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Will Strong Asceniv Sales Drive ADMA Biologics Further?
ZACKS· 2025-06-27 13:16
Company Overview - ADMA Biologics specializes in plasma-derived biologics aimed at treating immune deficiencies and preventing certain infectious diseases [1] - The company's flagship product, Asceniv, is an intravenous immune globulin that contains naturally occurring polyclonal antibodies, indicated for treating primary immunodeficiency disease in adults and adolescents [1] Financial Performance - In the first quarter, ADMA reported revenues of $114.8 million, primarily driven by record sales of Asceniv [2][8] - The recent FDA approval of a yield enhancement production process is expected to increase finished immunoglobulin output by 20%, supporting revenue growth and margin expansion [2] - ADMA projects revenues exceeding $500 million in 2025 and $625 million in 2026 [2] Market Dynamics - An increase in new patient starts and deeper market penetration is anticipated to significantly boost Asceniv's sales [3] - ADMA's intellectual property portfolio, which includes proprietary plasma screening assays and unique plasma pooling methods, provides brand protection until at least 2035, with potential extensions beyond that [3] Competitive Landscape - ADMA competes with major players in the plasma therapy market, including Grifols and Takeda [4] - Grifols is a leading global producer of plasma derivatives, with a strong presence in various segments, including immunoglobulins and albumin [5] - Takeda offers a broad immunoglobulin portfolio and is developing next-generation IG products to diversify its offerings [6] Valuation and Estimates - ADMA's shares have increased by 7.3% year-to-date, contrasting with a 2.6% decline in the industry [7] - The company currently trades at a price/sales ratio of 7.68x, significantly higher than its historical mean of 3.33x and the industry's average of 1.64x, indicating a potentially expensive valuation [10] - Recent earnings per share estimates for 2025 and 2026 have been revised downward, reflecting increased competition in the plasma therapy market [12]
ADMA vs Takeda: Which Plasma Therapy Stock Is the Better Buy Today?
ZACKS· 2025-06-25 13:56
Core Insights - ADMA Biologics and Takeda are prominent players in the plasma-derived immunoglobulin sector, with ADMA focusing on treatments for immune deficiencies and Takeda having a diversified portfolio across various therapeutic areas [1][8]. ADMA Biologics - ADMA markets three FDA-approved plasma-derived products: Bivigam, Asceniv, and Nabi-HB, targeting immune deficiencies and infectious diseases [3][10]. - Asceniv, ADMA's lead product, is a plasma-derived IVIG that contains polyclonal antibodies, crucial for neutralizing microbes [4][5]. - Record demand for Asceniv was noted in Q1, with expectations for revenue growth through 2025 and plans for a pediatric label expansion filing by mid-2025 [6][10]. - ADMA anticipates proof-of-concept data for its pipeline program SG-001 by the end of 2025, with potential annual revenues of $300-500 million [7]. Takeda - Takeda's plasma-derived therapies (PDT) business unit has shown 9% growth in 2024, supported by a broad immunoglobulin portfolio including Hyqvia, Cuvitru, and Gammagard [8][10]. - Hyqvia is notable for being the only subcutaneous IG treatment for primary immunodeficiencies, requiring fewer infusions [11]. - Takeda is actively developing next-generation immunoglobulin products and has partnered with other companies to enhance its pipeline [13][14]. Financial Estimates and Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ADMA's 2025 sales indicates an 18.61% year-over-year increase, while EPS estimates have shown mixed movements [15]. - In contrast, Takeda's 2025 sales estimates suggest a 2.80% decrease, with EPS showing a 6.21% improvement [16]. - Year-to-date, Takeda's stock has outperformed ADMA, with gains of 13.91% compared to ADMA's 4.1% [18]. - Valuation metrics indicate ADMA is trading at 21.79X forward earnings, significantly higher than Takeda's 9.03X [18]. Investment Considerations - Takeda is recognized for its stability and broad portfolio, making it a safer investment choice, while ADMA's growth potential is tied to the expansion of Asceniv [21][22]. - Despite Takeda's current ranking as a "Sell," ADMA's revenue potential from Asceniv positions it as a more attractive investment opportunity at present [22][23].
ADMA Looks to Expand Asceniv's Label: Will This Boost Sales?
ZACKS· 2025-06-16 18:10
Core Insights - ADMA Biologics specializes in plasma-derived biologics aimed at treating immune deficiencies and preventing certain infectious diseases [1] - The company's primary product, Asceniv, is an intravenous immune globulin that contains polyclonal antibodies to help neutralize microbes [1][2] - ADMA plans to expand Asceniv's label to include pediatric patients aged two years and older by mid-2025, which is expected to increase the target patient population and drive sales growth [3] Company Overview - Asceniv is indicated for treating primary immunodeficiency disease in adults and adolescents, utilizing a patented plasma donor screening methodology [2] - Record demand for Asceniv was noted in the first quarter, with expectations for further growth through new patient starts and market penetration [3][8] Competitive Landscape - ADMA competes with major players in the plasma therapy market, including Grifols and Takeda [4] - Grifols is one of the largest producers of plasma derivatives globally, manufacturing a range of products including immunoglobulins and albumin [5][6] Financial Performance - ADMA's shares have increased by 21.4% year to date, outperforming the industry's breakeven performance [7] - The company currently trades at 8.75X forward sales, which is above its historical average and industry valuation levels [8][10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ADMA's 2025 earnings per share has decreased, while the estimate for 2026 has increased [11]