Headquartered in New York City, Fox Corporation (FOXA) runs a tightly focused portfolio across news, sports, and entertainment. It produces and distributes content through its cable networks and the FOX broadcast network, while extending its reach through the ad-supported streaming platform Tubi. With a market cap of approximately $24.6 billion, Fox sits in the “large-cap” bracket, reserved for companies valued above $10 billion. The scale underscores the company’s established footprint and signals that t ...

Core Insights - FOX has demonstrated strong results year-to-date despite being an off-cycle political year, with revenue increasing compared to last year [1] - EBITDA has seen a slight decline but remains significantly higher than in 2024 [1] Highlights and Focus Areas - Key highlights over the last 12 months include strong fundamentals that have driven the company's performance [1] - The company is focusing on specific areas in the second half of fiscal 2026 and into fiscal 2027 to maintain growth [1]

Market Overview - Futures are trading higher after a poor start to the trading week, influenced by a risk-off bias due to tariff increases and a rotation out of technology stocks [1] - The Dow Jones closed down 1.66% at 48,804, S&P 500 down 1.04% at 6,837, Nasdaq down 1.13% at 22,627, and Russell 2000 down 1.60% at 2,621 [1] Treasury Bonds - Treasury yields decreased across the curve, indicating a flight to safety amid stock market declines [2] - The 30-year bond closed at 4.70% and the benchmark 10-year note at 4.03% [2] Oil and Gas - Oil prices saw a slight decline after a strong previous week, with Brent Crude closing at $71.58 (down 0.25%) and West Texas Intermediate at $66.41 (down 0.11%) [3] - Natural gas closed down 1.77% at $2.99 despite a significant storm on the East Coast [3] Gold - Gold experienced solid buying, closing at $5,227 (up 2.38%), driven by Middle East concerns and UBS raising its target price for gold to $6,200 by mid-2026 [4] - Silver also saw gains, closing up 4.23% at $88.10 [4] Cryptocurrency - Cryptocurrency prices, particularly Bitcoin, fell sharply, with Bitcoin dropping 3% to 5% to below $65,000, reaching lows around $64,200 to $64,800 [5] - Bitcoin is currently trading at $63,012, while Ethereum is at $1,824, marking a decline of over 25% for Bitcoin this year [5] Analyst Upgrades - Booking Holdings Inc. was upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley, with a target price of $5,500 [7] - Domino's Pizza Inc. was upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan, with a target price of $450 [10] - Fox Corporation was raised to Buy from Neutral at Seaport Research, with a target price of $64 [10] - Qualcomm Inc. was upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Wells Fargo, with a target price raised to $150 from $135 [10] Analyst Downgrades - Blue Owl Capital Inc. was downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank, with a target price lowered to $10 from $15 [10] - Cable One Inc. was cut to Underperform from Neutral at BNP Paribas, with a target price slashed to $80 from $125 [10] - Comcast Corp. was downgraded to Underperform at BNP Paribas, with a target price of $27 [10] Analyst Initiations - Alkermes Plc. was initiated with an Outperform rating and a target price of $45 at Wolfe Research [10] - Blackstone Inc. was started with an Outperform rating at RBC Capital, with a target price of $179 [10] - Bloom Energy Inc. was initiated with a Neutral rating at Citigroup, with a target price of $162 [10] - Neurocrine Biosciences Inc. was initiated with an Outperform rating at Wolfe Research, with a target price of $160 [10]

