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ADBE vs. PEGA: Which Enterprise Software Stock is a Better Buy Now?
ZACKS· 2025-08-25 19:06
Core Insights - Adobe (ADBE) and Pegasystems (PEGA) are key players in the enterprise software sector, focusing on digital transformation through cloud-supported solutions [1] - The digital transformation market is projected to reach approximately $4 trillion by 2027, with a CAGR of 16.2% from 2022 to 2027, indicating significant growth potential for both companies [2] Adobe's Position - Adobe has enhanced its AI offerings with Adobe GenStudio and Firefly Services, facilitating collaboration on marketing campaigns [3] - Tools like Acrobat AI Assistant and Adobe Express are gaining traction among business professionals, with over 700 million monthly active users reported by the end of Q2 fiscal 2025 [5] - Adobe's Digital Media Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) reached $18.09 billion, reflecting a 12% year-over-year increase, and its AI-first products are on track to exceed the $250 million ARR target by the end of fiscal 2025 [6] Pegasystems' Position - Pegasystems is experiencing strong demand for its AI-powered, cloud-based solutions, with the market expected to exceed $150 billion by 2029 [7] - The company's shift to a subscription-based model has driven a 14% year-over-year growth in Annual Contract Value (ACV) in Q2 2025, supported by the adoption of Pega GenAI Blueprint [8] - PEGA's capabilities include using agentic AI to modernize legacy systems, enhancing application development speed [9] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Adobe's fiscal 2025 earnings is $20.63 per share, indicating a 12% increase from 2024 [11] - The consensus for PEGA's 2025 earnings has risen by 5.3% to $1.98 per share, suggesting a 31.1% growth from fiscal 2024 [12] Stock Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, Adobe shares have declined by 18.6%, while Pegasystems has seen a larger decline of 21.8% [13] - Both companies are considered overvalued, with Adobe trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 6.11X compared to PEGA's 5.13X [16] Investment Outlook - Adobe's focus on monetizing its AI tools positions it favorably for investors, while PEGA's valuation concerns present risks [19] - Currently, Adobe holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), while Pegasystems has a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating a stronger investment case for Adobe [19]
Adobe's AI-Powered Portfolio Gaining Traction: What's Ahead?
ZACKS· 2025-08-20 16:41
Core Insights - Adobe is leveraging AI technologies to enhance its product offerings, including GenStudio and Firefly Services, which have seen significant adoption among business professionals and creators [1] - The introduction of Acrobat Studio aims to consolidate Adobe's tools and expand its reach among various user groups, transforming PDFs into interactive knowledge hubs [2] - Firefly is improving the functionality of Creative Cloud applications, attracting users for AI-driven content creation and supporting third-party AI models [3] - Adobe's AI-driven revenue from products like Acrobat AI assistant and Firefly is projected to exceed the $250 million Annual Recurring Revenue target by the end of fiscal 2025 [4] Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Adobe's Digital Media revenues in Q3 fiscal 2025 is $4.38 billion, reflecting a 9.6% increase year-over-year, while Digital Experience revenues are expected to reach $1.46 billion, indicating an 8.1% growth [5] - Adobe's stock has declined by 18.8% year-to-date, underperforming the broader technology sector, which has returned 11.8% [8] Competitive Landscape - Adobe's AI business remains small compared to competitors like Microsoft and Alphabet, with Microsoft benefiting from its Azure AI services and AI Copilot products, which have reached 100 million monthly active users [6] - Alphabet is heavily integrating AI across its services, enhancing its search capabilities and driving engagement with features like AI Overview, which has 2 billion monthly users [7] Valuation Metrics - Adobe shares are currently trading at a lower forward price/earnings ratio of 16.02X compared to Microsoft's 32.51X and Alphabet's 19.48X, indicating a premium valuation [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Adobe's fiscal 2025 earnings is $20.63 per share, suggesting a 12% year-over-year growth [17]
Jefferies:人工智能时代的创意颠覆
2025-06-30 01:02
