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STX's HDDs vs. PSTG's Flash Bet: Which Storage Play is Better?
ZACKS· 2026-01-30 14:25
Core Insights - The demand for data storage stocks is driven by the explosion of data from AI, cloud computing, and digital transformation, with Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) and Pure Storage Inc. (PSTG) representing traditional HDDs and modern enterprise flash storage, respectively [1][24] Market Overview - The global data storage market is projected to grow from $298.5 billion in 2026 to $984.6 billion by 2034, at a CAGR of 16% [2] - The HDD market is expected to expand from $51.8 billion in 2026 to $69.7 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 6%, while the enterprise flash storage market is projected to grow from $29.04 billion in 2025 to $49.87 billion by 2030, at an 11.42% CAGR [2] Seagate Technology Holdings (STX) - Seagate reported record revenue of $2.83 billion in the fiscal second quarter, a 22% increase year over year, driven by strong demand for HAMR drives and data centers [4][7] - The company has a fully booked capacity through 2026 and anticipates continued revenue and profit growth, with average nearline drive capacity increasing 22% year over year to nearly 23 TB per drive [5][8] - Seagate's strong cash flow supports ongoing investment in innovation and shareholder returns, with $154 million returned to shareholders in the fiscal second quarter [9] - The company faces challenges from forex volatility, competition, and high debt levels, with long-term debt at $4.5 billion as of January 2, 2026 [10] Pure Storage Inc. (PSTG) - Pure Storage's revenue grew 16% year over year to $964.5 million in the fiscal third quarter, driven by strong demand for FlashBlade and enterprise offerings [13] - The company raised its fiscal 2026 revenue outlook to $3.63–$3.64 billion, indicating 14.5–14.9% year-over-year growth [14] - However, Pure Storage faces headwinds from competition, rising NAND costs, and macroeconomic uncertainty, which could pressure pricing and margins [11][12] - The company plans to invest in R&D and has authorized an additional $400 million for share repurchase [15] Valuation and Performance - Over the past month, STX and PSTG have gained 62.1% and 8.3%, respectively, with STX trading at 35.8X forward earnings compared to PSTG's 95.9X [16][17] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for STX's earnings for fiscal 2026 has been revised up by 2.7% to $11.61, while PSTG's estimate has been revised down by 1% to $1.95 [19][23] - STX is currently rated as a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), while PSTG holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating a more favorable investment outlook for STX [24]
Pure Storage (NYSE:PSTG) FY Conference Transcript
2026-01-15 18:47
Summary of Pure Storage Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Pure Storage - **Industry**: Data Storage and Cloud Services - **Founded**: October 2009 - **Key Products**: All-flash storage solutions, Evergreen business model, Evergreen//One storage as a service [3][4][6] Core Points and Arguments Market Position and Strategy - Pure Storage aims to lead the transition from hard disk drives (HDD) to all-flash storage, emphasizing simplicity and reliability in enterprise technology [4][5] - The Evergreen business model allows for non-disruptive upgrades, making capital purchases more akin to subscription services [5][6] - Evergreen//One service is positioned as a superior alternative to traditional CapEx purchases, offering guaranteed performance and SLAs, including ransomware protection [9][10] Market Dynamics - Current market sentiment shows a mix of customers preferring CapEx due to perceived low capital costs, but rising NAND prices may shift demand towards Evergreen//One [8][12] - Total cost of ownership (TCO) is a critical factor in customer decision-making, with flash storage offering longer lifespans and lower long-term costs compared to HDDs [11][12] - Recent increases in NAND prices have historically provided a slight revenue tailwind for Pure Storage, while falling prices have led to increased sales volume but lower revenue per gigabyte [13][14] AI and Data Cloud Initiatives - The Enterprise Data Cloud is a strategic focus, enhancing customer agility and governance in data management, particularly in the context of AI [18][20] - FlashBlade Exa product is designed to meet the performance needs of AI applications, with significant interest from hyperscale and tech titan customers [21][28] - The company is adapting its offerings to better serve the evolving needs of AI-driven data centers [15][21] Competitive Landscape - New entrants in the storage market are primarily seen in the GPU cloud segment, while traditional enterprise markets remain dominated by established competitors [47][48] - Pure Storage's efficiency and product density position it favorably against competitors, especially as pricing pressures increase across the industry [48][49] Customer Engagement and Product Adoption - There is growing traction for KubeVirt and Portworx as alternatives to VMware, reflecting a shift towards modern virtualization solutions [53][54] - The company anticipates increased demand for Evergreen//One as market conditions tighten and supply becomes more constrained [52] NVIDIA Partnership - Pure Storage is a partner of NVIDIA, engaging in the rapidly evolving GPU cloud market, although the impact of NVIDIA's new rack designs on traditional enterprise storage remains uncertain [55][56] Additional Important Insights - The company is cautious about projecting shipment volumes for fiscal 27, indicating a focus on maintaining consistent communication with stakeholders [40][41] - The evolving landscape of AI and data management is driving significant changes in customer expectations and product development strategies [21][22] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed during the Pure Storage conference call, highlighting the company's strategic direction, market dynamics, and competitive positioning in the data storage industry.
