New York-based Fox Corporation (FOXA) produces and distributes news, sports, and entertainment through FOX News Media, FOX Sports, FOX Entertainment, FOX Television Stations, and Tubi, an ad-supported streaming platform. Commanding a market capitalization of approximately $32.7 billion, the company operates 29 full-power broadcast stations, including 11 duopolies, and reaches audiences via cable, satellite, and digital channels. More News from Barchart Fox is preparing to release its fiscal 2026 Q2 ea ...

An updated edition of the Nov. 11, 2025 article.Over roughly the last 20 years, streaming has evolved from a niche concept into the backbone of the global entertainment ecosystem, fundamentally changing how people consume content across genres. What began as a supplemental option to traditional pay TV is now the primary viewing choice for many households, driven by faster connectivity, improved devices and changing audience habits. This structural shift has opened meaningful opportunities for players such a ...

Core Insights - Tubi has achieved profitability in 2023 by attracting younger audiences willing to watch ads, positioning itself as a strong competitor in the streaming market [1][7] Streaming Market Dynamics - Tubi accounted for 2.1% of total streaming minutes in November, surpassing platforms like Peacock and HBO Max, while YouTube remains the leader [2] - The rise in streaming costs has led consumers to seek cheaper, ad-supported options, with many canceling subscriptions rather than cutting cable [3][4] Audience Demographics - Nearly 60% of Tubi's audience consists of millennials and Generation Z, with a significant portion being multicultural [5] - Tubi has over 100 million monthly active users and streams 1 billion hours of content each month, compared to Netflix's 300 million subscribers [4] Content Strategy - Tubi enhances its library through licensing and produces original content on a smaller scale, including airing NFL games [6] - The platform offers over 300,000 titles, with a notable focus on horror content, boasting the largest collection in that genre [11] Financial Performance - Tubi reported a 27% revenue growth for the fiscal quarter ending September 30, driven by an 18% increase in total view time [7] - Fox's stock has risen over 40% this year, contrasting with the performance of other media stocks amid market uncertainty [8] Competitive Positioning - Tubi differentiates itself by being 100% ad-supported, unlike other platforms that offer ad-supported tiers [15] - The platform's viewer engagement is higher, with 95% of users actively choosing what to watch, making them more receptive to advertisements [14] Targeting Younger Audiences - Tubi has launched initiatives like "Tubi for Creators" to attract younger viewers and has signed deals with popular YouTube creators [17][18] - The platform has successfully engaged younger audiences with content like "Sidelined," which has attracted nearly 20 million viewers [19][20]

Core Viewpoint - Guggenheim raised its price target on FOX Corp. to $85.00 from $75.00 while maintaining a Buy rating, highlighting FOX as a top investment idea in the media sector due to its focus on sports and news programming, which are driving revenue and profit growth despite industry challenges [1] Group 1: Financial Performance and Projections - Guggenheim increased its second-quarter adjusted EBITDA forecast to $452 million from $439 million, and raised its fiscal 2026 EBITDA estimate to $3.29 billion from $3.27 billion, driven by stronger-than-expected advertising trends at Fox News and continued pricing power in sports [3] Group 2: Market Position and Growth Drivers - FOX is positioned to benefit from strong advertising demand and moderating subscription declines compared to peers, aided by the rise of "skinny bundles" and an upcoming cycle of distributor renewals where FOX is expected to gain market share [2] - Additional growth catalysts for FOX include a robust content slate featuring the FIFA World Cup and U.S. elections, along with disciplined investments in growth initiatives such as Tubi, FOX One, and sports gambling [2] Group 3: Industry Context - The firm acknowledged that NFL contracts are likely to be renewed at higher costs ahead of their 2027 expiration, but believes the expense increase will be manageable and provide long-term visibility into the 2030s [3]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Company and Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the performance and strategic outlook of a media company, particularly focusing on its broadcasting and digital segments, including news and sports verticals [1][2][3] Key Financial Performance - The company reported record financial results for fiscal year 25, including record revenue, EBITDA, and free cash flow, establishing a strong foundation for future growth [1] - Engagement metrics are improving, contrasting with peers in the cable and broadcast sectors, which are experiencing declining engagement [1] Strategic Focus Areas - The company plans to continue investing in core verticals, specifically news and sports, for fiscal year 26 [2] - Significant events such as the FIFA World Cup and midterm elections are expected to drive engagement and advertising revenue [2] Advertising Market Dynamics - There is a notable shift in advertising dollars from linear cable to broadcast, particularly in sports and news, with the company experiencing robust growth in these areas [3][4] - The company added approximately 350 advertisers to its Fox News roster in fiscal 25, indicating strong demand for its advertising space [4] Sports Broadcasting Insights - The company reported record advertising revenue for major sports events, including the Big Ten Championship game, with a significant increase in the number of advertisers [3] - The demand for sports advertising is expected to remain strong, driven by high engagement levels [5][6] Digital Business Growth - Tubi, the company's digital platform, has shown strong performance with an 18% increase in engagement and a 27% increase in ad revenue in Q1 [12] - The company aims to enhance Tubi's monetization through improved fill rates and engagement, with a goal of achieving 20-25% EBITDA margins in the future [15] Capital Allocation and Shareholder Returns - The company announced a $1.5 billion accelerated share repurchase (ASR) program, contributing to a total of over $10 billion returned to shareholders since its inception [18][19] - The management believes the stock is undervalued and plans to continue share buybacks while remaining open to inorganic growth opportunities [19][20] Sports Betting Strategy - The company holds a significant investment in Flutter, with a potential value of $3.4 billion in sports betting assets [16][17] - The licensing process for sports betting is ongoing, with expectations to fully capitalize on this market in the coming years [17] Conclusion - The company is well-positioned with a strong portfolio of assets, robust free cash flow, and a clear strategy focused on growth in news, sports, and digital segments [20]