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference highlighted the significant impact of AI on the media and advertising industry, with a notable increase in AI integration in client engagements, as reported by Accenture Song, which noted that 30% of its client engagements now incorporate AI [2][3]. Core Insights 1. **AI's Role in Advertising**: AI is transforming ad formats and performance, streamlining creative production and campaign execution, which is expected to benefit major companies like META, GOOGL, and AMZN as advertisers embrace AI to reach broader audiences [1][2]. 2. **Focus on Retail and Streaming**: Advertising platforms are concentrating on enhancing consumer reach at the point of purchase and through streaming services, indicating a shift in advertising strategies [2]. 3. **Emergence of Live Content**: There is a growing trend towards live content and creator-led formats, which are becoming essential for engaging younger consumers and driving purchases [2]. Company-Specific Developments - **Adobe**: Launched AI-powered enhancements for GenStudio and Firefly Services, including tools for short-form video creation and traffic optimization from AI/LLM bots [3]. - **Meta**: Introduced an AI-powered image-to-video ad creation tool, allowing marketers to create multi-scene video ads from static images for Instagram and Facebook [3]. - **Google**: Integrated its Veo 3 video generator into YouTube Shorts, enabling creators to generate clips using text prompts [3]. - **Amazon**: Partnered with Roku to provide exclusive access to Roku's CTV ad inventory and expanded its partnership with Disney for ad inventory access across platforms like Disney+ and Hulu [3]. - **Criteo**: Launched a programmatic retail media solution for auction-based buying of display ads across retail networks, enhancing flexibility for advertisers [3]. - **YouTube**: Reported strong results from creator-led campaigns, including a 250% search lift for a beauty brand and a 100% increase from Sephora's YouTube Shorts campaign [3]. Valuation and Risks - **Alphabet, Inc. (GOOGL)**: Price target set at $210 based on 13x EV/EBITDA, with risks including macroeconomic impacts, regulatory challenges, and margin pressures from ongoing investments [4]. - **Amazon.com, Inc (AMZN)**: Price target set at $250 based on approximately 15x 2026E EV/EBITDA, with risks related to investment needs, regulatory pressures, and macroeconomic headwinds [5]. - **Meta Platforms, Inc. (META)**: Price target of $790 derived from DCF analysis, with risks including user engagement declines and regulatory risks [6]. Additional Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of AI in shaping the future of advertising and the strategic moves by major companies to leverage AI technologies for competitive advantage [1][2][3]. - The focus on live content and creator-led formats reflects a shift in consumer engagement strategies, particularly among younger demographics [2]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, highlighting the transformative role of AI in the advertising industry and the strategic responses from leading companies.
Adobe Upgrades CXO With New Solution: Can the Technology Deliver?
ZACKS· 2025-06-17 16:51
Core Insights - Adobe is enhancing its enterprise focus through the Digital Experience segment, integrating creativity, data, and AI for personalized engagement, positioning itself for long-term growth as enterprises invest in marketing automation [1][5] Digital Experience Segment - The Digital Experience segment saw a 10% year-over-year revenue increase to $1.46 billion in Q2 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.56% [5][10] - Subscription revenues within this segment rose 11% to $1.33 billion, driven by the adoption of GenStudio and Firefly Services, outperforming the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.74% [5][10] Product Innovations - Adobe's GenStudio and Firefly Services are central to its Customer Experience Orchestration (CXO) strategy, facilitating campaign planning, content creation, and large-scale asset generation [2][3] - Recent upgrades to the CXO platform include automated ad deployment across major platforms and enhancements in content generation capabilities [3][10] - The introduction of LLM Optimizer and Agent Orchestrator aims to improve asset discoverability and automate campaign execution through AI workflows [3] User Engagement - Monthly active users for Acrobat and Express exceeded 700 million, reflecting a 25% year-over-year increase, with a notable 11x growth in the adoption of Express features within Acrobat [4] Competitive Landscape - Adobe faces increasing competition from Salesforce and HubSpot, both enhancing their AI-driven marketing platforms [6][7] - Salesforce's Marketing Cloud and Data Cloud offer real-time personalization and campaign orchestration, making it a strong alternative to Adobe [6] - HubSpot is gaining popularity among small to medium businesses with its all-in-one CRM suite, integrating more AI capabilities [7] Stock Performance and Valuation - Adobe shares have declined 11.9% year-to-date, contrasting with a 1.2% return in the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector and an 11.1% rise in the Zacks Computer - Software industry [8] - The stock is trading at a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 6.79X, higher than the sector's 6.33X, indicating a premium valuation [11] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q3 2025 earnings is $5.08 per share, reflecting a 9.25% year-over-year growth [13] - The fiscal 2025 earnings estimate stands at $20.36 per share, indicating a 10.53% growth over fiscal 2024 [13]
Salesforce vs. Adobe: Which Cloud Software Stock Has an Edge?
