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Instinct GPUs Drive Data Center Growth: What's Ahead for AMD Stock?
ZACKSยท 2025-12-01 17:16
Core Insights - Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is experiencing strong demand for its Instinct MI350 and MI300 GPU series, which is driving growth in its data center AI business [1][9] - Oracle's launch of MI355X instances and OpenAI's commitment to build 6 gigawatts (GW) of AI computing capacity using AMD technology are expected to further enhance AMD's growth prospects [2][9] - AMD anticipates its data center total addressable market to reach $1 trillion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 40% from approximately $200 billion in 2025 [3] Data Center AI Business - The MI350 series is gaining traction among neocloud providers such as Crusoe, DigitalOcean, TensorWave, and Vultr, while the MI300 series is rapidly adopted by developers including IBM and Zyphra [2] - AMD expects its data center AI revenues to grow at a CAGR of over 80% in the next 3-5 years, driven by demand for its Instinct GPUs and expanding clientele [3] Financial Performance and Projections - AMD forecasts double-digit growth in Data Center revenues both year-over-year and sequentially in Q4 2025, supported by a strong product portfolio [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AMD's Q4 2025 earnings is $1.31 per share, indicating a 20.18% growth compared to the previous year [12] Competitive Landscape - AMD faces tough competition from NVIDIA and Broadcom in the data center space, with NVIDIA's products being widely adopted for AI computing [5] - Broadcom is experiencing strong demand for its networking products and custom AI accelerators, with XPUs accounting for 65% of its AI revenues in Q3 2025 [6] Stock Performance and Valuation - AMD shares have increased by 53.2% over the past 12 months, outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector, which returned 27.6% [7] - AMD's stock is considered overvalued, with a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 8.38X compared to the sector's 6.73X, resulting in a Value Score of F [14]