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Can Disney's Experiences Segment Truly Bring The Magic Back For Investors?
Benzingaยท 2025-06-27 17:34
Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities analyst Jessica Reif Ehrlich maintains a Buy rating on Walt Disney with a price forecast of $140, indicating confidence in the company's recovery, particularly in the Experiences segment [1] Group 1: Experiences Segment Performance - The Experiences segment, a key driver of Disney's overall operating income, is expected to show sequential improvement in operating income for the fiscal third quarter, with further acceleration anticipated in the fiscal fourth quarter due to easier year-over-year comparisons [1][4] - Recent challenges for the Experiences segment included tough comparables, wage inflation, and significant pre-opening costs related to new cruise ships [2] - Despite broader macroeconomic concerns and competition from Universal's Epic Universe, the Experiences segment is now performing in line with fiscal 2025 expectations, supported by a strong pipeline of new cruise ships [3][4] Group 2: Advertising and Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) Insights - The Sports category remains a strong performer for Disney in the advertising landscape, showing sustained strength compared to other categories [5] - DTC net subscriber additions are expected to be modestly positive in the fiscal third quarter, aligning with the company's guidance [5] Group 3: Financial Guidance and Adjustments - Following a strong earnings beat, Disney raised its fiscal 2025 EPS guidance to $5.75, which is considered highly achievable due to improved visibility post-earnings report [6] - Adjustments for the fiscal third quarter include a slight decrease in revenue to $24.0 billion, operating income to $4.33 billion, and EPS to $1.39, primarily due to the disappointing box office performance of Pixar's Elio [7][8] - Despite these near-term adjustments, the full fiscal 2025 operating income estimate remains at $17.6 billion and EPS at $5.75, consistent with company guidance [8]