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Pure Storage Stock Before Q4 Earnings: Time to Buy, Hold or Exit?
ZACKS· 2026-02-23 15:35
Core Viewpoint - Pure Storage, Inc. (PSTG) is expected to report strong earnings growth in its upcoming fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 results, with earnings estimated at 65 cents, reflecting a 44.4% increase year-over-year [1][2]. Financial Performance - The consensus estimate for total revenues is $1.03 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 17.2% [2]. - Pure Storage anticipates revenues in the range of $1.02-$1.04 billion, suggesting a 17.1% increase at the midpoint from the previous year [2]. - The company has surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 7.9% [2][3]. Earnings Expectations - The current Earnings ESP for PSTG is -2.93%, and it holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicating a lower likelihood of an earnings beat this quarter [4][5]. - Management expects non-GAAP operating income of $220-$230 million for Q4, representing approximately 47% year-over-year growth at the midpoint [8][9]. Market Trends and Demand - There is heightened demand for AI-ready infrastructure and flash storage, which is reshaping the data storage landscape, positioning Pure Storage to capitalize on these trends [6]. - Strong enterprise spending and growth in its Evergreen//One and modern virtualization solutions are expected to contribute positively to PSTG's performance [6][9]. Competitive Position - PSTG's shares have increased by 15.7% over the past year, underperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry, which grew by 146.2% [11]. - The company has outperformed competitors like NetApp, Inc. (NTAP), while underperforming Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) and Sandisk Corporation (SNDK) [12]. Valuation Metrics - PSTG is trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 95.72X, significantly higher than the industry average of 19.54X, indicating a stretched valuation [13][16]. - The company faces macroeconomic uncertainties and supply chain pressures, which could impact its near-term outlook [14]. Strategic Outlook - The fiscal fourth-quarter results will be closely monitored for indications of AI-driven demand and the effectiveness of the Evergreen model in driving revenue growth [17]. - Despite solid long-term fundamentals, risks from longer enterprise spending cycles and intense competition may lead to near-term volatility [17][18].
What's Supporting Western Digital's Gross Margin Momentum?
ZACKS· 2026-02-09 16:50
Core Insights - Western Digital Corporation (WDC) has significantly improved its gross margin performance in the first two quarters of fiscal 2026, reporting a gross margin of 46.1% in the fiscal second quarter, which is an increase of 770 basis points year over year and 220 basis points sequentially, exceeding the company's guidance of 44-45% [2][11] - The improvement in gross margin is attributed to a transition to higher-capacity drives and effective cost management across production and supply chain [2][5] Financial Performance - The company reported an incremental gross margin flow-through of approximately 75%, driven by stable pricing and a decline in costs per terabyte [3] - In the fiscal second quarter, Western Digital shipped over 3.5 million latest-generation ePMR drives, supporting capacities of up to 26TB CMR and 32TB UltraSMR, contributing to a total shipment of 215 exabytes, a 22% year-over-year increase [5] - For the fiscal third quarter, Western Digital expects a non-GAAP gross margin in the range of 47-48% and non-GAAP revenues of $3.2 billion, reflecting a 40% year-over-year increase at the midpoint [6][11] Competitive Landscape - Seagate Technology Holdings plc reported a non-GAAP gross margin of 42.2%, an increase of about 210 basis points quarter over quarter and roughly 670 basis points year over year, driven by the adoption of high-capacity products [7] - Pure Storage, Inc. reported a non-GAAP gross margin of 74.1%, up from 71.9% in the prior year, attributed to increased sales of high-performance FlashArrays and higher hyperscaler shipments [8] - For the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, Pure Storage expects revenues between $1.02 billion and $1.04 billion, indicating a 17.1% increase at the midpoint from the previous year [9] Market Performance - Over the past three months, WDC's shares have increased by 62.3%, outperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry's growth of 40.4% [12] - WDC's shares are currently trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 22.43X, compared to the industry's 19.26X [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for WDC's earnings for fiscal 2026 has been revised up by 17.3% to $8.95 over the past 60 days [14]