证券研究报告 | 2025 年 06 月 06 日 晨会集萃 制作：产品中心 重点推荐 《策略|知往鉴今系列——大类资产复盘笔记（202505）》 1、大类资产总览：A 股震荡修复，中债回升，商品回落。1）A 股：5 月 主要宽基指数多数收涨，风格方面金融、消费领涨，环保、医药生物行业 领涨。2）债券：5 月长短端收益率分化，长端利率上行，短端利率下行， 期限利差走阔。3）商品：5 月商品多数收涨，黄金冲高回落，原油走牛。 4）海外权益：全球股指普遍收涨，美股三大指数中纳指领涨，亚太股指 多数大涨。5）美债：5 月美国 20 年期国债"发飞"，10 年期利率一度升 至 4.5%以上，期限利差小幅收窄，中美利差走阔。2、A 股：降准降息落 地，景气回升需继续验证。1）基本面：一季度数据开局良好，但 4 月基 本面表现偏弱。2）宏观流动性：社融继续回暖，5 月 7 日央行行长宣布 下调政策利率 0.1 个百分点，降低存款准备金率 0.5 个百分点，降准降息 落地，DR007 月均值 5 月报 1.60%，较 4 月均值下行 13BP，货币继续边 际转松。3）微观资金：5 月南下资金探底回升，获利了结后再度进场， ...

天风证券（601162）股份有限公司赵博轩,刘奕町,王泽宇近期对光威复材（300699）进行研究并发布了研 究报告《大飞机自主可控持续加速，航空装备无人化拉动需求增长》，下调光威复材目标价至48.6元，给 予买入评级。 光威复材 高性能碳纤维龙头，军民双轮驱动发展 光威复材作为国内碳纤维国产化先驱，自1992年成立以来构建了从原丝到复合材料的全产业链布局，覆盖 军工与民用双领域，掌握湿喷湿纺、干喷湿纺等核心技术，产品广泛应用于航空航天、风电能源等高精尖 场景。公司通过股权架构优化平衡战略定力与资本弹性，依托六大业务板块协同发展，形成技术突破、产 能升级与市场拓展的闭环生态，奠定行业标杆地位。 多维协同筑牢增长基本盘，技术升级驱动抗周期韧性 公司2019-2024年营收规模由17.15亿元增至24.50亿元(CAGR7.38%)，归母净利润从5.22亿元增至7.41亿元 (CAGR7.25%)，在行业产能过剩与产品价格下行压力下业绩有所波动，但公司研发聚焦T1100级碳纤维等 关键技术突破，支撑新一代武器装备、低空经济、民机配套等新兴场景布局，其整体盈利能力保持行业领 先。我们认为，公司依托纵向产业链协同优势、 ...

Group 1: Company Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 11.36 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.47% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29.43% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was 2.83 billion yuan, up 11.82% year-on-year, while the non-recurring net profit was 2.75 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 38.71% [5] - The newly launched game "Wanjian Changsheng" contributed significantly to revenue and profit growth in Q1 2025, with a revenue of 3.63 billion yuan [6] Group 2: Industry Trends - The eye care industry is experiencing a slowdown in growth, with the company managing to maintain revenue growth despite external challenges, achieving a revenue of 60 billion yuan in Q1 2025, up 16% year-on-year [8][9] - The company is expanding its international presence, with significant revenue contributions from Europe and Southeast Asia, achieving a total revenue of 210 billion yuan in 2024 [10] - The chemical industry is seeing a substantial increase in revenue, with the company reporting a revenue of 8.59 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 91.68% [12][15] Group 3: Financial Performance - The company reported a net profit of 0.67 billion yuan in Q1 2025, which is a 10.46% increase year-on-year and a remarkable 902.93% increase quarter-on-quarter [12][15] - The net profit margin for the company improved significantly, with a sales net profit margin of 10.80% in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 3.1 percentage points [12] - The company is expected to see continued revenue growth, with projected revenues of 41.27 billion yuan, 48.48 billion yuan, and 55.70 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [17]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][15]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from long-term demand in the aerospace sector, with new carbon fiber products and production lines achieving verification and acceptance [15]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 29.43 billion, 34.30 billion, and 40.60 billion respectively, with corresponding net profits of 8.97 billion, 10.58 billion, and 12.53 billion [15]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 5.65 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10.50% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.24% [10]. - The net profit for Q1 2025 was 1.55 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 1.58% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 22.75% [10]. - The company's sales gross margin for Q1 2025 was 47.50%, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.53 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.17 percentage points [10]. Business Segments - In Q1 2025, the revenue from the fiber expansion segment was 3.61 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.15% [11]. - The energy new materials segment generated 1.10 billion in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 13.07% [11]. - The precision machinery segment saw a significant increase in revenue, achieving 0.19 billion, a year-on-year increase of 193.70% [11]. Market Structure - In 2024, the aerospace, aviation, and new energy sectors were the largest contributors to the company's revenue, totaling 21.34 billion, accounting for 87.12% of total sales [8]. - The aviation business contributed 11.72 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 6.48% [8]. - The new energy-related business saw a revenue increase of 16.66%, contributing 6.99 billion [8]. Product Development - The company has made significant advancements in research and development, including the successful development of T1100-grade carbon fiber and new high-model fibers that have improved wear resistance and reduced production costs [12]. - The GW300 carbon fiber has been approved for use in civil aviation and low-altitude equipment, with revenue from this segment increasing by 495% [12]. Major Contracts - The company has signed significant contracts, including a 20.98 billion contract for carbon fiber and related materials, with 2.95 billion fulfilled in 2024 [13]. - Another contract worth 36.64 billion is in progress, with 6.03 billion fulfilled in 2024 [14].