ZACKS· 2025-05-29 14:25
Core Viewpoint - Salesforce is positioned as a stronger investment option compared to Adobe, driven by its focus on AI, unified platform strategy, and favorable earnings outlook [19]. Salesforce Overview - Salesforce dominates the customer relationship management market, maintaining the largest share according to Gartner [2]. - The company has expanded its platform through acquisitions, aiming to become a broader enterprise software provider focused on AI, data, and collaboration [3]. - AI is central to Salesforce's growth strategy, with the introduction of Einstein GPT in 2023 to enhance automation and customer experiences [4]. - The launch of Agentforce has generated $100 million in annualized revenues within two quarters, with over 4,000 customers utilizing it [5]. - Salesforce's annual recurring revenue (ARR) from Data Cloud has grown over 120% year over year [5]. - Despite an 8% year-over-year revenue growth in Q1 fiscal 2026, which is slower than previous years, adjusted EPS rose 6%, indicating operational soundness [6]. Adobe Overview - Adobe reported a 10% revenue increase to $5.71 billion in Q1 fiscal 2025, with non-GAAP EPS growing 13.4% to $5.08 [7]. - The company leads in creative software, with AI contributing significantly to growth, adding over $125 million in ARR last quarter [8]. - Adobe is expanding its AI offerings with tools like GenStudio and Firefly Services, aimed at enhancing marketing efficiency [9]. - The company plans to monetize Firefly through tiered pricing within Creative Cloud and is increasing sales efforts to various sectors [10]. - However, Adobe's second-quarter guidance indicates potential margin pressure, with expected non-GAAP EPS between $4.95 and $5.00, down from Q1 [11]. Earnings Estimates Comparison - Salesforce's earnings estimates have remained stable over the past 60 days, indicating confidence in its earnings stability [12]. - In contrast, Adobe's earnings estimates have been lowered, raising concerns about near-term profitability [12]. - Long-term earnings growth projections show Salesforce with a CAGR of 12.7%, slightly better than Adobe's 12.4% [14]. Price Performance and Valuation - Over the past year, Salesforce stock has increased by 26.7%, while Adobe shares have decreased by 7.5%, reflecting stronger investor confidence in Salesforce [16]. - From a valuation perspective, Salesforce trades at 6.32 times forward sales, compared to Adobe's 7.17 times, suggesting more upside potential for Salesforce [17].
Adobe Jumps 19% in a Month: Is There Any Momentum Left in the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-21 17:16
Core Viewpoint - Adobe's stock has increased by 19% in a month due to its focus on Generative AI and innovative portfolio, but faces challenges from competition and monetization issues [1][3] Company Performance - Adobe's AI business is small compared to competitors like Microsoft and Alphabet, with Microsoft benefiting from Azure AI services and Alphabet from its AI infrastructure [2] - Adobe shares have underperformed compared to Microsoft and DocuSign, which returned 24.9% and 20.9% respectively, while Adobe outperformed Alphabet's 8.2% return [3] Valuation Metrics - Adobe's stock is considered overvalued with a forward price/sales ratio of 7.28X, higher than the sector average of 6.14X and competitors like Salesforce and DocuSign [6] AI Portfolio Development - Adobe has expanded its AI offerings with products like Adobe GenStudio and Firefly Services, aimed at enhancing marketing collaboration [9] - The company plans to monetize Firefly through new Creative Cloud offerings and is integrating AI across its portfolio, which is expected to drive top-line growth [10] Financial Guidance - Adobe's AI business is projected to grow from over $125 million in Q1 FY25, expected to double by the end of FY25 [11] - For FY25, Adobe anticipates Digital Media segment revenues between $17.25 billion and $17.40 billion, with total revenue guidance between $23.30 billion and $23.55 billion [12][13] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for FY25 earnings is $20.36 per share, reflecting a 10.53% growth over FY24, although it has seen a decline in estimates recently [14] - The estimate for Q2 FY25 earnings is $4.96 per share, suggesting a 10.71% growth from the previous year [16]
GOOGL vs. ADBE: Which AI-Driven Tech Stock is a Better Buy Now?
