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Taiwan Semi (TSM) is Going to $400
ZACKSยท 2025-10-13 17:36
Core Insights - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) is experiencing significant growth, with a 31.4% increase in September sales compared to the previous year, and a year-to-date run-rate of +36.4% [1][3] - TSMC's trailing 12-month revenue has more than doubled to nearly $105 billion, driven largely by the explosive growth of NVIDIA, which has seen its sales grow tenfold in the same period [3][17] - TSMC holds approximately 67% of the global foundry market and nearly 90% of advanced chip production, making it a critical player in the AI economy [17][19] Financial Performance - Analysts have raised TSMC's EPS estimates for 2025 from $9.28 to $9.77, indicating a projected annual growth of 39% [9][23] - Sales projections for TSMC are expected to exceed $120 billion, reflecting a 34% increase [9][23] - Next year's EPS estimate has increased by 9% from $10.34 to $11.29, with profit growth anticipated to be over 15% [24] Market Position and Demand - TSMC's 5nm and 3nm nodes are crucial for high-performance AI accelerators and are widely adopted in flagship smartphones and 5G infrastructure [6][19] - The company plans to begin production of its 2nm node by late 2025, promising significant improvements in power efficiency and performance [21][20] - TSMC's advanced manufacturing capabilities are essential for the infrastructure supporting the transition to an AI economy, with total datacenter capex projected to grow from nearly $600 billion this year to over $1 trillion by 2028 [12][13] Strategic Developments - TSMC is expanding its manufacturing footprint with the construction of a third facility in Phoenix, Arizona, as part of a broader investment strategy in high-tech manufacturing [18][19] - The company is positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for AI technologies, as evidenced by the close partnership with NVIDIA, which relies on TSMC for its advanced chip production [22][17]