General Mills (GIS) Q4 2025 Earnings Call June 25, 2025 09:00 AM ET Company Participants Jeff Siemon - VP, IRJeffrey Harmening - Chairman & CEOKen Goldman - Co-Head - Americas Equity ResearchDana McNabb - Group President, North America Retail & North America PetAndrew Lazar - Managing DirectorKofi Bruce - CFOPeter Galbo - Director - Equity ResearchRobert Moskow - Managing Director David Palmer - Senior Managing DirectorScott Marks - Equity Research (Consumer)Max Gumport - Director - Equity Research Conferen ...

Company Performance - Freshpet's stock closed at $72.45, reflecting a -2.45% change from the previous day's closing price, underperforming the S&P 500 which gained 0.94% [1] - The stock has decreased by 15.27% over the past month, contrasting with the Consumer Staples sector's gain of 2.68% and the S&P 500's gain of 1.67% [1] Earnings Forecast - The upcoming EPS for Freshpet is projected at $0.1, indicating a significant increase of 433.33% compared to the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue is expected to reach $268.55 million, representing a 14.16% growth year-over-year [2] Annual Estimates - For the entire year, earnings are forecasted at $1.27 per share and revenue at $1.13 billion, showing increases of +64.94% and +15.61% respectively compared to the previous year [3] - Recent adjustments to analyst estimates reflect changing business dynamics, with positive revisions indicating analyst optimism about profitability [3] Valuation Metrics - Freshpet has a Forward P/E ratio of 58.44, which is significantly higher than the industry average of 16.92 [6] - The PEG ratio for Freshpet stands at 1.24, compared to the industry average PEG ratio of 1.58 [6] Industry Context - The Food - Miscellaneous industry, part of the Consumer Staples sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 178, placing it in the bottom 28% of over 250 industries [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]

Company Performance - Freshpet's stock closed at $78.89, reflecting a +1.87% change from the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.55% [1] - Over the past month, Freshpet's shares have decreased by 2.74%, underperforming the Consumer Staples sector's gain of 1.91% and the S&P 500's gain of 6.29% [1] Earnings Forecast - Freshpet is expected to report an EPS of $0.11, indicating a significant growth of 466.67% compared to the same quarter last year [2] - The revenue forecast for the upcoming quarter is $268.8 million, representing a 14.26% increase year-over-year [2] - For the full year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $1.39 per share and revenue of $1.13 billion, reflecting year-over-year changes of +80.52% and +15.88%, respectively [3] Analyst Estimates and Rankings - Recent adjustments to analyst estimates for Freshpet indicate positive sentiment regarding the company's business operations [4] - The Zacks Rank system, which incorporates estimate changes, currently ranks Freshpet at 3 (Hold) [6] - The Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has increased by 0.29% over the past month [6] Valuation Metrics - Freshpet has a Forward P/E ratio of 55.81, significantly higher than the industry average of 16.57, indicating a premium valuation [7] - The current PEG ratio for Freshpet is 1.17, compared to the industry average of 1.67, suggesting a more favorable growth outlook relative to its price [8] Industry Context - The Food - Miscellaneous industry, part of the Consumer Staples sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 165, placing it in the bottom 33% of over 250 industries [9] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [9]

Freshpet (FRPT) 2025 Conference Summary Company Overview - Freshpet is a leader in fresh pet food in the United States, consistently growing at double digits and tracking to over $1 billion in fiscal 2025 revenue [1] Industry Insights - The pet food industry is experiencing challenges, with economic uncertainty affecting consumer behavior, particularly in decisions related to pet ownership [2][5] - Long-term tailwinds for the industry remain strong, as consumers continue to prioritize better nutrition for themselves and their pets [3][4] Key Financial Metrics - Freshpet's growth rate for the second quarter is approximately 13%, with steady performance observed [7] - The company adjusted its net sales target to a growth range of 15% to 18% and EBITDA guidance from $190 million to $210 million [29] Strategic Initiatives - Freshpet is focusing on deepening consumer insights to target "Most Valuable Pet Parents" (MVPs), a demographic that shows high interest in purchasing Freshpet products [11][15] - The company has identified 2 million MVPs currently, with a potential market of over 7 million [15] - Initiatives include enhancing media targeting, adjusting creative strategies, and improving distribution points to better serve MVPs [15][36] Competitive Advantages - Freshpet differentiates itself through its unique product offerings, manufacturing expertise, and a robust refrigerated supply chain [22][23] - The company is investing in new manufacturing technology to improve efficiency and product variety, with a new production line expected to start in Q4 [26][27] Marketing and Advertising Strategy - Freshpet is shifting its marketing focus towards digital platforms and streaming services to better engage with consumers [69][70] - The company is experiencing a breakdown in the correlation between advertising spend and sales, attributed to economic stress among consumers [60][61] Distribution Strategy - Freshpet is expanding its distribution network, focusing on both retail and e-commerce channels, with a significant increase in e-commerce sales observed [49] - The company aims to leverage its existing distribution points to enhance online shopping experiences [49] Future Outlook - Freshpet remains committed to its long-term financial targets, including a gross margin of 48% and EBITDA of 22% [80] - The company is optimistic about its ability to adapt to market conditions and maintain growth, despite current challenges [81] Conclusion - Freshpet is positioned for significant growth in the pet food industry, with a strong focus on innovation, consumer engagement, and strategic marketing initiatives [18][19][107]

Freshpet (FRPT) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.09 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.13 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.21 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of -30.77%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this seller of refrigerated fresh pet food would post earnings of $0.44 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.36, delivering a surprise of -18.18%.Over the last fo ...

Sysco (SYY) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.96 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.03 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.96 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of -6.80%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this food distributor would post earnings of $0.93 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.93, delivering no surprise.Over the last four quarters, the company has surpass ...

Wall Street expects a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when Freshpet (FRPT) reports results for the quarter ended March 2025. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The earnings report, which is expected to be released on May 5, 2025, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations ...