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Should Investors Buy, Sell or Hold PANW Stock Post Q3 Earnings?
ZACKS· 2025-05-23 14:51
Core Viewpoint - Palo Alto Networks, Inc. (PANW) has faced a 4.3% decline in share price since reporting its Q3 fiscal 2025 results, despite exceeding earnings expectations. The stock remains volatile due to geopolitical issues and tariff uncertainties, although it has seen a 2.3% increase year-to-date [1][2]. Financial Performance - PANW's financial results for fiscal 2025 show a projected revenue of $9.18 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 14.3% [13]. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current quarter is $2.50 billion, with a year-over-year growth estimate of 14.19% [14]. Competitive Landscape - PANW is experiencing increased competition from other cybersecurity firms like CrowdStrike and Zscaler, which impacts its market position and operational costs [7][8]. The shift in large deals from multi-year to annual payments is shortening sales cycles and affecting revenue stability [6]. Industry Trends - The global cybersecurity market is expected to grow from $193.73 billion in 2024 to $562.72 billion by 2032, indicating a significant opportunity for PANW as demand for advanced cybersecurity solutions rises [10]. The company's focus on AI, automation, and cloud security positions it favorably within this expanding market [11]. Strategic Initiatives - PANW's transition to a platform-based model has led to securing over 90 new platformization deals in Q3 fiscal 2025, with a nearly 70% year-over-year increase in customers utilizing multiple platformizations [12][13]. This strategy enhances financial stability and customer retention. Valuation Insights - PANW is currently trading at a lower price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 12.05X compared to the Zacks Security industry's average of 13.8X, suggesting potential upside for investors [15]. This valuation is also lower than its competitors, Zscaler and CrowdStrike, which have P/S multiples of 12.75X and 21.66X, respectively [15]. Conclusion - Despite facing financial and competitive challenges, PANW is well-positioned for future growth due to strong demand and a favorable valuation, making it a stock worth holding at present [17].
PANW Plunges 11% in a Month: Should You Hold or Fold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-04-23 15:00
Core Viewpoint - Palo Alto Networks, Inc. (PANW) has experienced a significant decline in share price, losing 11.4% over the past month, which is worse than the Zacks Security industry's decline of 9.2% during the same period [1][2] Financial Performance - The company reported a slowdown in sales growth, with fiscal 2024 revenue growth at 16% year-over-year, down from 25% in fiscal 2023. For fiscal 2025, PANW projects revenue growth of 14%, estimating total revenue between $9.14 billion and $9.19 billion [5][6] - The first and second quarters of fiscal 2025 have shown revenue growth lingering around 14%, indicating a cooling off of the company's rapid expansion phase [6] - PANW's next-generation security annual recurring revenue growth is projected at 31-32%, a decline from over 45% in previous years, disappointing investors [6][8] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) estimate for the current fiscal year has been revised down by a penny to $3.22 [8][9] Competitive Landscape - The cybersecurity market is highly competitive, with significant players like CrowdStrike, CyberArk, and Zscaler posing threats to PANW's growth prospects [7][12] - PANW faces competition in various segments, including endpoint security and privileged access management, where competitors have established strong positions [10][11] Industry Trends - Despite challenges, the global cybersecurity market is projected to grow from $193.73 billion in 2024 to $562.72 billion by 2032, indicating a substantial addressable market for PANW [13] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for advanced cybersecurity solutions as enterprises prioritize multi-layered security platforms [13][14] - PANW's strategic partnership with NVIDIA to develop AI-powered private 5G security solutions enhances its capabilities in a rapidly growing market segment [14] Business Strategy - The transition to a platform-based model has been beneficial for PANW, allowing it to bundle multiple security products into a comprehensive offering, which generates recurring revenue and enhances customer loyalty [15] - The company's current valuation is attractive, trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 10.71X, lower than the Zacks Security industry's ratio of 12.03X [16] Conclusion - Despite facing financial and competitive challenges, PANW has substantial resources for innovation and is positioned to capitalize on future growth in the cybersecurity industry. The current demand environment and discounted valuation suggest that holding the stock may be a prudent decision [19]