Core Insights - Fox Corporation's Tubi has achieved a significant milestone by becoming the first major free streaming platform to reach profitability in Q3 2025, completing its annual profit target [1] - Tubi's success highlights the rapid rise of ad-supported video on demand (AVOD) platforms, challenging the dominance of subscription-based services like Netflix and Disney+ [1] Financial Performance - Tubi's annual revenue grew by over 30%, with Q4 revenue increasing by 8% compared to Q3 [2] - The growth was driven by an 18% increase in total viewing hours and a substantial rise in advertising revenue, contributing to a 26% increase in Fox's overall TV ad revenue for 2025 [2] - Tubi maintained over 100 million monthly active users (MAU) by the end of 2025, with an average streaming time of 1 billion hours per month [2] Market Position - Tubi captured 6.2% of total viewing hours in the U.S. ad-supported streaming market in Q4 2025, surpassing platforms like Netflix's ad tier [3] - In November 2025, Tubi surpassed major subscription platforms like Peacock and HBO Max with a 2.1% share of total streaming hours [4] User Demographics and Content Strategy - Tubi's user base is predominantly composed of millennials and Gen Z, with over 70% of new users from Gen Z [7] - The platform's content strategy includes a mix of original productions and classic shows, appealing to younger audiences and enhancing user retention [8] - Tubi's library consists of over 300,000 titles, including a significant collection of horror films, catering to diverse viewer preferences [8] Competitive Advantages - Tubi's growth is supported by a three-pronged strategy: targeting Gen Z, leveraging Fox's ecosystem, and employing a lightweight content strategy [5][10][12] - The platform's partnership with Fox allows it to access premium sports content, significantly boosting user engagement and attracting male viewers [10][12] - Tubi's low-cost content acquisition model enables it to maximize operational efficiency while maintaining a rich content library [12] Industry Trends - The AVOD market is projected to grow from $174 billion in 2022 to approximately $260 billion by 2025, indicating a shift in consumer preferences towards free streaming options [14] - Economic pressures have led consumers to prioritize cost-effective streaming solutions, with many willing to watch ads for free content [15] - The competitive landscape is evolving, with traditional media companies increasingly investing in free streaming services to capture diverse market segments [23][24] Future Outlook - The U.S. streaming market is expected to transition into a dual-track system, with free and paid platforms coexisting and catering to different audience needs [23] - Tubi aims to enhance its advertising capabilities while expanding its user base, while subscription services like Netflix will focus on high-end content and premium pricing strategies [23][24]

Core Viewpoint - The article compares Fox Corporation (FOX) and Fox (FOXA) to determine which stock is more attractive to value investors [1] Group 1: Zacks Rank and Earnings Outlook - Fox Corporation has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a positive earnings estimate revision trend, while Fox has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3] - The improving earnings outlook for FOX suggests it is a more favorable option for investors [7] Group 2: Valuation Metrics - FOX has a forward P/E ratio of 12.51, compared to FOXA's forward P/E of 14.18 [5] - FOX's PEG ratio is 7.92, while FOXA's PEG ratio is 8.52, indicating FOX may be undervalued relative to its expected EPS growth [5] - FOX has a P/B ratio of 2.35, whereas FOXA has a P/B of 2.61, further supporting FOX's valuation attractiveness [6] - These metrics contribute to FOX's Value grade of B and FOXA's Value grade of C [6]

Market Overview - Stock futures are mixed, showing signs of stabilization after a downturn in software and AI-related technology stocks, leading some investors to view the selloff as a buying opportunity [1] - Defensive sectors and commodity-linked assets are gaining interest, particularly as gold prices have risen above $5,000 per ounce, indicating strong demand for safe havens amid market uncertainty [1] Pre-Market Trading - In pre-market trading, S&P 500 futures rose by 0.11%, Nasdaq futures fell by 0.34%, and Dow futures increased by 0.22% [2] Company Movements - Silicon Labs (SLAB) shares surged by 49% following a definitive agreement for acquisition by Texas Instruments (TXN) at $231 per share in an all-cash transaction [3] - Texas Instruments (TXN) shares declined by 3% after announcing the acquisition of Silicon Labs [6] - Other notable stock movements include Eli Lilly (LLY) up 9%, Johnson Controls (JCI) up 5%, and AMD (AMD) down 10% [6]

Core Insights - Fox Corporation is a significant player in the media industry with a diverse portfolio including cable, broadcast television, and streaming services [1] - The company reported a total revenue of $5.18 billion for the second quarter, reflecting a 2% year-over-year increase [2][6] - Tubi, Fox's streaming service, achieved a record quarterly revenue growth of 19% and reached EBITDA profitability for the second consecutive quarter [3][6] - Goldman Sachs set a price target of $80 for FOXA, indicating an 18.12% potential upside from its current trading price of $67.73 [2][6] - Fox has been actively returning capital to shareholders, repurchasing $1.8 billion worth of stock in the fiscal year to date, totaling $8.4 billion since 2019 [4] Financial Performance - The company experienced a 1% rise in companywide ad revenue and a notable 7% increase in cable advertising [2] - Despite fluctuations in stock price, FOXA's market capitalization is approximately $30.58 billion, with a trading volume of 6.17 million shares [5] Stock Performance - Currently, FOXA is priced at $67.73, having decreased by 3.61% or $2.54 [5] - Over the past year, the stock has seen a high of $76.39 and a low of $46.42 [5]