Core Thesis - Fox Corporation is experiencing a bullish sentiment driven by its streaming platform Tubi, which is gaining market share and is expected to contribute to profitability in the coming years [1][4]. Company Overview - Fox Corporation operates in the news, sports, and entertainment sectors in the United States, with its stock trading at $65.50 as of November 28th [1][2]. - The trailing and forward P/E ratios for Fox Corporation are 14.72 and 14.79, respectively [1]. Tubi's Performance - Tubi has achieved a 2.2% share of total TV viewing as of October, making it the sixth-largest streaming service in the U.S., surpassing established brands like NBC's Peacock and Warner Bros. Discovery [2][3]. - Tubi's growth is notable as it operates as a free ad-supported service, appealing to cord-cutters and younger demographics seeking free, on-demand content [3][4]. Future Expectations - There are expectations that Tubi will start generating incremental profits in 2026 and 2027, which is central to Fox's growth narrative [4]. - Tubi's ability to increase engagement, expand advertising inventory, and utilize Fox's content pipeline positions it as a strategic growth engine for the company [4].

Core Insights - Streaming content is defined as audio or video files that can be played online without full downloads, enhancing user experience by reducing wait times based on internet speed [1] - The streaming ecosystem consists of four main categories: film and TV studios, live media producers, game publishers and developers, and user-generated content [1] Company Summaries Fox Corp. (FOXA) - FOXA reported strong Q1 fiscal 2026 results with adjusted earnings per share at $1.51 and a revenue increase of 4.9% year over year [6] - The Cable Network Programming segment achieved a 48% EBITDA margin, with revenues rising 4% to $1.66 billion, while Tubi reached profitability earlier than expected with a 27% revenue growth [6] - Total advertising revenues grew by 6% to $1.41 billion, supported by FOX News' premium pricing and NFL ratings averaging 22 million viewers, with upcoming events like Super Bowl LIX and FIFA Men's World Cup expected to drive further advertising revenue [7] - FOXA has $4.4 billion in cash and plans $1.5 billion in share repurchases, maintaining financial flexibility amid rising sports programming costs and competition [7] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for FOXA are -1.3% and -7.7% respectively for the current year, with a 5% improvement in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings in the last 30 days [9] Roku Inc. (ROKU) - ROKU delivered strong Q3 2025 results, surpassing earnings and revenue estimates, achieving positive operating income for the first time since 2021 [10] - Platform revenues increased by 17% year over year, driven by streaming services distribution and video advertising [10] - The Roku Channel maintained a strong position in U.S. television streaming, capturing 6.2% of streaming time, with free cash flow generation growing by 182% year over year [11] - ROKU raised its 2025 platform revenue outlook to $4.11 billion, indicating sustained monetization momentum [11] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for ROKU are 14.1% and over 100% respectively for the current year, with an 83.3% improvement in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings in the last 30 days [11] Sony Group Corp. (SONY) - SONY is experiencing growth in its Game & Network Services (G&NS), Music, and Imaging & Sensing Solutions (I&SS) segments, despite challenges in Pictures and Entertainment, Technology & Services (ET&S) [12] - Increased engagement in PlayStation is boosting G&NS, while the Music segment benefits from higher streaming in Recorded Music and Publishing [12] - Solid sales of image sensors for mobile devices and cameras are supporting I&SS, with Crunchyroll contributing to subscriber growth in the Pictures unit [13] - SONY's operating income is expected to decrease to approximately ¥70 billion, down ¥30 billion from previous estimates, due to various factors including inventory management and production diversification [13] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for SONY are 2% and -2.4% respectively for the current year, with a 4.3% improvement in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings in the last seven days [14]

