Core Insights - Molson Coors Beverage Company is facing significant challenges in the beer market, with U.S. beer consumption declining sharply in 2025 due to macroeconomic factors such as inflation and tariffs, particularly affecting lower-income consumers who are key to mainstream beer purchases [1][9] - The company's flagship brands, including Coors Light and Miller Lite, are experiencing increased competitive pressure and changing consumer behavior, leading to fewer buyers and reduced spending [1][9] Strategic Initiatives - To address these challenges, Molson Coors is adopting a more aggressive strategy to revitalize its core portfolio, which includes increasing marketing investments in flagship brands and launching new campaigns, particularly in high-visibility areas like sports and music [2][9] - The company is also focusing on local market execution, recognizing that different regions respond variably to pricing and promotional activities [2] Portfolio Rebalancing - Molson Coors is rebalancing its portfolio to emphasize economy brands, which are crucial in a strained consumer environment, by enhancing pricing discipline and regional activation for brands like Miller High Life and Keystone Light [3] - The company aims to strengthen its market share in segments where recent softness has been most pronounced [3] Future Outlook - Despite the current beer market slowdown, Molson Coors' targeted investments and commercial realignment may lead to stabilization and potential growth once macroeconomic pressures subside [4] Financial Performance - Molson Coors shares have declined by 19.5% over the past six months, underperforming the Zacks Beverages - Soft Drinks industry, which fell by 11.1%, and the broader Consumer Staples sector, which decreased by 7.2% [5] - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 8.22X, which is below the industry average of 14.52X, indicating it may be undervalued and present a compelling investment opportunity [10]

Core Insights - Molson Coors Beverage Company reported a challenging third quarter for 2025, with net sales decreasing by 2.3% to $2,973.5 million compared to $3,042.7 million in the same period last year, primarily due to lower financial volume and increased competition in the industry [4][5][8]. Financial Performance - The company experienced a U.S. GAAP loss before income taxes of $3,495.5 million, a significant decline from the prior year's income before income taxes, largely attributed to a $3,645.7 million non-cash partial goodwill impairment charge [5][10]. - Underlying income before income taxes was $426.0 million, reflecting an 11.9% decrease in constant currency [5][10]. - U.S. GAAP net loss attributable to Molson Coors was $2,927.6 million, resulting in a diluted loss per share of $14.79 [5][10]. - Underlying diluted earnings per share decreased by 7.2% to $1.67 [5][10]. Volume and Sales Dynamics - Financial volume decreased by 6.0%, with brand volume down by 4.5%, indicating lower shipments in both the Americas and EMEA&APAC segments [9][19]. - Price and sales mix positively impacted net sales by 2.7%, while foreign currency effects contributed an additional 1.0% [8][9]. - Net sales per hectoliter increased by 4.0% reported and 2.9% on a constant currency basis [9][19]. Segment Performance - In the Americas segment, net sales decreased by 3.6% to $2,260.0 million, driven by lower financial volume, partially offset by a favorable price and sales mix [13][16]. - The EMEA&APAC segment saw a 2.4% increase in net sales, primarily due to favorable foreign currency impacts and price mix, despite a 4.9% decline in financial volume [25][26]. Cost and Expense Management - Cost of goods sold decreased by 2.2% on a reported basis, but COGS per hectoliter increased by 4.1% due to cost inflation and unfavorable mix [10][11]. - Marketing, general, and administrative expenses increased by 0.3% on a reported basis, primarily due to timing of marketing investments [10][11]. Cash Flow and Liquidity - Net cash provided by operating activities for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $1,243.7 million, a decrease of $172.1 million compared to the previous year [28]. - Total debt as of September 30, 2025, was $6,292.0 million, with cash and cash equivalents totaling $950.2 million, resulting in a net debt of $5,341.8 million [28]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates a decline in net sales of 3% to 4% on a constant currency basis for the full year 2025, expecting to be at the low end of the range for key financial metrics [28]. - A restructuring plan was announced to create a leaner organization, involving the elimination of approximately 400 salaried positions, with expected charges of $35 million to $50 million [29].

