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Navitas Shares Drop 18% in a Month: Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-08-18 16:51
Core Insights - Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) shares have declined 18.3% over the past month, underperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector, which returned 3% [1] - The decline is attributed to weak second-quarter 2025 results and a disappointing outlook, with shares dropping 14% since the Q2 results were reported on August 4 [1] Financial Performance - For Q2 2025, Navitas reported a non-GAAP loss of 5 cents per share, matching the Zacks Consensus Estimate and an improvement from a loss of 7 cents per share in the same quarter last year [2] - Revenues fell 29.2% year-over-year to $14.5 million, slightly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.23% [2] - The third-quarter 2025 revenue guidance is projected at $10 million (+/- $0.5 million), impacted by China tariff risks and a strategic shift away from lower-margin mobile business [3] Market Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q3 2025 revenues is set at $9.99 million, indicating a 53.94% decline from the previous year [4] - The consensus for Q3 2025 loss is estimated at 5 cents per share, which is a penny wider than the previous estimate [4] Year-to-Date Performance - Year-to-date, Navitas shares have surged 93.9%, outperforming the broader sector and competitors like On Semiconductor and Wolfspeed, which saw declines of 19% and 79.7%, respectively [5] - Despite recent declines, NVTS stock is trading above the 200-day moving average, indicating a bullish trend [8] Growth Opportunities - Navitas is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for power semiconductors, particularly in AI data centers and energy infrastructure, representing a $2.6 billion annual market opportunity [13] - The company plans to reduce operating expenses from $16.1 million in Q2 2025 to approximately $15.5 million in Q3 2025 to enhance capital efficiency [14] Strategic Partnerships - Navitas has established partnerships with major companies like NVIDIA and Powerchip, which are expected to enhance its market position and operational efficiency [15][17] - The collaboration with Powerchip aims to manufacture 200mm GaN chips, which will significantly increase chip production capacity and improve gross margins [17] Market Valuation - Navitas shares are currently considered overvalued, with a forward Price/Sales ratio of 23.77X compared to the sector average of 6.78X [19] - The company faces near-term challenges due to sluggishness in solar, EV, and industrial markets, along with tariff impacts and the removal of tax credits [22]
Buy, Sell or Hold Navitas Stock? Key Tips Ahead of Q2 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-08-01 19:26
Core Insights - Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) is expected to report second-quarter 2025 net revenues between $18 million and $20 million, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate of $14.5 million, indicating a year-over-year decline of 29.1% [1][2] - The consensus estimate for loss is 5 cents per share, unchanged over the past 30 days, compared to a loss of 7 cents per share in the same quarter last year [2] Company Performance - NVTS shares have increased by 97.8% year-to-date, outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector's return of 11.4% and the Zacks Electronics Semiconductors industry's return of 16.7% [6] - The stock is currently trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 16.92X, significantly higher than the sector's average of 6.71X, indicating a stretched valuation [10] Market Dynamics - The company is facing challenges due to sluggishness in solar, electric vehicle (EV), and industrial markets, which are expected to negatively impact second-quarter results [5][9] - Uncertainty over tariffs and trade issues between the United States and China is also a headwind for Navitas [5] Growth Prospects - Navitas is expanding its GaN technology offerings, targeting AI data centers and EV power systems, with significant investments from NVIDIA and Tesla [4][9] - The company is launching new 80-120V GaN devices in 2025 aimed at the 48V DC-DC converter market, which could disrupt traditional power electronics architectures [17] - In the EV sector, NVTS has secured over 40 design wins globally and has a rapidly expanding $900 million EV pipeline [18] Competitive Landscape - Navitas faces significant competition from companies like Wolfspeed and Power Integrations, which are investing heavily in wide bandgap technologies [20] - Power Integrations offers a GaN portfolio with unique high-voltage devices, while Wolfspeed is expanding its manufacturing capacity with advanced technology [21] Conclusion - The muted revenue growth outlook and stretched valuation suggest that NVTS may be a risky investment at this time, with a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) indicating that investors should be cautious ahead of the second-quarter results [22]
Navitas' GaN Power ICs Gaining Traction: What's Fueling It?
ZACKS· 2025-07-04 15:06
Core Insights - Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) is a significant player in the next generation of power semiconductors, particularly in GaN technologies, which are driving innovation and growth in the semiconductor market [1][2] - The GaN semiconductor device market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 6.1% from 2023 to 2028, attracting investments from major tech firms like NVIDIA and Tesla [1] - Navitas' GaN business revenues increased over 50% year-over-year in 2024, indicating strong momentum across various high-growth markets [3][8] Company Performance - Navitas has achieved over 180 GaN charger design wins in 2024 and supplies all top 10 global smartphone manufacturers, showcasing its strong position in the Mobile & Consumer segment [3][8] - The company is expanding into emerging markets through strategic partnerships, such as with Transsion in Africa and Jio in India [3] - In the Electric Vehicle sector, Navitas secured its first design win with Changan Auto for an onboard charger, featuring 6kW/L power density and 96% efficiency [4] Product Development - Navitas is set to launch new 80 - 120V GaN devices in 2025, targeting the 48V DC-DC converter market [4] - The company introduced bidirectional GaN ICs for solar applications, with the first use case expected in solar microinverters by late 2025 [4] Competitive Landscape - Power Integrations' GaN business is also experiencing growth, contributing to a 15% year-over-year revenue increase in Q1 2025, with a focus on high-voltage applications [5] - STMicroelectronics is expanding its GaN technology through a partnership with Innoscience to accelerate development and manufacturing [6] Stock Performance - Year-to-date, Navitas' stock has surged 79.3%, outperforming the industry and S&P 500 growth rates of 13.4% and 5.4%, respectively [7] - The stock trades at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 15.0X, significantly higher than the industry average of 7.5X [9] Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NVTS' loss per share has decreased over the past 60 days, indicating a potential shift in financial outlook [10]