EMX(192線)
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速腾聚创:实现盈亏平衡,未来获利可冀-20260210
西牛证券· 2026-02-10 10:24
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of HK$ 48.50 [2][5]. Core Insights - The company achieved a breakeven point in Q4 2025, driven by strong operational performance, with ADAS lidar sales reaching 238,400 units (up 54.8% year-on-year) and robotic lidar sales soaring to 221,200 units (up 2,565.1% year-on-year) [2][5]. - The growth in robotic lidar sales is primarily attributed to the demand for lawnmower robots, with expectations for continued growth due to product upgrades and new customer acquisitions [3]. - The new digital lidar products EMX (192 lines) and EM4 (>500 lines) are expected to become major revenue sources in 2026, gradually replacing older models [4]. - The company showcased advanced technology at CES, including a delivery robot capable of performing nearly 20 complex tasks, enhancing its product matrix with new lidar products [5]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: RMB 1,648.9 million for 2024, RMB 2,019.6 million for 2025, RMB 4,002.8 million for 2026, and RMB 5,147.3 million for 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 47.2% in 2024 and 22.5% in 2025 [13]. - Gross profit is expected to increase from RMB 283.6 million in 2024 to RMB 1,445.4 million in 2027, with gross margins improving from 17.2% to 28.1% over the same period [13]. - The company anticipates a net profit of RMB 221.6 million in 2026 and RMB 421.9 million in 2027, following a loss of RMB 481.8 million in 2024 and a reduced loss of RMB 239.2 million in 2025 [6][13].