DiDi Voyager

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高盛:滴滴公司-全球出行增长引领 robotaxi 商业化前沿;给予买入评级
Goldman Sachs· 2025-07-16 15:25
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage on DiDi Global Inc. with a "Buy" rating and a 12-month price target of US$7.20, indicating a 35% upside potential [1][27][34]. Core Insights - DiDi is positioned to capitalize on the growing global mobility market, particularly in autonomous driving and shared mobility, with a strong valuation compared to peers [1][27]. - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue and EPS growth, with projected CAGRs of 8% and 44% respectively from 2024 to 2027 [2][28]. - DiDi's market leadership in China, with a 70% market share, and its expansion into international markets, particularly in Latin America, are key growth drivers [27][31]. Summary by Sections 1. Domestic Mobility Growth - DiDi operates within a growing RMB 744 billion shared mobility total addressable market (TAM) in China, with expectations for continued growth in ride-hailing services [28][31]. - The company aims to improve profit margins by reducing user subsidies and leveraging operational efficiencies, with a target GTV margin of 6-7% by 2030-35 [31][32]. 2. Robotaxi Opportunity - The report views robotaxis as a significant growth opportunity rather than a threat, projecting that DiDi will capture a substantial share of the robotaxi market by 2030 and 2035 [34][35]. - DiDi's autonomous fleet is expected to contribute significantly to its overall trip volume and profit margins in the coming years [34][35]. 3. International Business Expansion - DiDi has established a strong presence in Latin America, particularly in Brazil and Mexico, with significant user bases and transaction volumes [28][31]. - The company is also diversifying into food delivery services, leveraging its existing rider network to compete effectively in the region [31][32]. 4. Valuation and Fundamentals - DiDi's current valuation at 14X domestic 2026E P/E is considered attractive compared to its peers, with potential for re-rating based on strong growth fundamentals [2][32]. - The report highlights that DiDi's discounted valuation is influenced by non-fundamental factors, including liquidity concerns and competitive pressures in the food delivery market [32][34].