After Record Runs for Western Digital and Sandisk in 2025, Consider This 1 Data Center Storage Stock for 2026
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-01 20:15
Core Insights - The infrastructure supporting artificial intelligence (AI) is becoming a significant investment theme, particularly in data storage, as it is essential for efficient data management and access [1] - Companies like Sandisk and Western Digital have performed well, driven by increased demand for high-capacity storage solutions, while investors are now looking towards companies that provide the foundational technologies for AI [2] Company Focus: Pure Storage - Pure Storage is positioned as a key player in the modern data center landscape, offering software-driven, all-flash storage solutions that enhance speed, scalability, and cloud flexibility [4] - The company’s core products, FlashArray and FlashBlade, utilize the Purity operating environment and are complemented by cloud-based management tools, indicating a comprehensive approach to data storage [5] - Analysts predict a double-digit upside potential for Pure Storage's stock, suggesting it could be a significant player in the evolving data center storage market as it heads into 2026 [3] Stock Performance - Pure Storage's stock experienced a notable increase of 10.4% in 2025, reaching a peak of $100.59 in November, but has since corrected, dropping approximately 50% from its highs [6] - Despite the recent decline, the stock has shown resilience, with a 16.38% increase over the past six months, indicating a potentially strong recovery trajectory [6]
SMCI Declines 9% in a Year: Should You Hold or Fold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-12-11 15:51
Core Viewpoint - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has experienced an 8.9% decline in share price over the past year, significantly underperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry's return of 53.5%, raising questions about whether investors should hold or exit the stock [1] Financial Performance - SMCI's first-quarter revenues and earnings fell by 15.5% and 56%, respectively, primarily due to a revenue shift from the September quarter to the December quarter, not due to demand weakness [4] - The company reported a negative free cash flow of $950 million for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, attributed to higher receivables from new deals with larger customers [5] - SMCI's first-quarter fiscal 2026 closing inventory increased to $5.7 billion from $4.7 billion in the previous quarter, leading to an increase in the cash conversion cycle from 96 days to 123 days [7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SMCI's second-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings is projected at 49 cents per share, indicating a year-over-year decline of 19.7% [8] Operational Challenges - SMCI is facing operational challenges due to a massive scale-up required to meet unprecedented AI rack demand, planning to roll out 6,000 racks per month [6] - The company is grappling with customer concentration issues and margin pressure from mega deals with larger customers [5][9] Competitive Landscape - Rising competition from major players like Pure Storage, Dell Technologies, and Hewlett Packard Enterprise poses a concern for SMCI, particularly in the storage and AI-optimized server markets [10][12] - Price competition and adjustments are increasing as competition intensifies [12] Growth Opportunities - SMCI's high-performance and energy-efficient servers are gaining traction among AI data centers and hyperscalers, supported by partnerships with NVIDIA and AMD [13] - The Data Center Building Block Solutions (DCBBS) is expected to carry more than 20% margins and become a significant long-term profit contributor [14] - The company aims for $36 billion in fiscal 2026 revenues, driven by new product launches and innovations [16] Valuation - SMCI is currently trading at a discounted valuation, with a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/S) ratio of 0.52X, lower than the sector average of 1.89X [17]
WDC vs. PSTG: Which Storage Stock is the Safer Growth Play Right Now?