Industry Overview - Streaming has transitioned from a niche option to a dominant force in entertainment, driven by technological advancements, wider internet access, and changing consumer preferences [2] - The streaming revenue is projected to reach approximately $190 billion by 2029, supported by an estimated 2 billion paid global subscriptions, with ad-supported and hybrid tiers expanding the market [4] - Live sports, interactive viewing, and strategic partnerships are becoming key differentiators in the streaming landscape, indicating ongoing growth potential in the sector [5] Fox Corporation - Fox Corporation's streaming strategy began with the acquisition of Tubi for about $440 million in 2020, which has since become a crucial part of its digital strategy [7] - Tubi achieved quarterly profitability in Q1 of fiscal 2026, with a 27% revenue growth driven by an 18% increase in viewership, validating its business model [8] - Tubi aims for a long-term margin of 20-25% and is expected to grow its user base to over 100 million monthly active users, benefiting from younger audiences favoring free streaming [9] - With Tubi's profitability, Fox can invest more in content and personalized advertising tools, marking a shift from early-stage expansion to execution [10] fuboTV - fuboTV launched in 2015, focusing on live sports for cord-cutters, and has evolved into a comprehensive live TV streaming service [11] - The platform has improved its technology for better speed and video quality, enhancing viewer engagement and positioning itself as a primary TV source [12] - fuboTV's content mix has improved, now including major networks like ESPN and ABC, which boosts subscriber satisfaction [13] - The company is focused on long-term margin expansion through smarter content agreements and automation, with significant potential for ad revenue growth [14][15] Roku - Roku began as a streaming device manufacturer in 2008 and has since developed into a full streaming platform that integrates content distribution, advertising, and subscription services [16] - The platform's scale allows for expanded monetization through advertising and services, with a strong growth trajectory in ad revenue [17][18] - Roku is enhancing its user experience with AI-driven recommendations and an expanding lineup of original content, contributing to its subscription revenue growth [19] - The company anticipates double-digit revenue growth and improved operating margins in the coming years, solidifying its position in the streaming market [20]

Core Insights - In times of market volatility, investors are increasingly turning to value investing as a strategy to capitalize on discounted stock prices when others are selling off [1][3] Group 1: Value Investing Strategy - Value investing allows investors to purchase stocks at lower prices during market uncertainty, presenting opportunities for long-term gains [1] - The strategy can lead to "value traps" if not properly understood, where stocks underperform due to persistent issues rather than temporary setbacks [3] Group 2: Importance of PEG Ratio - The PEG ratio, defined as (Price/Earnings)/Earnings Growth Rate, is a crucial metric for value investors, with a lower PEG ratio indicating better value [5] - While P/E ratios alone may not accurately reflect a stock's true value, the PEG ratio helps in assessing intrinsic value [5] - Investors should also consider other parameters alongside the PEG ratio to enhance investment outcomes [6] Group 3: Screening Criteria for Value Stocks - Effective screening criteria for identifying potential value stocks include a PEG ratio lower than the industry median, a P/E ratio below the industry median, a Zacks Rank of 1 or 2, market capitalization over $1 billion, average trading volume exceeding 50,000, and upward revisions in earnings estimates greater than 5% [6] Group 4: Selected Stocks - Fox Corporation (FOX) has a Zacks Rank of 1, a Value Score of A, and a five-year historical growth rate of 12.3% [10] - Flex Ltd. (FLEX) also holds a Zacks Rank of 1, a Value Score of B, and a five-year historical growth rate of 35.1% [12] - Suzano S.A. (SUZ) has a Zacks Rank of 1, a Value Score of A, and a long-term expected growth rate of 52% [14] - Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX) maintains a Zacks Rank of 1, a Value Score of A, and a five-year expected growth rate of 23.1% [15]

Core Viewpoint - Fox Corporation is experiencing significant growth in advertising revenue and overall financial performance, positioning itself favorably in the competitive media landscape [2][3][6] Financial Performance - Fox achieved a record-breaking $1.4 billion in advertising revenue for the first quarter, marking a 6% increase from the previous year [2][6] - Total quarterly revenues reached $3.74 billion, driven by strong performance across news, sports, entertainment, and the streaming service Tubi [3] Stock Performance - The stock price of FOX has increased by 8.24%, translating to a rise of $4.48, with current trading prices fluctuating between $56 and $59.99 [4][6] - The market capitalization of Fox Corporation is approximately $26.77 billion, reflecting investor confidence in the company's growth potential [5][6] Analyst Outlook - An analyst from UBS set a price target of $75 for FOX, indicating a potential increase of about 27.49% from its current price of $58.83 [2][6] - Positive trends in engagement across Fox's portfolio further support the bullish outlook from analysts [5]