Core Insights - Fox Corporation (FOXA) is scheduled to report its first-quarter fiscal 2025 results on October 30, with earnings estimated at $1.06 per share, reflecting a 26.9% year-over-year decline, while revenues are projected at $3.58 billion, indicating a marginal growth of 0.4% from the previous year [1][9] Financial Performance - The company has consistently beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 30.29% [2] - FOXA entered the first quarter of fiscal 2026 with strong operational and financial momentum, benefiting from a diversified portfolio across news, sports, and digital entertainment [3] Revenue Drivers - The performance of FOX News and steady affiliate fee trends are expected to have positively impacted results, alongside investments to expand its direct-to-consumer offerings [3] - The launch of FOX One, a unified streaming platform priced at $19.99 per month, is a significant step in the company's digital evolution, although initial marketing and content integration costs may have affected profitability [4] Advertising Revenue - Advertising revenues are anticipated to have moderated due to the absence of $270 million in political advertising from the prior year, but strong engagement at FOX News likely provided some offset [5][9] - Key shows and events, including the return of NFL on FOX and college football, are expected to have boosted viewership and pricing power [5] Challenges - FOXA is likely facing near-term headwinds from increased programming and production costs, softer entertainment ad demand, and additional digital spending related to FOX One, which may limit margin expansion [6] Earnings Expectations - According to the Zacks model, FOXA has an Earnings ESP of -7.55% and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a lower likelihood of an earnings beat [7]

Core Insights - The article highlights Fox Corp (FOXA) as a strong investment opportunity due to its market leadership in cable broadcasting, particularly in live sports and news, which attract significant advertising revenue [3][8][12]. Business Segments - Fox operates two main segments: cable network programming and television, with cable network programming revenue projected to grow from $5.0 billion in fiscal 2018 to $6.9 billion in fiscal 2025, reflecting a 5% annual growth rate [4][5]. - The television segment, which includes the FOX broadcast network and Tubi, is expected to see revenue increase from $5.1 billion in fiscal 2018 to $9.3 billion in fiscal 2025, representing a 9% annual growth rate [6]. Market Position - Fox is the largest cable TV broadcaster in the U.S., with FOX News being the top-rated national cable news channel for over 20 years [9][11]. - In July 2025, FOX News averaged 2.4 million viewers in primetime, capturing 63% of the cable news share [17]. Live Sports and Events - Live sports events remain crucial for advertisers, with FOX holding rights to major events like the Super Bowl and FIFA World Cup, which attract massive viewership [12][13][14]. - The Super Bowl LVII in February 2023 had an estimated 113 million viewers, while Super Bowl LIX in February 2025 set a record with 128 million viewers [13]. Digital Distribution - Fox is expanding its digital offerings, including Tubi, which has 100 million monthly active users and a 2.2% market share of all television viewing [21]. - The recently launched FOX One service aims to attract "cordless" consumers by providing access to live events and entertainment without undercutting existing cable subscribers [22]. Financial Performance - Since fiscal 2020, Fox has achieved a 6% annual growth in revenue and a 5% growth in net operating profit after tax (NOPAT) [24]. - The company's NOPAT margin slightly decreased from 16% in 2020 to 15% in 2025, while its return on invested capital (ROIC) improved from 17% to 19% [25]. Shareholder Returns - Fox has returned $1.8 billion in dividends and repurchased $6.6 billion in shares since fiscal 2020, with a new authorization for an additional $5 billion in share repurchases [28][30]. - The combined yield from dividends and share repurchases could reach 4.7% [30]. Balance Sheet Strength - Fox reduced its total debt from $8.5 billion in fiscal 2020 to $7.6 billion in fiscal 2025, while increasing cash and equivalents from $4.6 billion to $5.4 billion [36]. - The adjusted debt net of cash fell from $3.5 billion to $1.4 billion over the same period, indicating a strong financial position [36]. Market Valuation - At a current price of $59/share, the market implies a permanent decline of 20% in NOPAT, which may be overly pessimistic given Fox's historical growth rates [41]. - If NOPAT grows at a modest rate of 1% annually, the stock could see a 39% upside to $82/share [43].

