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BHP (ASX:BHP) share price in focus on December 2025 update and copper upgrade
Rask Media· 2026-01-19 23:37
Core Viewpoint - BHP Group Ltd has reported its December update, highlighting mixed production results across its key commodities, with a notable increase in iron ore production and a decrease in copper and coal production [1][2][3]. Production Performance - Copper production for the December quarter was 490.5kt, down 1% quarter on quarter and down 4% year on year [2]. - Iron ore production reached 69.7mt, showing a 9% increase quarter on quarter and a 5% increase year on year [2]. - Steelmaking coal production fell to 4.3mt, reflecting a 12% decline quarter on quarter and a 3% drop year on year [3]. - Energy coal production was 4.6mt, marking a 31% increase quarter on quarter and a 25% increase year on year [3]. Cost and Guidance Updates - The estimated cost for the Jansen stage 1 project has risen to US$8.4 billion, up from previous estimates of US$7 billion to US$7.4 billion [3]. - BHP has increased its FY26 copper production guidance to capitalize on record copper prices driven by strong demand and supply disruptions among competitors [4]. Growth Initiatives - BHP is advancing its copper growth options, including the Vicuna project in Argentina, which is on track to complete its integrated technical report in Q1 2026 [5]. - The environmental impact declaration for the Escondida new concentrator in Chile is expected to be submitted in the second half of FY26 [5]. Market Context - Demand for commodities remains strong, particularly from China and India, with global growth forecasted at around 3% for 2026, supporting commodity demand [10][11]. - BHP is positioned to benefit from this demand, with a significant copper growth pipeline aimed at achieving approximately 2 Mt of attributable copper production in the 2030s [11]. Management Insights - CEO Mike Henry emphasized BHP's strong operational performance in copper and iron ore, with copper prices up 32% and iron ore prices up 4% year on year [7]. - A transaction with Global Infrastructure Partners is expected to generate proceeds of approximately US$2 billion while maintaining ownership and operational control [8]. Future Outlook - The Jansen potash project in Canada is on track for mid-2027 production, expected to add a new commodity to BHP's portfolio [9]. - The company is investing for long-term growth, focusing on production increases that benefit current shareholders [12].