ZACKS· 2025-11-27 13:51
Core Insights - The global data storage market is projected to reach $1,304.7 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 16.44% from 2025 to 2033, driven by business automation, cloud computing, and remote work trends [2] - Western Digital Corporation (WDC) and Pure Storage, Inc. (PSTG) are positioned to benefit from these trends, but their differing business models and financial metrics present varying investment opportunities [2] Group 1: Western Digital Corporation (WDC) - WDC is strategically focused on supporting the data-intensive AI ecosystem, meeting the increasing demand for storage with solid financial performance [3][4] - The company shipped 204 exabytes in the last quarter, a 23% year-over-year increase, and is set to introduce next-generation ePMR drives in early 2026 to meet rising data demands [4][7] - WDC anticipates continued revenue growth due to strong data center demand and higher-capacity drive adoption, with AI applications driving ongoing demand for scalable data infrastructure [5][8] - The company raised its quarterly dividend by 25% to 12.5 cents, returning $785 million to shareholders since FY25, indicating strong financial health and commitment to shareholder returns [7][8] - WDC's shares trade at a forward P/E ratio of 19.45, significantly lower than PSTG's 82.84, highlighting its valuation appeal [7][18] Group 2: Pure Storage, Inc. (PSTG) - PSTG benefits from increasing adoption of its Enterprise Data Cloud architecture and strong traction with hyperscalers, maintaining a positive outlook despite macroeconomic uncertainties [10][11] - The company’s platform, powered by the Purity operating system, supports non-disruptive services and the Storage-as-a-Service model, enhancing its market position [11] - PSTG's FlashBlade solutions are in high demand, supporting its growth in handling AI-driven applications and modern workloads [12][13] - The company added over 300 new customers in the fiscal second quarter, bringing its total to more than 13,500, including 62% of the Fortune 500 [13] - PSTG faces competition in the flash storage market, which may impact pricing and margins, and it has an accumulated operating loss of $1.35 billion [15] Group 3: Comparative Performance and Outlook - Over the past year, WDC's stock has increased by 120.6%, outperforming PSTG and the broader industry [17] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for WDC's earnings for fiscal 2026 has been revised up by 13% to $7.38, while PSTG's estimate remains stagnant at $1.97 [19][23] - WDC holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), while PSTG has a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting WDC is currently a more attractive investment option [24]
SMCI Declines 18% in 6 Months: Should You Hold or Fold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-11-19 16:35
Core Viewpoint - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) shares have declined by 18.4% over the past six months, significantly underperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry's return of 77.5, raising questions about whether investors should buy, hold, or sell the stock [1][10]. Group 1: Operational Challenges - SMCI is facing significant operational challenges despite strong demand driven by AI, with gross margins expected to drop sharply due to the ramp-up of mega-scale GB300 Blackwell clusters [4]. - The company is experiencing margin pressure due to customer concentration and the need to retain larger customers, leading to higher receivables and a negative free cash flow of $950 million for the first quarter of fiscal 2026 [5]. - SMCI's working capital issues are exacerbated by the operational scale-up required to meet unprecedented AI rack demand, with plans to roll out 6,000 racks per month, including 3,000 liquid-cooled racks, and expand facilities in multiple regions [6]. Group 2: Financial Metrics - SMCI's first-quarter fiscal 2026 closing inventory was $5.7 billion, an increase from $4.7 billion in the previous quarter, causing the cash conversion cycle to spike from 96 days to 123 days [7]. - The company projects a sequential decline of 300 basis points in gross margin for the second quarter of fiscal 2026, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings at 49 cents per share, indicating a year-over-year decline of 19.7% [12]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Rising competition from major players in the storage and server space, such as Pure Storage, Dell Technologies, and Hewlett Packard Enterprise, poses a significant concern for SMCI, impacting pricing and execution [8][11]. - Pure Storage offers modern storage solutions that enhance performance and cloud integration, while Dell and HPE provide a range of server services, intensifying price competition in the market [9][11]. Group 4: Market Sentiment - SMCI shares are currently trading below both the 200-day and 50-day moving averages, indicating a bearish trend in the stock [15]. - Despite the long-term AI opportunities, the company's near-term challenges, including margin pressure and heavy working-capital needs, make it highly volatile, leading to a Zacks Rank 5 (Strong Sell) [16].
