分组1 - Royal Caribbean reported quarterly earnings of $2.8 per share, slightly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.81 per share, but showing an increase from $1.63 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of -0.29% [1] - The company posted revenues of $4.26 billion for the quarter ended December 2025, which was below the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.24%, and an increase from $3.76 billion year-over-year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Royal Caribbean has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times, but has not beaten consensus revenue estimates during the same period [2] 分组2 - The stock's immediate price movement will depend on management's commentary during the earnings call, with Royal Caribbean shares up about 4.6% year-to-date compared to the S&P 500's gain of 1.9% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $3.00 on revenues of $4.4 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $17.72 on revenues of $19.56 billion [7] - The Leisure and Recreation Services industry, to which Royal Caribbean belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 25% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential challenges for stock performance [8]

Core Viewpoint - Analysts forecast that Royal Caribbean (RCL) will report quarterly earnings of $2.81 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 72.4%, with anticipated revenues of $4.27 billion, marking a 13.5% increase compared to the previous year [1] Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 3.5% lower over the last 30 days, indicating a reevaluation of initial estimates by analysts [2] - Revisions to earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor behavior and are linked to short-term stock price performance [3] Revenue Projections - Analysts estimate 'Revenues- Onboard and other' will reach $1.32 billion, a change of +13.9% from the prior-year quarter [5] - The estimated 'Revenues- Passenger ticket' is projected at $2.94 billion, indicating a +12.9% change from the previous year [5] Key Metrics - 'APCD (Available passenger cruise days)' is expected to be 14,015 days, up from 12,717 days reported in the same quarter last year [6] - 'Net Yields' are projected at $249.78, compared to $242.66 in the same quarter last year [6] - The 'Occupancy Rate' is likely to reach 108.1%, up from 107.6% a year ago [7] - 'Passenger Cruise Days' are expected to be 15,152 days, compared to 13,679 days reported in the same quarter last year [7] Cost Estimates - Analysts predict 'Net Cruise Costs Excluding Fuel per APCD' will be $130.01, down from $138.31 in the same quarter last year [8] - 'Net Cruise Costs per APCD' are expected to reach $150.43, compared to $160.63 reported in the same quarter last year [8] Passenger Estimates - 'Passengers Carried' is forecasted to reach 2.50 million, compared to 2.16 million in the same quarter last year [9] Stock Performance - Over the past month, shares of Royal Caribbean have returned +0.2%, matching the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.2% change [9] - Currently, RCL holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating potential underperformance relative to the overall market in the near future [9]

Core Insights - Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) reported strong fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results, with adjusted earnings exceeding estimates while revenues fell slightly short [1][4][9] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Q4 was 34 cents, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 25 cents, and up from 14 cents in the same quarter last year [4][9] - Revenues for the quarter reached $6.33 billion, a 6.6% increase year-over-year, but below the consensus estimate of $6.36 billion [4][9] - Adjusted net income rose over 60% to $454 million compared to $186 million in the prior-year quarter [6][9] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $1.48 billion, up from $1.22 billion year-over-year [6] Operational Highlights - Passenger ticket revenues increased to $4.05 billion from $3.85 billion in the prior-year quarter, aligning with estimates [5] - Onboard and other revenues grew to $2.27 billion from $2.08 billion year-over-year, also exceeding estimates [5] Balance Sheet and Liquidity - As of November 30, 2025, cash and cash equivalents stood at $1.9 billion, up from $1.2 billion in the prior-year period, with total liquidity of $6.4 billion [7] - Total debt decreased to $26.64 billion from $27.48 billion year-over-year [7] Future Outlook - The company anticipates continued momentum into fiscal 2026, projecting double-digit earnings growth and return on invested capital to exceed 13.5% [3][9] - For Q1 fiscal 2026, adjusted EBITDA is expected to be approximately $1.24 billion, with adjusted net income near $235 million and adjusted EPS of 17 cents [13] - For the full fiscal 2026, adjusted EBITDA is projected at approximately $7.63 billion, with adjusted net income anticipated to be nearly $3.5 billion and adjusted EPS of $2.48 [13] Booking and Demand Trends - Strong booking momentum is evident, with two-thirds of capacity for the upcoming year already secured at higher prices [8][10] - Total customer deposits as of November 30, 2025, were $7.25 billion, up from $6.77 billion in the previous quarter [11]

