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招商证券国际:降长城汽车目标价至24港元高端品牌魏明年指引乐观
Cai Jing Wang· 2025-10-28 08:01
Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities International indicates a downward revision of Great Wall Motors' (02333) earnings forecast for 2025-2027 by 2%/5%/4%, reflecting increased sales expense predictions due to new model launches and overseas channel expansion, alongside a rising tax rate due to a higher proportion of overseas business. The target price has been reduced by 8%, from HKD 26 to HKD 24, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]. Group 1 - The group's third-quarter profit was impacted by multiple factors, including deferred expenses in Russia, foreign exchange fluctuations, and disturbances in overseas tax rates [1]. - The high-end brand "WEY" has an optimistic guidance for next year, aiming to challenge a monthly delivery of 60,000 units by 2026 [1]. - The export business is expected to see strong growth, with the group forecasting an export target of 500,000 units this year, and a growth rate of no less than 20% in 2026 [1]. Group 2 - The European market is anticipated to see the launch of the EC15 model in the second quarter of 2026, aimed at expanding into new markets [1].
招商证券国际:降长城汽车(02333)目标价至24港元 高端品牌魏明年指引乐观
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 02:29
Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities International indicates a downward revision of Great Wall Motors' (02333) earnings forecasts for 2025-2027 by 2%, 5%, and 4% respectively, due to increased sales expense predictions from new model launches and overseas channel expansion [1] Group 1: Earnings Forecasts - Great Wall Motors' earnings estimates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been reduced by 2%, 5%, and 4% respectively [1] - The adjustments reflect anticipated increases in sales expenses linked to new model introductions and the expansion of overseas channels [1] Group 2: Target Price and Rating - The target price for Great Wall Motors has been lowered by 8%, from HKD 26 to HKD 24 [1] - The rating remains "Buy" despite the downward revision [1] Group 3: Profit Influences - The company's third-quarter profits were impacted by multiple factors, including deferred expenses in Russia, foreign exchange fluctuations, and disturbances in overseas tax rates [1] Group 4: Brand and Export Outlook - The high-end brand "WEY" is expected to have an optimistic guidance for next year, aiming to challenge a monthly delivery of 60,000 units by 2026 [1] - The export business is projected to see strong growth, with an expected 500,000 units exported this year and a growth rate of no less than 20% in 2026 [1] - The European market is anticipated to see the launch of the EC15 model in the second quarter of 2026 to explore new market opportunities [1]