Pure Storage Up 69% in 3 Months: Where Will the Stock Head From Here?
ZACKS· 2025-10-15 14:18
Core Insights - Pure Storage, Inc. (PSTG) has demonstrated strong stock performance, gaining 68.6% over the past three months, significantly outperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry, the Zacks Computer and Technology sector, and the S&P 500, which grew by 35.4%, 13.2%, and 7.6% respectively [1][8]. Performance Drivers - The stock rally is attributed to increasing investor confidence driven by AI-related demand, a subscription-based growth model, and the rising need for flash-based storage solutions [4][8]. - Strong demand from large enterprises and ongoing momentum in products like FlashBlade, particularly FlashBlade//E, along with the adoption of core software and services offerings, are key growth catalysts [5][10]. - Subscription services revenues reached $414.7 million, representing a 14.8% increase, with annual recurring revenues nearing $1.8 billion, up 18% year-over-year [5][11]. Product and Service Innovations - The introduction of the Enterprise Data Cloud (EDC) and enhancements to the Pure Storage Platform are expected to boost revenue growth by enabling businesses to leverage AI for improved workflow efficiency [6][7]. - New storage products, including FlashArray//X R5 and FlashArray//C R5, have been launched, with FlashArray//XL 190 expected to be available in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 [9][10]. Strategic Partnerships and Market Position - A strategic partnership with Meta Platforms has progressed to the first volume deployment, with revenues recognized in the fiscal second quarter [11]. - Management anticipates deploying 1-2 exabytes of DirectFlash technology by fiscal 2026, indicating strong confidence in future performance [11]. Financial Outlook - The company expects revenues between $3.6 billion and $3.63 billion for fiscal 2026, reflecting a 14% year-over-year growth at the midpoint, which is an increase from the previously guided 11% growth [11]. - Pure Storage reported cash and cash equivalents of $1.5 billion and free cash flow of $150.1 million in the fiscal second quarter [13]. Shareholder Returns - The company returned $42 million to shareholders through share repurchases in the fiscal second quarter, with $109 million remaining under its current authorization plan [14]. Competitive Landscape - Despite strong performance, Pure Storage faces challenges from economic pressures and intensifying competition in the flash-based storage market [15][16]. - The stock is currently trading at a premium with a forward 12-month Price/Earnings ratio of 39.34X compared to the industry average of 22.39X [18].