Core Points - Holland America Line has been awarded "Best Service" in the Ocean Category by Cruise Critic for four consecutive years, highlighting the cruise line's commitment to exceptional service [1] - The cruise line also received the "Best Itineraries" award in the Ocean Category for 2025, recognized for its thoughtfully crafted itineraries that offer variety and depth [1] Service Excellence - The award for "Best Service" emphasizes the high level of personalized service provided by the crew, known for their warmth, longevity, and attention to detail [1] - Holland America Line's crew members create a welcoming atmosphere, enhancing the overall guest experience with genuine hospitality [1] Itinerary Highlights - Holland America Line offers diverse itineraries, including special themed cruises and exclusive access to destinations like Glacier Bay in Alaska [1] - The cruise line operates from multiple homeports in Europe, making it convenient for passengers to choose suitable sailings [1]

Core Insights - Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON) reported first-quarter fiscal 2026 results, with earnings and revenues exceeding expectations, although revenues declined year over year while earnings increased [1][4][10] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Q1 was 3 cents, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of breakeven earnings, compared to breakeven EPS in the prior-year quarter [4][10] - Quarterly revenues reached $551 million, exceeding the consensus mark of $541 million by 1.8%, but reflecting a 6% decline year over year [4][10] - Connected Fitness segment revenues were $152.4 million, down from $159.6 million in the prior-year quarter, while subscription revenues were $398.4 million, down from $426.3 million [5] Operating Metrics - Peloton had 2.73 million Ending Paid Connected Fitness Subscriptions, a 6% decline year over year, with an average net monthly churn of 1.6% [6] - The company registered 542 thousand Peloton App subscribers, reflecting a net decrease of 8% year over year [6] Margin Performance - Operating expenses decreased by 17% year over year to $242.4 million, while gross profit totaled $283.7 million, down 7% year over year [7] - Gross margin contracted by 30 basis points to 51.5%, attributed to a $13.5 million inventory accrual related to Bike+ seat-post costs [7] - Subscription gross margin improved by 80 basis points to 68.6%, while Connected Fitness Products margin decreased by 230 basis points to 6.9% [7] Adjusted EBITDA - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $118.3 million, up 2% year over year, exceeding management's guidance by $18 million due to lower operating costs and improved execution [8][10] Balance Sheet & Cash Flow - As of September 30, 2025, Peloton held $1.10 billion in cash and cash equivalents, an increase from $1.04 billion at the end of fiscal 2025 [11] - Net debt decreased to $395.1 million from $777.3 million in the prior-year period [11] - Net cash provided by operating activities was $71.9 million, up from $12.5 million in the prior-year quarter, while free cash flow was $67.4 million compared to $10.7 million previously [12][11] Outlook - For Q2 fiscal 2026, Peloton expects revenues between $665 million and $685 million, indicating a slight year-over-year growth at the midpoint, with paid connected fitness subscriptions projected to decline by 8% [13] - The company anticipates fiscal 2026 revenues between $2.4 billion and $2.5 billion, reflecting a 2% year-over-year decline at the midpoint, with adjusted EBITDA expected to rise by 12% year over year [15]

Core Insights - Royal Caribbean reported revenue of $5.14 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, reflecting a 5.2% increase year-over-year, with EPS at $5.75 compared to $5.20 in the previous year [1] - The revenue fell slightly short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.17 billion, resulting in a surprise of -0.54%, while the EPS exceeded expectations by +1.23% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Available passenger cruise days (APCD) were reported at 13,698.89 days, slightly below the five-analyst average estimate of 13,702.20 days [4] - Net yields were $301.58, compared to the average estimate of $302.77 [4] - The occupancy rate was reported at 112.1%, matching the four-analyst average estimate [4] - Passenger cruise days totaled 15,356.27 days, slightly below the four-analyst average estimate of 15,364.33 days [4] - Net cruise costs excluding fuel per APCD were $123.75, lower than the estimated $125.98 [4] - Net cruise costs per APCD were $145.44, compared to the average estimate of $147.73 [4] - The number of passengers carried was 2.47 million, below the average estimate of 2.56 million [4] - Onboard and other revenues reached $1.5 billion, in line with the average estimate, representing a year-over-year increase of +6.2% [4] - Passenger ticket revenues were $3.64 billion, slightly below the six-analyst average estimate of $3.66 billion, with a year-over-year change of +4.8% [4] Stock Performance - Over the past month, Royal Caribbean's shares have returned -2%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite increased by +3.6% [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the broader market [3]