【DT新材料】 获悉，4月25日， 光威复材 发布公告，2025年第一季度，公司实现营业收入为5.65亿元，同比上升10.50%；归母净利润为1.55亿元，同比下降 1.58%；扣非归母净利润为1.41亿元，同比上升11.93%。 | | 本报告期 | 上年同期 | 本报告期比上年同期增减 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | (%) | | 营业收入(元) | 565. 306. 244. 36 | 511.597.010.38 | 10. 50% | | 归属于上市公司股东的净利润(元) | 154.828.043.98 | 157.318.737.27 | -1.58% | | 归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性 损益的净利润(元) | 140. 979. 515. 34 | 125, 950, 365. 69 | 11.93% | | 经营活动产生的现金流量净额(元) | 131.600.905.71 | -267.931.449.74 | 149.12% | | 基本每股收益(元/股) | 0. 1862 | 0. 1899 | -1.95% | | 稀释每股收益(元 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, but the outlook for its new energy business is improving, with successful development of new fiber products and expansion into new markets expected to drive high-quality growth [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 2.45 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.69% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 741 million yuan, down 15.12% year-on-year [2]. - The fourth quarter saw a significant decline, with revenue of 548 million yuan, a drop of 28.96% year-on-year, and a net profit of 126 million yuan, down 49.93% year-on-year [2]. - Revenue contributions from various sectors include: - Aerospace: 1.172 billion yuan, down 6.48% year-on-year - Space: 264 million yuan, down 24.06% year-on-year - New energy: 699 million yuan, up 16.66% year-on-year [2]. Product Development and Market Expansion - The company has successfully developed T1100 grade and TZ40S fibers, which are being applied in new markets such as civil aviation, low-altitude economy, and consumer electronics [1][3]. - The T1100 grade carbon fiber has passed project assessments and meets high-end equipment requirements, while TZ40S has achieved mass production and is being used in drones and electric aircraft [3]. - The company has also developed ultra-thin prepreg materials for the 3C consumer electronics industry and high-transparency prepreg materials for the photovoltaic industry, both of which are now in stable supply [3]. Investment Outlook - The target price has been adjusted to 37.4 yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating, with expectations of continued growth in carbon fiber demand driven by aerospace equipment [2]. - EPS estimates for 2025-2026 have been revised down to 1.11 and 1.34 yuan respectively, with a new estimate for 2027 at 1.61 yuan [2].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, indicating challenges in the market due to overcapacity and increased competition in the carbon fiber industry [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 2.45 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.69%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 741 million yuan, down 15.12% [1]. - For Q4 2024, revenue was 548 million yuan, a significant decline of 28.96%, with net profit dropping 49.93% to 126 million yuan [1]. Segment Performance - The carbon fiber and fabric segment generated revenue of 1.45 billion yuan, down 12.91% year-on-year, accounting for 59.27% of total revenue [2]. - The T800 grade carbon fiber saw a revenue increase of 64.64% to 472 million yuan, while the T700 grade remained stable due to increased demand for T700 in equipment [2]. - Wind power carbon beam business experienced a recovery with revenue of 537 million yuan, up 25.81% year-on-year [2]. - The prepreg business generated 234 million yuan, down 12.86%, primarily due to intensified competition and price declines [2]. - The composite technology segment achieved revenue of 107 million yuan, up 15.6%, driven by growth in drone-related businesses [2]. - The precision machinery segment saw a significant increase in revenue of 89 million yuan, up 161.20% [2]. New Product Development - The company is actively developing new products and expanding into new fields such as civil aviation, low-altitude economy, and electromagnetic energy storage [4]. - New T1100 and T1100 grade carbon fibers have been developed to meet high-end equipment needs, with successful applications in drones and electric aircraft [4]. - The GW300 carbon fiber and flame-retardant prepreg have been approved for use in large aircraft, marking a significant milestone for the company [4]. - New high-performance prepregs for various applications, including 3C consumer electronics and photovoltaic industries, have been successfully developed and are in stable supply [4]. Production Capacity Expansion - The company successfully passed the equivalence verification for a certain model of carbon fiber production line, ensuring product performance consistency [5]. - The first phase of the 4000-ton high-performance carbon fiber production line in Inner Mongolia was completed and began production in mid-2024 [5].