Core Viewpoint - Molson Coors Beverage Company is implementing a 9% workforce reduction in its Americas business, equating to approximately 400 roles, as part of a restructuring plan aimed at returning to growth under new CEO Rahul Goyal [1][2]. Restructuring Plan - The company anticipates restructuring charges between $35 million and $50 million, primarily related to cash severance and post-employment benefits, expected mostly in the fourth quarter of 2025 [2]. - Related cash outflows are projected over the next 12 months [3]. Leadership Changes - The restructuring follows a recent executive reshuffle, including the departure of the chief commercial officer, indicating broader changes at the executive level [3]. - Goyal emphasized the need for a realignment of the leadership team and organizational structure to enhance accountability and drive future growth [4]. Strategic Focus - The restructuring aims to enhance the company's ability to reinvest in priority brands and initiatives, with a focus on directing resources closer to customers and end consumers [4][5]. - Molson Coors is concentrating on its beer portfolio while also exploring related areas such as premium mixers, non-alcoholic drinks, and energy drinks [5]. Financial Performance - In August, Molson Coors revised its sales and earnings outlook downward for the second time in the year, with second-quarter results showing declines in net sales, volumes, and operating income, although net income saw a slight increase [6].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reaffirmed a free cash flow target of $1.3 billion despite a reduction in expected pretax income growth, attributing this to working capital benefits and cash tax benefits [58][59][60] - The updated guidance assumes continued mid-single-digit declines in the back half of the year, with expectations of low single-digit sales growth in the long term [11][12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is focusing on premiumization within its beer portfolio and expanding into Beyond Beer categories, with brands like Blue Moon non-alcoholic and Peyronie Zero Zero showing significant growth [9][52] - The above premium category in beer is still growing, with the company seeing positive trends in brands like Carling and Stara Promen in the UK [33] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. beer industry is expected to continue experiencing declines of around 4% to 6%, with the company anticipating a share loss of about 50 basis points in the back half of the year [11][12] - In the UK, consumer sentiment remains challenged, but real wages are up and inflation is coming down, indicating a mixed economic environment [30][32] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is committed to a strategy of premiumization and expanding its portfolio to meet changing consumer preferences, including investments in non-alcoholic beverages [4][10] - The company is also focusing on enhancing its presence in convenience stores, which are a significant channel for beer sales, through targeted marketing and partnerships [34][36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that consumer sentiment is low and uncertain, with a shift towards value-seeking behaviors among consumers [23][24] - The company plans to maintain marketing investments to support brand health despite macroeconomic challenges, emphasizing long-term growth over short-term gains [45][46] Other Important Information - The company is actively managing its brewery footprint and considering logistics costs when making decisions about capacity and brewery closures [21][22] - The Midwest premium pricing mechanism has seen significant volatility, which the company is monitoring closely [62] Q&A Session Summary Question: How does the company assess the industry's response to the slowdown in category growth? - Management believes the industry softness is cyclical, driven by macroeconomic factors affecting consumer sentiment, particularly among lower-income consumers [2][3] Question: What are the long-term expectations for beer sales growth? - The company expects long-term sales growth to be low single digits, driven by premiumization and pricing strategies [12][13] Question: How is the company addressing the competitive environment in the UK? - The company is focusing on premiumization and maintaining a value-over-volume approach, despite challenges in pricing and competition [32][33] Question: What is the strategy for the convenience store channel? - The company is implementing a targeted strategy to increase its share in convenience stores through partnerships and promotional activities [34][36] Question: How does the company view the future of non-alcoholic beer? - Management sees significant growth potential in the non-alcoholic segment, with brands like Peyronie Zero Zero and Blue Moon non-alcoholic showing strong performance [52][53]