ZACKS· 2025-05-19 20:00
Core Viewpoint - Both Alphabet and Adobe are integrating artificial intelligence (AI) into their core offerings, with Alphabet focusing on search and cloud services, while Adobe enhances its creative products with AI capabilities [1][2]. AI Market Outlook - Global spending on AI-supporting technologies is projected to exceed $749 billion by 2028, with enterprises expected to contribute 67% of the $227 billion AI spending in 2025 [2]. Alphabet's AI Initiatives - Alphabet's AI integration in Search has seen significant growth, with Circle to Search available on 250 million devices and a 40% increase in usage during Q1 2025. Monthly visual searches have risen by 5 billion since October 2024, and AI Overview is utilized by over 1.5 billion people monthly [5][6]. - Google Cloud is becoming a preferred choice for enterprises deploying AI agents, supported by tools like the Agent Development Kit and Agent Designer [6]. Adobe's AI Developments - Adobe has expanded its AI portfolio with Adobe GenStudio and Firefly Services, aiding brands in marketing campaigns. The company has launched AI-powered features in Premiere Pro and After Effects, enhancing video and audio capabilities [9][10][11]. - Adobe's AI business was valued at over $125 million at the end of Q1 2025, representing a low single-digit percentage of total revenues of $4.23 billion, with expectations to double by the end of fiscal 2025 [12]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Alphabet's 2025 earnings is $9.43 per share, reflecting an 8% increase over the past 30 days and a 17.29% rise from 2024 [13]. - Adobe's fiscal 2025 earnings estimate has slightly decreased to $20.36 per share, indicating a 10.53% growth over fiscal 2024 [14]. Performance Comparison - Both companies have consistently beaten earnings estimates, with Alphabet showing a higher average surprise of 14.64% compared to Adobe's 2.53% [15]. - In terms of valuation, Alphabet is trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 5.98X, lower than Adobe's 7.27X, indicating that Alphabet is relatively cheaper [16]. Conclusion - Despite regulatory challenges, Alphabet is experiencing strong growth in cloud and search services, bolstered by a dominant market position and over 270 million paid subscriptions [18]. - Adobe faces stiff competition in the AI space and struggles with monetization of its AI solutions, leading to a weaker outlook compared to Alphabet [18][19].
Adobe vs. Autodesk: Which Software Stock is a Stronger Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-04-28 17:11
Core Insights - Adobe and Autodesk are leveraging AI to enhance their creative software offerings and improve workflow efficiency, with the creative software market projected to reach $10.25 billion by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 1.54% [1] - Both companies have faced stock declines due to tech sell-offs, with Adobe down 17.3% YTD and Autodesk down 8.6% [2] Adobe Insights - Adobe's growth is driven by strong demand for its Creative Cloud, Document Cloud, and Adobe Experience Cloud, with an AI business expected to double by the end of fiscal 2025 [5][8] - The company has expanded its AI portfolio with new tools like Adobe GenStudio and Firefly Services, enhancing collaboration and productivity for brands [6][7] - For fiscal 2025, Adobe anticipates total revenues between $23.30 billion and $23.55 billion, with Digital Media revenues projected at $17.25 billion to $17.40 billion [8] Autodesk Insights - Autodesk is benefiting from new business growth and strong subscription renewal rates, with a focus on cloud-based products and design suites [9] - The company has made significant progress in high-growth segments like Construction and Manufacturing, adding nearly 400 new construction customers in Q4 of fiscal 2025 [10] - Autodesk expects revenues for fiscal 2026 to be between $6.895 billion and $6.965 billion, with billings estimated at $7.06 billion to $7.21 billion [12] Earnings Estimates - Adobe's fiscal 2025 earnings estimate is $20.36 per share, reflecting a 10.53% increase from fiscal 2024 [13] - Autodesk's fiscal 2026 earnings estimate remains steady at $9.48 per share, indicating an 11.92% growth over 2024 [14] Valuation Insights - Both companies are considered overvalued, with Adobe trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 6.44X, lower than Autodesk's 8.09X [16] - Autodesk holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), while Adobe has a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating a stronger investment case for Autodesk [18]