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AMD Rises 31% in One Month: Should You Buy, Hold or Sell the Stock?
ZACKSยท 2025-05-16 15:31
Core Viewpoint - AMD shares have increased by 31.4% in the past month, outperforming the broader Computer and Technology sector and the Integrated Systems industry, driven by an expanding portfolio, strategic acquisitions, and a strong partner base [1][2]. Group 1: Performance and Growth Drivers - The adoption of fifth-generation EPYC Turin processors and the deployment of Instinct AI accelerators across hyperscalers and enterprises are significant growth drivers for AMD [2]. - AMD's EPYC portfolio has expanded notably, with Google Cloud introducing new virtual machines powered by AMD's 5th Gen EPYC processors, which deliver up to 80% higher throughput per vCPU [5][6]. - The introduction of the EPYC Embedded 9005 Series processors in Q1 2025 has enhanced AMD's presence in the embedded market, offering server-grade performance and energy efficiency [7]. Group 2: Partnerships and Acquisitions - AMD's partnerships with major companies like Alphabet, Oracle, Meta Platforms, and Dell Technologies are crucial for expanding its market presence [8]. - In Q1 2025, Oracle Cloud Infrastructure and Google Cloud increased their use of AMD EPYC CPUs, with Oracle achieving up to 2X performance compared to the previous generation [9]. - AMD's acquisition of ZT Systems aims to strengthen its AI ecosystem and compete with NVIDIA in the AI market, targeting the $500 billion data center AI accelerator market by 2028 [11]. Group 3: Financial Outlook - AMD's Q2 2025 revenue guidance is set at $7.4 billion (+/- $300 million), reflecting a year-over-year growth of approximately 27%, but impacted by export restrictions on GPUs to China [12]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AMD's Q2 2025 earnings is 65 cents per share, down 35% over the past month, indicating a year-over-year decline of 5.80% [13]. - AMD's stock is currently considered overvalued, with a forward Price/Sales ratio of 5.53X compared to the industry's 3.31X [14]. Group 4: Investment Recommendation - Despite AMD's expanding portfolio and strategic partnerships, near-term prospects are challenged by macroeconomic uncertainties and competition from NVIDIA, particularly in the cloud data center and AI chip markets [17]. - The recommendation is to hold AMD stock for now, awaiting a more favorable entry point for investment [18].