Core Viewpoint - Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) is currently more attractive to value investors compared to Vail Resorts (MTN) based on valuation metrics and earnings estimate revisions [1][3][7] Valuation Metrics - NCLH has a forward P/E ratio of 11.92, significantly lower than MTN's forward P/E of 22.52 [5] - The PEG ratio for NCLH is 0.97, indicating better value relative to its expected earnings growth compared to MTN's PEG ratio of 2.54 [5] - NCLH's P/B ratio stands at 6.99, while MTN has a P/B ratio of 7.66, suggesting NCLH is more favorably valued [6] Earnings Estimate Revisions - NCLH holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), indicating positive earnings estimate revisions, whereas MTN has a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell) [3][7] - The stronger estimate revision activity for NCLH suggests an improving earnings outlook compared to MTN [7]

Core Viewpoint - Carnival Corporation & plc is preparing to release its quarterly earnings on September 29, 2025, with analysts estimating an EPS of $1.31 and projected revenue of approximately $8.09 billion [1][6] Financial Performance - Carnival's stock has surged about 216% over the past three years but remains 57% below its all-time highs from 2018, primarily due to managing a substantial debt of $27 billion [2][6] - The company has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 15.96 and a price-to-sales ratio of about 1.53, indicating the market's valuation of its sales [3][6] - The enterprise value to sales ratio stands at around 2.55, while the enterprise value to operating cash flow ratio is approximately 12.21, reflecting cash flow efficiency [3] Financial Ratios - Carnival's debt-to-equity ratio is approximately 2.86, highlighting its financial leverage, and a current ratio of around 0.34 indicates its ability to cover short-term liabilities [4] - The company's earnings yield is about 6.27%, providing insight into the return on investment [4] Market Outlook - The upcoming earnings report is crucial, as a positive surprise could boost the stock price, while a shortfall might lead to a decline [4] - Management's discussion during the earnings call will be vital for assessing the sustainability of price changes and future earnings projections [5] - Declining interest rates may alleviate some concerns regarding high debt levels, but the key question remains whether demand for Carnival's services will persist long enough to reduce its debt [5]

Core Viewpoint - Viking Holdings (VIK) is anticipated to report a year-over-year increase in earnings driven by higher revenues, with a consensus outlook suggesting a positive earnings picture for the company [1] Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to reveal quarterly earnings of $0.98 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 29% [3] - Revenues are projected to reach $1.83 billion, marking a 15.3% increase from the same quarter last year [3] Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.21% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [4] - Viking's Most Accurate Estimate is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +3.40%, suggesting a bullish outlook from analysts [12] Earnings Surprise Prediction - A positive Earnings ESP reading is a strong indicator of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 2, which Viking currently holds [10][12] - Historical performance shows that Viking has beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters, indicating a trend of positive surprises [14] Market Reaction - The stock may experience upward movement if the earnings report exceeds expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2] - Other factors beyond earnings results may also influence stock price movements, highlighting the importance of considering broader market conditions [15]

Core Insights - Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) reported second-quarter 2025 results with earnings and revenues missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate, although both metrics increased year-over-year [1][3][9] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Q2 were 51 cents, slightly below the consensus estimate of 52 cents, compared to 39 cents in the prior-year quarter [3] - Quarterly revenues reached $2.52 billion, missing the consensus mark of $2.55 billion, but reflecting a 6.1% year-over-year increase [3] - Passenger ticket revenues were $1.7 billion, up from $1.6 billion in the prior-year quarter, while onboard and other revenues increased to $808.5 million from $770.4 million [4] Expenses and Operating Results - Total cruise operating expenses rose 0.1% year-over-year to $1.45 billion, below the anticipated $1.51 billion [5] - Gross cruise costs per Capacity Day were $305.65, slightly higher than $305.38 reported in the prior-year period [5] - Net interest expenses were $236.8 million, an increase from $178.5 million in the year-ago quarter [6] Balance Sheet - As of June 30, 2025, cash and cash equivalents stood at $184 million, down from $190.8 million at the end of 2024, while long-term debt increased to $12.6 billion from $11.8 billion [7] Booking Trends - The company reported strong booking trends for third-quarter long-haul and extended European itineraries, with booking volumes surpassing historical levels [2][8] - Second-quarter 2025 occupancy was 103.9%, consistent with guidance, and advance ticket sales reached $4 billion compared to $3.9 billion in the prior-year quarter [8] Guidance - For Q3 2025, NCLH anticipates occupancy of approximately 105.5% and adjusted EPS of nearly $1.14, with expected adjusted EBITDA of about $1 billion [10] - For the full year 2025, the company expects occupancy of approximately 103%, with adjusted EPS projected at $2.05 and adjusted EBITDA expected to be nearly $2.72 billion [11]