Economic Indicators - The Atlanta Fed tracker indicates a GDP growth rate of approximately 3.9% for Q3, following a 3.8% growth in Q2, suggesting a strong economic performance [2] - Weekly jobless claims decreased to 218,000, with a four-week moving average of about 230,000, indicating a healthy labor market [2][16] - Durable goods orders rose by 5.4% year-over-year, driven by Boeing, while new home sales increased by 20% month-over-month and 15% year-over-year, reflecting robust consumer activity [3] Market Outlook - The earnings outlook for the next quarter is positive, with expectations of broad-based growth across various sectors, including housing and financials [4][6] - Financials are expected to perform well, with Morgan Stanley raising targets for large-cap banks due to favorable numbers [7] - The industrial sector and data center investments are anticipated to continue thriving, supported by strong visibility [8] Investment Strategies - Investors are encouraged to diversify beyond technology stocks, with a focus on sectors like housing and autos, which may benefit from lower interest rates [6][7] - Capital One is highlighted as a favorable investment due to its recent acquisition of Discover Financial, which enhances its scalable payments network [9] - Cybersecurity is identified as a growing sector, with potential for consolidation among the 4,000 companies in the field, driven by increasing demand for AI-related security solutions [11][12] Consumer Behavior - The consumer remains resilient, supported by job stability and wage growth of about 5%, despite inflationary pressures [18] - A significant amount of capital, approximately $8 trillion, is currently in money markets, which may shift into equities as interest rates decline [14][15] Risks and Concerns - The labor market is closely monitored, with a warning threshold set at 250,000 to 260,000 weekly jobless claims, as a significant increase could signal economic trouble [16][17] - Potential government shutdowns are not seen as a major concern, with expectations that any issues will be resolved quickly [19][20]

Concession Renewal - Türk Telekom's fixed line services concession has been extended until 2050, providing long-term visibility[19, 21] - The contract value for the concession renewal is $2.5 billion + VAT, payable over 10 years[20] - The concession fee payment schedule includes $1 billion from 2026-2027 ($500 million per year), $1.4 billion from 2028-2034 ($200 million per year), and a final payment of $100 million in 2035[21] - Türk Telekom plans to invest $17 billion by 2050 in all capex, including new technologies[22] Fibre Expansion and Network - As of H1 2025, Türk Telekom operates almost 500k km of fibre network, ensuring presence in all 81 provinces of Türkiye[46, 49] - Türk Telekom's fibre homepass reached 33.5 million as of H1 2025[47] Financial Performance - Türk Telekom's revenue for H1 2025 was 81.4 TL billion, a 24% increase[101] - EBITDA for H1 2025 was 32.3 TL billion, a 30% increase, with an EBITDA margin of 39.8%[101] - Net Debt/EBITDA is maintained at conservative levels[103] Market Position - Türk Telekom is the sole owner and operator of Türkiye's fixed line infrastructure[93] - The company is positioned to capture high growth opportunities in mobile, 5G, and future technologies due to its fibre investments[68]