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STX's HDDs vs. PSTG's Flash Bet: Which Storage Play is Better?
ZACKS· 2026-01-30 14:25
Core Insights - The demand for data storage stocks is driven by the explosion of data from AI, cloud computing, and digital transformation, with Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) and Pure Storage Inc. (PSTG) representing traditional HDDs and modern enterprise flash storage, respectively [1][24] Market Overview - The global data storage market is projected to grow from $298.5 billion in 2026 to $984.6 billion by 2034, at a CAGR of 16% [2] - The HDD market is expected to expand from $51.8 billion in 2026 to $69.7 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 6%, while the enterprise flash storage market is projected to grow from $29.04 billion in 2025 to $49.87 billion by 2030, at an 11.42% CAGR [2] Seagate Technology Holdings (STX) - Seagate reported record revenue of $2.83 billion in the fiscal second quarter, a 22% increase year over year, driven by strong demand for HAMR drives and data centers [4][7] - The company has a fully booked capacity through 2026 and anticipates continued revenue and profit growth, with average nearline drive capacity increasing 22% year over year to nearly 23 TB per drive [5][8] - Seagate's strong cash flow supports ongoing investment in innovation and shareholder returns, with $154 million returned to shareholders in the fiscal second quarter [9] - The company faces challenges from forex volatility, competition, and high debt levels, with long-term debt at $4.5 billion as of January 2, 2026 [10] Pure Storage Inc. (PSTG) - Pure Storage's revenue grew 16% year over year to $964.5 million in the fiscal third quarter, driven by strong demand for FlashBlade and enterprise offerings [13] - The company raised its fiscal 2026 revenue outlook to $3.63–$3.64 billion, indicating 14.5–14.9% year-over-year growth [14] - However, Pure Storage faces headwinds from competition, rising NAND costs, and macroeconomic uncertainty, which could pressure pricing and margins [11][12] - The company plans to invest in R&D and has authorized an additional $400 million for share repurchase [15] Valuation and Performance - Over the past month, STX and PSTG have gained 62.1% and 8.3%, respectively, with STX trading at 35.8X forward earnings compared to PSTG's 95.9X [16][17] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for STX's earnings for fiscal 2026 has been revised up by 2.7% to $11.61, while PSTG's estimate has been revised down by 1% to $1.95 [19][23] - STX is currently rated as a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), while PSTG holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating a more favorable investment outlook for STX [24]