Core Insights - Fox Corporation is a significant player in the media industry, with a diverse portfolio that includes news, sports, and entertainment content, and operates in the ad-supported streaming market through Tubi [1] Financial Performance - Fox Corporation reported quarterly earnings of $0.82 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.47 per share by 74.47%, although this represents a decrease from $0.96 per share in the same quarter last year [3] - The company achieved revenues of $5.18 billion for the quarter ending December 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.47% and showing an increase from $5.08 billion reported in the same period the previous year [4] - Advertising revenues increased by 1%, driven by higher sports and news pricing, digital growth from Tubi, and additional Major League Baseball postseason games, despite a decline in political advertising revenues and lower ratings [5] Analyst Ratings - Goldman Sachs maintained a "Buy" rating for Fox Corporation, lowering the price target from $87 to $80, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term potential despite a stock price decrease to $67.73 [2][6]

Core Insights - Fox Corporation exceeded earnings forecasts in Q2 of the fiscal year, driven by increased ad revenue from news networks and sports programs [1] - Total revenue reached $5.18 billion, marking a 2% year-over-year increase, with companywide ad revenue rising 1% and cable advertising increasing by 7% [1] Revenue and Advertising Performance - Tubi, Fox's ad-supported streaming service, achieved record quarterly revenue growth of 19% and maintained EBITDA profitability for the second consecutive quarter [2] - Fox News added approximately 200 new advertisers in the first half of the year, building on 350 new advertisers from the previous year, indicating strong demand for its content [5] - The advertising market for Fox News has been robust, with scatter pricing for the channel increasing by 46% to 47% [9] Viewership and Ratings - Fox News was the most-watched cable network in total day, producing the top 11 cable news programs [7] - Nielsen data shows Fox News outperforming competitors like MSNBC and CNN, and in some markets, it attracted larger audiences than major broadcast networks [8] - Fox Television's ratings were bolstered by live sports, with significant viewership for marquee events, including over 27 million viewers for a Game 7 of the World Series [10] Financial Metrics and Challenges - Despite revenue growth, net income fell to $229 million from $373 million year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA decreased to $692 million from $781 million [15] - The decline in profit margins was attributed to higher amortization of sports programming rights, increased production costs, and elevated digital and marketing expenditures [15] - Following the earnings release, shares of Fox Corp dropped nearly 4%, although the stock has risen nearly 25% over the past year [16] Capital Management - Fox Corp repurchased $1.8 billion of stock in the fiscal year to date, bringing cumulative repurchases since 2019 to $8.4 billion, which is about 35% of shares outstanding [4]

Core Insights - Fox Corporation (FOXA) reported second-quarter fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings of 82 cents per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 74.47%, although this represents a 14.6% decrease year over year [2][9] - Revenues increased by 2% year over year to $5.18 billion, surpassing the consensus mark by 2.47% [2][9] Revenue Breakdown - Distribution revenues, accounting for 38.6% of total revenues, rose 4% year over year to $2 billion, driven by a 5% growth in Cable Network Programming and a 1% increase in the Television segment [2][3] - Advertising revenues, which make up 47.4% of total revenues, increased by 1% year over year to $2.46 billion, supported by higher sports and news pricing, digital growth from the Tubi AVOD service, and additional MLB postseason games, but partially offset by lower political advertising revenues and ratings [3][4] - Content and other revenues, representing 14% of total revenues, remained stable year over year at $725 million [3] Operating Performance - Operating expenses increased by 3.2% year over year to $3.9 billion, with operating expenses as a percentage of revenues rising by 90 basis points to 75.2% [6] - Selling, general & administrative (SG&A) expenses rose 13.3% year over year to $595 million, expanding as a percentage of revenues by 120 basis points to 11.5% [6] - Total adjusted EBITDA decreased by 11.4% year over year to $692 million, with the adjusted EBITDA margin contracting by 190 basis points to 13.4% [6][9] Segment Performance - Cable Network Programming EBITDA increased by 5% year over year to $687 million, while Television reported an adjusted EBITDA of $143 million, down 30% from the previous year [7] Balance Sheet - As of December 31, 2025, Fox had $2.02 billion in cash and cash equivalents, down from $4.37 billion as of September 30, 2025 [10] - Total borrowings remained unchanged at $6.6 billion as of December 31, 2025 [10]