DRIVE成本控制项目

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FDX财报:利润创新高,股价却大跌?各种利空横飞
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-06-26 00:18
Core Viewpoint - FedEx reported record profits in its latest financial results, but the stock price fell nearly 6% in after-hours trading due to concerns over future guidance and macroeconomic uncertainties [1][2]. Financial Performance - For Q4 of fiscal year 2025, FedEx achieved revenues of $22.2 billion, a year-on-year increase of approximately 1%, slightly above market expectations [1]. - GAAP earnings per share (EPS) were $6.88, while non-GAAP adjusted EPS was $6.07, both exceeding analyst expectations of $5.81 to $5.96 [1]. - The operating profit margin improved to 9.1%, indicating enhanced operational efficiency [1]. - The company saved $2.2 billion through its DRIVE cost control program in fiscal year 2025 and plans to cut an additional $1 billion in operating costs in fiscal year 2026 [1]. Market Reaction - Despite strong financial data, FedEx's stock price declined significantly after the earnings report due to the cancellation of the full-year earnings outlook for fiscal year 2026 and a conservative Q1 EPS forecast of $3.40 to $4.00, below market expectations of $4.10 [2][4]. - Concerns were raised regarding the company's international business performance, particularly in air freight, due to a notable decline in low-value e-commerce shipments from China, linked to recent U.S. tariffs [2][3]. Management Commentary - FedEx CEO Raj Subramaniam emphasized the need for caution in operational planning due to global macroeconomic uncertainties and rapid changes in the market environment [3]. - The CFO reiterated the focus on cost optimization, network efficiency, and disciplined capital expenditure to mitigate macro pressures [3]. Shareholder Returns - FedEx announced a 5% increase in its quarterly dividend and continued its stock buyback program, reflecting confidence in its cash flow situation [3]. Competitive Landscape - Compared to UPS, which reported a revenue of $21.5 billion with a year-on-year decline of 0.7% but maintained its full-year guidance, FedEx's lack of long-term outlook has raised concerns about its transparency and investor confidence [3][4]. Future Focus Areas - Investors should monitor three key aspects: the ability to meet the conservative Q1 EPS guidance, the stability of U.S.-China trade policies and the international air freight business, and the progress of FedEx Freight's business split and its impact on overall valuation and profit structure [4].