Portfolio returned 3.0% gross of fees and 2.7% net of fees in Q3 2025, underperforming the MSCI All Country World Index [17] - Top contributors to the portfolio's performance included Oracle, Shopify, and Alphabet, while the largest detractors were Paycom, SAP, and Adyen [17][18] Investment Activity - New positions were established in NVIDIA, Broadcom, TSMC, Boston Scientific, and Uber, while positions in ADP, Airbnb, Accenture, and Thermo Fisher Scientific were eliminated to optimize portfolio positioning [22][23] - The decision to invest in semiconductor companies was influenced by the increasing demand for AI-related hardware, with NVIDIA expected to generate earnings growth of approximately 20% per year [25][26] Economic Context - The U.S. economy grew at a revised annual rate of 3.8% in Q2 2025, driven by technology capital expenditures and AI-related spending, despite concerns over a softening labor market [10][13] - The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points for the first time in 2025, indicating a shift in focus towards employment [13] Sector Analysis - Defensive sectors like healthcare and consumer staples lagged as the market bifurcated into 'AI winners or losers,' with high-beta growth companies dominating returns [15][16] - The hyperscaler management teams indicated significant increases in future capital expenditures, particularly for AI-related projects, reflecting strong demand in the sector [14] Company-Specific Highlights - Oracle reported a 359% increase in remaining performance obligations, highlighting the demand for cloud computing and AI infrastructure [11][12] - Boston Scientific is expected to grow earnings in the mid-teens over the next 3-5 years, driven by its innovative medical products [29] - Uber anticipates nearly $200 billion in booking transactions for 2025, with a projected earnings growth of around 20% per annum over the next five years [30]

Core Viewpoint - Oracle's shares experienced a significant decline of up to 8.1% following its Investor Day presentation, despite the company providing impressive long-term guidance for 2030, indicating a potential "sell the news" reaction from investors [1][9] Group 1: Financial Performance and Projections - Oracle reported a massive 359% growth in its cloud RPO, reaching $455 billion, primarily driven by a contract with OpenAI [2] - The company anticipates gross margins between 30% and 40% on its large cloud infrastructure deals, which is higher than previous fears, and projects $225 billion in revenue by 2030, with approximately $166 billion expected from its cloud infrastructure unit [4] - Despite these positive projections, Oracle's stock trades around $291 per share, reflecting a valuation of 13.9 times the projected 2030 earnings, which some analysts consider strikingly cheap [5] Group 2: Market Reactions and Analyst Sentiment - Investors expressed skepticism regarding Oracle's ambitious projections and the concentration of revenue from OpenAI, with concerns about the current 14% gross margin on cloud infrastructure services [3][6] - Following the Investor Day, analysts from Guggenheim and T.D. Cowen raised their price targets for Oracle to $400, up from $375, indicating a positive outlook despite the stock's decline [8]

Group 1 - Oracle Corp. shares increased over 3% to $313 in pre-market trading, building on a 3.41% gain from the previous session, driven by optimism regarding a potential TikTok acquisition and the company's role in AI infrastructure [1][4] - Reports indicate that the U.S. and China have established a preliminary framework for a TikTok deal, with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirming the agreement [2][3] - Oracle is a leading candidate to acquire TikTok, managing American user data since 2022 under Project Texas, as TikTok faces a deadline to divest or risk a ban in the U.S. [3] Group 2 - Oracle's stock has surged 26.28% over five days following earnings, despite missing first-quarter revenue estimates, with remaining performance obligations increasing 359% to $455 billion due to significant cloud commitments [4] - Berenberg raised Oracle's price target from $202 to $306, reflecting confidence in the company's pivot towards AI infrastructure, with emphasis on the "multi-trillion-dollar" AI inference market [5] - As of September 10, Oracle's stock reached a yearly high of $328.23, with a market capitalization of $858.60 billion and a price-to-earnings ratio of 69.93 [6]