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Why This $10 Million Antero Midstream Position Isn’t Likely Just a Plain-Vanilla Yield Play
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-04 21:51
Company Overview - Antero Midstream Corporation is a leading midstream energy company that operates an integrated infrastructure network providing essential gathering, processing, and water services to natural gas producers in the Appalachian Basin [9] - The company primarily generates revenue from gathering pipelines, compressor stations, and water handling facilities, focusing on supporting Antero Resources' production in West Virginia and Ohio [8] Recent Developments - Ripple Effect Asset Management disclosed a new position in Antero Midstream, acquiring 510,000 shares valued at approximately $9.91 million, which represents 1.94% of the firm's 13F reportable assets [2][3][6] - As of the latest filing, Antero Midstream shares were priced at $17.94, reflecting a 16% increase over the past year, aligning closely with the S&P 500's nearly 17% gain during the same period [4] Financial Performance - Antero Midstream reported a 10% year-over-year increase in adjusted EBITDA to $281 million, while free cash flow after dividends nearly doubled to $78 million [11] - The company's leverage declined to 2.7x, capital spending decreased, and it repurchased $41 million of stock during the quarter, indicating a strong cash flow position and a tightening balance sheet [11] Investment Strategy - The acquisition of both put and call options alongside common shares suggests an investor strategy aimed at engineering outcomes rather than merely collecting yield, which is notable for a midstream company typically viewed as a cash-flow vehicle [10] - The presence of put options indicates a strategy for downside protection against commodity or rate-driven volatility, while call options may enhance returns if market conditions improve [12]
Why This $10 Million Antero Midstream Position Isn't Likely Just a Plain-Vanilla Yield Play
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-04 21:31
Core Viewpoint - Ripple Effect Asset Management has initiated a significant new position in Antero Midstream Corporation, acquiring 510,000 shares valued at approximately $9.91 million, while also holding put and call options, indicating a strategic approach to risk-reward management [2][3][6]. Company Overview - Antero Midstream Corporation is a leading midstream energy company that provides essential gathering, processing, and water services to natural gas producers, primarily in the Appalachian Basin [5][8]. - The company reported a revenue of $1.25 billion and a net income of $472.42 million for the trailing twelve months (TTM), with a dividend yield of 5% [5]. Recent Performance - Antero Midstream's stock price was $17.94, reflecting a 16% increase over the past year, which is in line with the S&P 500's nearly 17% gain during the same period [4]. - The company's third-quarter results showed a 10% year-over-year increase in adjusted EBITDA to $281 million, with free cash flow after dividends nearly doubling to $78 million [9]. Investment Strategy - The combination of common shares with both put and call options suggests that investors are engineering specific outcomes rather than merely seeking yield, which is notable for a midstream company typically viewed as a cash-flow vehicle [6][10]. - The put options indicate a strategy for downside protection against volatility, while the call options suggest potential upside if market conditions improve [10].
Hess Midstream (HESM): A High-Yield Infrastructure Value Play
Acquirersmultiple· 2025-12-26 02:39
Core Viewpoint - Hess Midstream LP (HESM) is identified as a potentially undervalued investment opportunity due to its fee-based midstream operations, stable cash flows, and appealing capital-return profile for income-focused investors [1]. Business Overview - Hess Midstream operates gathering, processing, storage, and export infrastructure primarily for Hess Corporation's Bakken operations, benefiting from long-term, take-or-pay contracts that protect cash flows from commodity price fluctuations [2]. Economic Structure - HESM's revenue is driven by volumes rather than oil prices, leading to stable revenues, predictable margins, and strong free cash flow conversion, which are often undervalued during commodity cycle-driven market sentiment [3]. Valuation Metrics - The Intrinsic Value to Price (IV/P) ratio of HESM is 1.20, indicating that its intrinsic value is approximately 20% higher than the current market price, providing a margin of safety for investors [4]. Supporting Metrics - Market Capitalization: approximately US$ 4.0–4.5 billion - Enterprise Value: approximately US$ 7.5–8.0 billion - Free Cash Flow (TTM): approximately US$ 710 million - Free Cash Flow Yield: approximately 9–10% on Enterprise Value - Acquirer's Multiple: 8, indicating HESM is in value territory despite its growth potential [5]. Revenue & Profitability - HESM reported TTM Revenue of approximately US$ 1.6 billion, Operating Income of approximately US$ 1.0 billion, and a Net Income of approximately US$ 330 million, with an Operating Margin exceeding 60% [6]. Balance Sheet & Cash Flow - Total Debt stands at approximately US$ 3.8 billion, with Net Debt at approximately US$ 3.7 billion. The Operating Cash Flow (TTM) is approximately US$ 1.0 billion, supporting a Free Cash Flow of approximately US$ 710 million after capital expenditures [7]. Capital Returns - The company prioritizes returning capital to unitholders through cash distributions, with dividends paid over the past year totaling approximately US$ 320–330 million, which are comfortably covered by free cash flow [8]. Undervaluation Factors - The market undervalues HESM alongside commodity-sensitive energy stocks, not fully reflecting its stable contracts, strong margins, and consistent free cash flow. The IV/P of 1.20 and Acquirer's Multiple of 8 suggest it is priced more like a utility than a growth-oriented infrastructure business [10]. Conclusion - With a solid IV/P of 1.20, an attractive Acquirer's Multiple of 8, and over US$ 700 million in annual free cash flow, HESM presents a compelling value-oriented income opportunity, characterized by predictable cash flows and a durable asset base [11].
