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Why Marvell's 19% Drop Could Be a Big Buy-the-Dip Opportunity
MarketBeatยท 2025-09-05 11:11
Core Viewpoint - Marvell Technology has emerged as a popular stock among investors betting on the AI revolution, despite recent earnings results causing a significant drop in share price [1][2]. Financial Performance - Marvell reported Q2 revenue of $2.006 billion, slightly below analyst expectations of $2.01 billion, resulting in a negligible miss of less than $4 million [3]. - The company's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Q2 were 67 cents, meeting expectations [3]. - In the data center segment, Marvell's sales were $1.49 billion, falling short of the anticipated $1.51 billion [4]. - For Q3, Marvell expects sales of $2.06 billion at the midpoint, indicating nearly 37% growth, but this was viewed as disappointing compared to the expected $2.11 billion [5]. Business Developments - Marvell is divesting its automotive Ethernet business, completing the sale sooner than anticipated, which could have added $60 million to Q3 revenue guidance [6]. - The custom silicon business, while a strength, is also a source of volatility, with expectations of sequential revenue decline in Q3 but a stronger Q4 forecasted [7]. Market Position and Competition - Marvell's reliance on Amazon as a key customer raises concerns, alongside fears of potential delays from Microsoft in custom chip rollouts [8]. - Despite challenges, Marvell secured multiple new custom silicon design wins in Q2, indicating a diversification of its customer base and a strong future pipeline [9]. Analyst Insights - Analysts suggest that the recent drop in Marvell's stock price may present a buying opportunity, with a 12-month price target averaging around $90.50, indicating a potential upside of approximately 41.19% [10]. - Price target downgrades averaged an 8% drop, significantly less than the 18.6% decline in stock price, suggesting a market overreaction [11]. - While Marvell holds a Moderate Buy rating, competition from Broadcom, the dominant player in custom silicon, poses a risk for long-term investment [12].