Core Concept - The collaboration between Wrangler and Coors Banquet introduces the Wrangler x Coors Banquet Collection, celebrating the spirit of the West through a unique co-collection of apparel and accessories [1][2]. Product Details - The collection features over twenty unique pieces, including denim vests with Coors-branded embroidery, pullover sweaters, classic Wrangler 13MWZ Cowboy Cut Jeans with limited-edition copper hardware, and graphic t-shirts [3]. - The collection will be available starting August 21, 2025, through Wrangler stores, select western retailers, and online platforms [6]. Marketing and Promotion - The collaboration includes a national advertising campaign featuring hand-painted posters created by artist Caitlin Hatch, using a custom watercolor blend made with Coors Banquet beer [4]. - Wrangler and Coors Banquet will host a series of pop-up events called the Legends of the West Tour in cities like Dallas, Nashville, and Denver, allowing fans to experience the collection firsthand [5]. Brand Legacy - Wrangler has a 75-year legacy in authentic American style, rooted in the Western lifestyle, and is committed to superior quality and timeless design [7]. - Molson Coors Beverage Company has a long history of brewing beverages that unite people, with a diverse portfolio that includes iconic beer brands and modern flavored beverages [8][9].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is reducing its top and bottom line guidance for 2025, now expecting net sales revenue to decline by 3% to 4% on a constant currency basis, compared to a previous low single-digit decline [11] - Underlying pretax income is now expected to decline by 12% to 15% on a constant currency basis, a significant change from the previous low single-digit decline [12] - Underlying earnings per share are anticipated to decline by 7% to 10%, contrasting with earlier expectations of low single-digit growth [12] - The company reaffirms its underlying free cash flow guidance of $1,300 million plus or minus 10% [36] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Core power brands, including Coors Light, Miller Lite, and Coors Banquet, maintained a 15.2% volume share of the industry for the first half of the year, up from 13.4% three years ago [15] - Banquet has shown strong performance with over 15% distribution growth in the first half of the year [16] - The company is experiencing a shift to value-seeking behaviors in the U.S., focusing on pack size rather than brand loyalty [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. beer industry is down approximately 5% year-to-date, which is worse than previously expected [9] - The Midwest premium pricing has increased by over 180% since January, significantly impacting costs [10] - In Canada, the Molson family of brands gained volume share despite a challenging industry backdrop [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company continues to focus on premiumization in both beer and beyond beer categories, despite current market pressures [18] - The strategy includes leveraging capabilities and partnerships to support profitable growth and maintaining the health of core brands [24] - The company is committed to executing its share repurchase program and has repurchased 9.4% of its outstanding shares [25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management views the current softness in industry performance as cyclical, driven by macroeconomic factors [13] - Consumer sentiment in the U.S. remains low, particularly affecting lower-income and Hispanic consumers [6][7] - Management believes that consumer confidence will eventually improve, although the timing is uncertain [42] Other Important Information - The company has raised its quarterly dividend each year since 2021 and continues to execute its share repurchase plan [25] - The integration of Fever Tree is progressing well, and it is expected to contribute positively to brand mix in the Americas [23] Q&A Session Questions and Answers Question: Can you unpack the updated guidance and the profit headwinds, specifically regarding aluminum and the Midwest premium? - Management indicated that the industry did not improve as expected, and the dramatic increase in the Midwest premium significantly impacted Q2 and future assumptions [39][40] Question: Have you seen any increases from the Midwest premium in Q2, or is that expected in the back half of the year? - Management confirmed that the Midwest premium increased unexpectedly, with an anticipated impact of $20 million to $35 million for the remainder of the year [58] Question: What is the company's confidence level regarding the cyclical nature of the current industry decline? - Management maintains that the current decline is cyclical and believes consumer confidence will eventually recover [42][56] Question: How is the company addressing the competitive environment and potential changes in marketing strategies? - Management is focusing on driving brand campaigns and leveraging partnerships to improve market share, particularly in the on-premise channel [96] Question: Can you provide insights on the volume deleverage impact for the second half of the year? - Management expects to reverse a volume deleverage of approximately 300,000 hectoliters in the second half, mainly in Q3 [103]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is reducing its top and bottom line guidance for 2025, now expecting net sales revenue to decline by 3% to 4% on a constant currency