Company Overview - Fox Corporation (FOXA) has a market cap of $27 billion and is a leading U.S.-based media company delivering news, sports, and entertainment through brands like FOX News, FOX Sports, the FOX Network, and Tubi [1] - The company operates across four segments: Cable Network Programming, Television, Credible, and FOX Studio Lot, reaching audiences through broadcast, cable, digital platforms, and production services [1][2] Stock Performance - FOXA shares have declined marginally from a 52-week high of $62.69, but the stock has increased nearly 13% over the past three months, underperforming the Nasdaq Composite's 17.2% return [3] - Year-to-date, FOXA stock is up 28.5%, surpassing the Nasdaq's over 18% gain, and has climbed 55.2% over the past 52 weeks compared to the Nasdaq's over 28% surge [4] Financial Results - In Q4 2025, FOXA reported adjusted EPS of $1.27 and revenue of $3.29 billion, but shares fell 3.7% due to rising SG&A expenses, which increased 9.5% year-over-year, impacting margins [5] - Advertising growth is viewed as less durable due to tough year-over-year comparisons linked to the absence of UEFA and Copa América broadcasts [5] Analyst Sentiment - Analysts remain cautiously optimistic about FOXA, with a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" from 20 analysts, and the stock is trading above the mean price target of $60.29 [6]

Core Insights - FOX One is a new streaming service priced at $19.99/month or $199.99/year, targeting over 65 million U.S. households outside traditional cable bundles [1][2] - The platform aims to provide a personalized viewing experience with live programming, news, sports, and entertainment, leveraging advanced technology and AI integrations [3][6][7] Pricing and Bundling Options - FOX One offers a 7-day free trial and the option to bundle with B1G+ or FOX Nation for added value [1][11] - Starting October 2, customers can bundle FOX One with ESPN DTC Unlimited for $39.99/month, providing access to a wide range of ESPN content [12] Technological Advancements - The platform builds on FOX's successful live-streaming technology, exemplified by the Super Bowl LIX broadcast, which reached 15.5 million peak concurrent viewers [5] - FOX One incorporates AI for personalized content delivery, enhanced search capabilities, and user-friendly features [6][16] Content Offerings - FOX One features a robust lineup of live sports, news, and entertainment, including 24/7 access to FOX News and major sporting events [8][9] - The service includes a variety of programming from FOX's extensive portfolio, catering to diverse audience interests [15] Accessibility and User Experience - FOX One is available on multiple platforms, including mobile, web, and connected TVs, ensuring ease of access for users [10] - The platform allows users to record live content without storage limits and offers features to catch up on missed highlights [8][10] Marketing Strategy - The launch campaign emphasizes FOX's strength in live programming and targets cord-cutters through digital-first strategies [14]

Core Viewpoint - Fox (FOXA) has demonstrated strong financial performance and growth potential, particularly in its Television and Cable Networking segments, making it an attractive investment opportunity for 2025 [2][8]. Financial Performance - In Q3 fiscal 2025, Fox reported a 27% increase in total revenues and achieved the highest free cash flow in its history, exceeding $1.9 billion [3]. - The Super Bowl broadcast contributed over $800 million in advertising revenues, marking it as the most-watched telecast in U.S. history [3]. Segment Performance - Tubi, Fox's free streaming platform, experienced a 35% year-over-year revenue increase, with rising engagement and view time [4]. - The cable segment benefited from a 26% increase in ad revenues, bolstered by Fox News being the most-watched cable channel [4]. Growth Strategy - Fox's growth strategy centers on live content from its core brands: FOX News, FOX Sports, and the FOX Network, capitalizing on the rising demand for live programming [5]. - The company anticipates steady growth in affiliate fees, which will support long-term revenue growth [5]. Market Position - FOX News ranks as the second most trusted and top-rated news channel in the U.S., with FOX Nation gaining traction through 700 hours of original content [6]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for FOXA's 2025 earnings is $4.52 per share, reflecting a 31.78% year-over-year growth, with revenues projected at $16.11 billion, indicating a 15.24% increase [7]. - FOXA has consistently beaten earnings estimates over the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 25.97% [7]. Investment Outlook - Fox's strong fundamentals, record free cash flow, and momentum in streaming services position it well for continued growth and investor confidence in 2025 [8]. - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) and a Growth Score of B, indicating a favorable investment opportunity [9].