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美国_高盛经济指标更新-USA_ GS Economic Indicators Update (Rindels)
Goldman Sachs· 2025-09-25 05:58
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry [1]. Core Insights - The nominal GS US Financial Conditions Index decreased by 4.5 basis points to 98.42, primarily due to rising equity prices [1] - The real GS US Financial Conditions Index also fell by 5.6 basis points to 98.00 [1] - The Q3 GDP forecast stands at +2.2% (quarter-over-quarter annualized) [7] - The US MAP index of economic surprises increased to +0.25 [9] - The preliminary September Current Activity Indicator is at +2.1%, unchanged from August [13] Economic Indicators - The nominal GS US Financial Conditions Index and the real (inflation-adjusted) FCI are key indicators of financial conditions [1][4] - The report tracks changes in various economic indicators, including GDP growth and economic surprises, which are essential for assessing the economic landscape [7][9] - The report highlights the importance of the Current Activity Indicator as a measure of economic performance [13] Financial Conditions - The report indicates a tightening in financial conditions, as evidenced by the changes in the GS Nominal FCI and its components [6] - The report provides a detailed analysis of the components affecting the financial conditions, including Fed Funds and credit spreads [6] GDP Tracking - The report includes a daily advance GDP tracking estimate, showing the expected growth trajectory for the upcoming quarters [8] - The tracking estimates are crucial for understanding the economic outlook and potential investment opportunities [8] Labor Market Insights - The report features a Labor Market Tracker, which provides insights into job growth and unemployment rates [19] - The Job Growth Tracker indicates changes in nonfarm payroll employment, which is vital for assessing labor market health [19] Inflation Tracking - The Core Inflation Tracker is included to monitor inflation trends, which are critical for investment decisions [33] - The report emphasizes the significance of inflation metrics in evaluating economic stability and growth prospects [33]
高盛美国经济指标更新
Goldman Sachs· 2025-04-14 01:32
USA: GS Economic Indicators Update (Rindels) 7 April 2025 | 1:52PM EDT Please find an update of our proprietary economic indicators below. The data behind these exhibits can be downloaded here. Interactive charts can be found on our living page here. The nominal GS US Financial Conditions Index tightened by 42.5bp to 99.95 over the last week, mostly due to lower equity prices, and the real GS US FCI tightened by 50.2bp to 99.62: Jan Hatzius +1(212)902-0394 | jan.hatzius@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Alec P ...