basis, compared to a previous low single-digit decline expectation [10][12] - Underlying pretax income is now expected to decline by 12% to 15% on a constant currency basis, a significant change from the previous low single-digit decline forecast [12] - Underlying earnings per share are anticipated to decline by 7% to 10%, contrasting with earlier expectations of low single-digit growth [12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. beer industry is experiencing a decline of approximately 5% in the second quarter, which is worse than previously expected [8][10] - Core power brands, including Coors Light, Miller Lite, and Coors Banquet, have retained a 15.2% volume share of the industry for the first half of the year, up from 13.4% three years ago [15] - Banquet has shown strong performance, gaining over 15% distribution in the first half of the year and being a top five volume share growth brand [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consumer sentiment in the U.S. remains low, particularly affecting lower-income and Hispanic consumers, leading to reduced consumption trends [5][6] - In Canada, the Molson family of brands has posted volume share gains despite a challenging industry backdrop [17] - The UK market remains highly competitive, with brands like Carling and Ajusco maintaining segment leadership despite regional softness [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on premiumization across its portfolio, with plans to develop both beer and beyond beer products [18][20] - The strategy includes leveraging capabilities and partnerships to support profitable growth, particularly in the U.S. market [14] - The company aims to maintain the health of its core power brands while navigating macroeconomic pressures [25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management views the current softness in industry performance as cyclical, driven by macroeconomic factors, and expects consumer confidence to eventually improve [13][44] - The company is committed to protecting and growing its underlying free cash flow while making prudent capital allocation decisions [37] - Management acknowledges the challenges posed by the Midwest premium pricing, which has increased significantly, impacting cost structures [9][12] Other Important Information - The company has executed a share repurchase program, repurchasing 9.4% of its outstanding shares since its announcement in October 2023 [27] - The company has raised its quarterly dividend each year since 2021, reflecting confidence in its financial health [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you unpack the updated guidance and profit headwinds? - Management indicated that the industry did not improve as expected, with a significant increase in the Midwest premium impacting guidance negatively [40][41] Question: What is the impact of Midwest Premium increases? - The company expects an incremental impact of $20 million to $35 million from the Midwest premium for the balance of the year, with a full-year impact of $40 million to $55 million [55] Question: Are there signs of improvement in consumer confidence? - Management noted that overall consumer confidence has not improved, with value-conscious behaviors continuing among consumers [61][62] Question: How is the company addressing competitive pressures? - The company is focusing on marketing strategies for key brands and leveraging partnerships to enhance market presence [91] Question: What are the drivers of margin contraction? - Management highlighted that volume deleverage, higher COGS due to premiumization, and Midwest premium costs are significant factors affecting margins [75]

Summary of Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) 2025 Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) - **Event**: 2025 Conference Call - **Date**: June 03, 2025 Key Points Company Positioning and Legacy - The outgoing CEO reflects on a strong company culture and a solid balance sheet, stating that leverage is below 2.5 times, which is an improvement from previous years [3][4] - The company has successfully retained market share in the premium light beer segment, with brands like Coors Banquet and Coors Light performing well [5] Financial Performance and Market Challenges - The company faced a challenging macroeconomic environment, with consumer sentiment being tough, leading to a focus on maintaining market share for core brands [7][8] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a significant decline in the industry, with a drop of 5%, which was unexpected [18][19] - The company anticipates a recovery, projecting a decline of around 3% for the remainder of the year, aided by easier comparisons from the previous summer [18][19] Strategic Focus Areas - The company is prioritizing the execution of its capital allocation plan, focusing on core brands and new product launches, particularly Peroni and Fever Tree [10][11] - There is a strong emphasis on premiumization, with a target of one-third of brand revenue coming from above-premium products, including non-alcoholic options [25][26][34] Distribution and Innovation - The acquisition of Fever Tree is seen as a significant opportunity to enhance the non-alcoholic portfolio, with plans to leverage the existing distribution network [11][15] - The company is also focusing on expanding its presence in convenience stores with higher ABV products [62] Cost Management and Operational Efficiency - The company is managing costs through an extensive hedging program and has diversified its supply chain to mitigate tariff impacts [30][31] - Investments in automated breweries and modernization efforts are expected to drive efficiencies and reduce costs [63][64] Market Dynamics and Consumer Behavior - On-premise sales are performing better than off-premise, indicating a shift in consumer behavior post-COVID [42] - The company has not observed significant trading down among consumers, maintaining a focus on core brands that continue to attract new customers [49][50] Future Outlook and Advice for Successor - The outgoing CEO emphasizes the importance of maintaining the company culture and leveraging the strong balance sheet for future growth opportunities [76][77] - There is a belief in the cyclical recovery of the market, with optimism for long-term growth despite current challenges [71][79] Conclusion - The conference call highlighted Molson Coors' strategic focus on premiumization, innovation, and operational efficiency while navigating a challenging market environment. The company is well-positioned for future growth with a strong balance sheet and a commitment to its core brands.

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated net sales revenue decreased by 10.4% compared to the prior year [14] - Underlying pretax income fell by 49.5% [14] - Underlying earnings per share declined by 47.4% [14] - U.S. financial volume decreased by 15.7%, lagging behind U.S. brand volume which was down 8.8% [15] - Net sales revenue per hectoliter in The Americas increased by 4.8% [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. experienced significant volume performance challenges, with expected shipment headwinds and one-time transition fees related to Fever Tree impacting results [10][14] - In EMEA and APAC, financial volume was down 9.7% due to soft industry demand [20] - The addition of Fever Tree in the U.S. is showing early positive signs, contributing to net sales revenue per hectoliter growth [20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell by nearly 20 percentage points since the beginning of the year, and GDP turned negative for the first quarter [14] - The beer industry is facing macroeconomic pressures, impacting consumer consumption behavior [8][14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on premiumizing its portfolio and strengthening core power brands [12][38] - Adjustments to capital expenditure plans are being made to ensure prudent use of free cash flow [13] - The company aims to navigate short-term challenges while supporting medium and long-term growth objectives [12][38] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledges the macroeconomic uncertainties and their impact on performance, updating guidance for the full year to reflect a low single-digit net sales revenue decline [14][50] - Despite challenges, management remains confident in the long-term growth algorithm and the strength of core brands [11][38] Other Important Information - The company plans to return cash to shareholders while investing in high-priority growth initiatives [44][56] - Management announced the intention of the CEO to retire at the end of the year, emphasizing continuity in business operations during the transition [57] Q&A Session All Questions and Answers Question: What has changed since the start of the year regarding the U.S. market? - Management indicated that the U.S. market is slower than expected, with macroeconomic conditions affecting consumer confidence and demand [61][64] Question: Are there any updates on market share retention? - Management confirmed that they have retained almost all share gained in 2023, with core brands showing strong performance [72][74] Question: What are the expectations for the beer category growth for the rest of the year? - Management expects the industry to improve from the current trend line, with no ongoing consistent decline anticipated [65][84] Question: How is the company addressing cost inflation and gross margins? - Management noted that while underlying COGS per hectoliter is expected to increase due to inflation, cost savings and efficiencies are being realized [90][95] Question: What is the impact of tariffs on input costs? - Management stated that the impact from known tariffs is expected to be immaterial, as most direct materials are sourced domestically [86][87]

FY 2025 RESULTS & OUTLOOK Q1 FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS & OTHER INFORMATION This presentation includes "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the U.S. federal securities laws. Generally, the words "expects," "intend," "goals," "plans," "believes," "continues," "may," "anticipate," "seek," "estimate," "outlook," "trends," "future benefits," "potential," "projects," "strategies," "implies," and variations of such words and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. St ...