Why Is Pure Storage (PSTG) Up 3.6% Since Last Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-09-26 16:31
Core Insights - Pure Storage reported strong Q2 fiscal 2026 results, with non-GAAP EPS of 43 cents, exceeding estimates by 10.3% and slightly down from 44 cents in the prior year [2] - Quarterly revenues reached $861 million, a 13% increase year-over-year, surpassing estimates by 1.8% and management's guidance of $845 million [3] - The company has provided a revenue guidance range of $3.6 billion to $3.63 billion for fiscal 2026, indicating a 14% year-over-year growth at the midpoint, which is an increase from the previous guidance of 11% [4] Financial Performance - Product revenues contributed 51.8% to total revenues, amounting to $446.3 million, a 10.6% increase year-over-year, while subscription services revenues rose 14.8% to $414.7 million [6] - Subscription annual recurring revenues (ARR) reached nearly $1.8 billion, up 18% year-over-year [6] - Non-GAAP gross margin was 72.1%, slightly down from 72.8% in the prior year, with product gross margin at 68% and subscription services gross margin at 76.5% [8] Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns - Cash flow from operations was $212.2 million, down from $226.6 million in the prior year, while free cash flow decreased to $150.1 million from $166.6 million [11] - The company returned $42 million to shareholders through share repurchases, with $109 million remaining under its current authorization plan [11] Future Guidance - For Q3, Pure Storage expects revenues between $950 million and $960 million, indicating a 15% increase year-over-year at the midpoint [13] - Non-GAAP operating income is projected to be between $185 million and $195 million, reflecting around 14% year-over-year growth at the midpoint [13] Market Sentiment - There has been a positive trend in estimates revisions, with a consensus estimate shift of 23.75% in the past month [14] - Pure Storage holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting an expectation of in-line returns in the coming months [16]
Pure Storage Expands Cyber Resilience Through New Innovations and Deeper Partnerships So Organizations Can Stay Focused on Business
Prnewswire· 2025-09-25 10:00
Core Insights - Pure Storage has announced innovations in its platform to enhance cyber resilience, enabling organizations to proactively detect threats, protect against attacks, and recover effectively [1][4] - The traditional multi-vendor approach to cyber defense is inadequate, as it leaves organizations vulnerable by missing critical threat signals within their data [2] - The introduction of the Enterprise Data Cloud (EDC) allows for centralized management of data across various environments, facilitating intelligent data governance [3] Cyber Resilience Enhancements - Pure Storage's platform now includes built-in threat detection capabilities, allowing for rapid response and recovery from attacks [2][4] - The company is developing an extended threat detection network to share threat signals with partners, integrating these capabilities into existing security tools [4] - New partnerships with CrowdStrike and Superna enhance security measures, providing real-time visibility and automated responses to threats [5][12] Recovery Solutions - Pure Storage offers proactive adaptive recovery solutions to ensure faster data recovery during attacks, emphasizing the importance of trusted backup data [6][12] - The introduction of Pure Protect Recovery Zones allows for isolated recovery environments, enabling businesses to test and validate applications without disrupting production [12] Market Position and Strategy - Pure Storage positions itself as a leader in the data storage industry, focusing on delivering advanced technology and services that simplify data management and enhance security [8][14] - The company's Evergreen architecture ensures continuous improvement and scalability, aligning with the evolving needs of businesses [8]
SMCI Rises 6.4% in a Month: Should You Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-09-23 14:41
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) stock has increased by 6.4% over the past month, which is lower than the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry's return of 23.6% [1][5] - Despite the stock's rise, it is trading at a forward P/E ratio of 20.45X, which is below the industry average of 21.76X, raising questions about whether to hold or exercise caution [4] Financial Performance - In fiscal 2025, SMCI reported a 47% year-over-year revenue growth, reaching $22 billion, with expectations to increase revenues to $33 billion in fiscal 2026 [5][7] - The company's next-generation air-cooled and liquid-cooled GPU and AI platforms contributed over 70% to its top line in Q4 of fiscal 2025 [8] Market Position and Growth Drivers - SMCI is becoming a significant player in the AI server market, leveraging the latest NVIDIA and AMD platforms to drive growth [6][7] - The company's direct liquid cooling technology is in high demand, particularly among hyperscalers and AI data centers, due to its efficiency in reducing heat and electricity consumption by 40% [9] Competitive Landscape - SMCI faces rising competition from major players like Pure Storage, Dell Technologies, and Hewlett Packard Enterprise, which could impact its market share [10][11] - The company is experiencing challenges such as delayed purchasing decisions from customers evaluating next-generation AI platforms and margin contraction due to price competition [13][14] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SMCI's earnings per share (EPS) shows a decline of 37% and 5% for the first and second quarters of fiscal 2026, respectively [14][15] - Year-over-year growth estimates for fiscal 2026 indicate a 23.3% increase, followed by a 29.2% increase in fiscal 2027 [15] Conclusion - Given the mixed challenges and long-term growth potential in server, storage, and cooling products, the recommendation is to hold SMCI stock at this time [16]