Kinetik Stock Is Down 34% -- But Does a $69 Million Bet Signal a Potential Turnaround Play?
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-09 22:01
A beaten-down midstream name just earned a high-conviction vote from one value investor.New York City-based Brave Warrior Advisors disclosed a new position in Kinetik Holdings Inc. (KNTK +0.68%), acquiring 1.6 million shares for an estimated $68.8 million in the third quarter, according to a November 14 SEC filing.What HappenedAccording to a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission dated November 14, Brave Warrior Advisors established a new equity position in Kinetik Holdings Inc. (KNTK +0.68%). T ...
Kinetik Holdings (KNTK) Falls Following Mixed Q3 Report
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-12 02:45
Core Insights - Kinetik Holdings Inc. (NYSE:KNTK) experienced a significant share price decline of 10.66% from November 3 to November 10, 2025, ranking among the energy stocks that lost the most during that week [1] Financial Performance - The company reported mixed results for Q3 on November 5, with an EPS of $0.03, which fell short of expectations by $0.27, primarily due to increased costs of goods sold and operating expenses [3] - Kinetik's revenue for the quarter was $463.9 million, exceeding estimates by over $33 million and reflecting a year-over-year increase of 17.1% [3] - The company has lowered its adjusted EBITDA guidance by 5% for 2025 and 2% for 2026 [3] Analyst Ratings - Following the Q3 report, Clear Street analyst Tim Moore reduced the price target for Kinetik Holdings from $60 to $55 while maintaining a 'Buy' rating, indicating recognition of operational challenges and delays in the King's Landing project [4]
ONEOK (OKE) PT Lowered by Barclays to $78 Ahead of Q3 2025 Earnings Report
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-22 12:09
Core Viewpoint - ONEOK Inc. is considered one of the best infrastructure stocks to buy, with significant upside potential despite recent price target reductions by analysts [1][2]. Group 1: Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Barclays analyst Theresa Chen lowered the price target for ONEOK to $78 from $83, maintaining an Equal Weight rating, indicating that the Q3 2025 financial report will be crucial for assessing the company's synergy targets and earnings growth capabilities [1]. - Earlier, BofA also reduced its price target for ONEOK to $100 from $109 while keeping a Buy rating, reflecting a broader update on price targets for Integrated, Refining, and Midstream stocks [2]. Group 2: Company Overview - ONEOK Inc. operates as a midstream service provider in the U.S., offering services such as gathering, processing, fractionation, transportation, storage, and marine export [3]. - The company is segmented into four main areas: Natural Gas Gathering & Processing, Natural Gas Liquids, Natural Gas Pipelines, and Refined Products & Crude [3].
Patterson-UTI Energy to Report Q3 Earnings: What's in the Offing?
ZACKS· 2025-10-16 13:25
Core Insights - Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc. (PTEN) is expected to report a third-quarter earnings loss of 9 cents per share, with revenues estimated at $1.17 billion, reflecting a decline from the previous year [1][3][10] Financial Performance - In the second quarter of 2025, PTEN reported an adjusted net loss of 6 cents per share, missing the consensus estimate of a 4-cent loss, while total revenues of $1.2 billion exceeded expectations by 0.3% [2] - PTEN has missed consensus estimates in each of the last four quarters, with an average negative surprise of 17.50% [3] Revenue and Cost Analysis - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter revenues indicates a 13.56% decline from the previous year's $1.4 billion, primarily due to poor performance in Completion Services, Drilling Services, and other segments [3][7] - PTEN's operating costs are projected to decrease by 49.7% year-over-year to $1.2 billion, reflecting the company's focus on financial discipline [5][10] - Direct operating costs are expected to drop from $1 billion to $885.2 million, while depreciation, depletion, amortization, and impairment costs are anticipated to decrease from $374.7 million to $230.3 million [6] Market Position and Outlook - Despite the anticipated revenue decline, PTEN's cost-control measures are expected to mitigate the financial impact in the upcoming quarterly results [8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter earnings has remained unchanged over the past week, indicating a lack of movement in market expectations [10]
Analysts Weigh ONEOK, Inc. (OKE)’s Strategic Growth Plans and the Challenges of a Shifting Energy Market
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-25 00:16
Core Insights - ONEOK, Inc. (NYSE:OKE) is recognized for its significant upside potential and is included in the list of the 11 Best Retirement Stocks to Buy According to Analysts [1] - Analysts are evaluating ONEOK's strategic growth plans amidst the challenges posed by a shifting energy market [2] Company Developments - ONEOK is expanding its operations in the Permian Basin and is pursuing the Sun Belt Connector pipeline from Texas to Arizona to enhance transport capacity [3] - The company is expected to strengthen its competitive position with its wellhead-to-water NGL system in the Permian, although careful execution is necessary to achieve the anticipated returns [3] Analyst Ratings - Barclays has maintained a 'Hold' rating on ONEOK with a price target set at $83 [4] - The company is recognized as a midstream service provider offering various services including gathering, processing, fractionation, transportation, storage, and marine export in the U.S. [4]