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HOLX Stock Up 16% in 6 Months: Is it Still a Hold Heading Into 2026?
ZACKS· 2025-12-08 15:21
Core Insights - Hologic (HOLX) has experienced a 16.1% increase in share price over the last six months, outperforming the industry growth of 15% and the broader Zacks Medical sector's 10% gains [1][7] - The company is undergoing a take-private process led by Blackstone and TPG, offering $76 per share in cash plus a potential Contingent Value Right (CVR) of up to $3 per share, pending shareholder approval [2][7] - Hologic's stock is currently trading close to its 52-week high of $80.31, indicating strong market performance [1][7] Financial Performance - Hologic's shares are trading above the 50-day simple moving average, indicating positive technical momentum [3] - The forward three-year Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio for Hologic is 3.87X, which is lower than its industry peers QIAGEN (4.76X) and Abbott (4.55X) [14] Clinical and Technological Advancements - Hologic's 3DQuorum imaging technology has shown effectiveness in maintaining cancer detection rates while reducing the workload for radiologists, as evidenced by studies presented at RSNA 2025 [4][8] - The company is set to launch the Envision Mammography Platform, which features a high-speed 3D mammogram with a scan time of 2.5 seconds, enhancing cancer screening accuracy [13] Business Segments - The Diagnostics division is a key growth driver, with increased sales volumes and adoption of assays, particularly in the U.S. vaginitis market [10][11] - Hologic's Breast Health division is showing renewed strength under new leadership, with strategies to upgrade older equipment and diversify its product offerings [12] Market Challenges - The Diagnostics business outside the U.S. faces challenges due to geopolitical issues and funding constraints, particularly in Africa and China [17] - Hologic anticipates incurring quarterly costs of $10 million to $14 million in fiscal 2026, which may impact gross margins [17] Strategic Outlook - The proposed go-private strategy provides a valuation floor and minimizes downside risk, while the stock's current trading price near the $76 cash offer suggests limited short-term gains [18]
Should You Continue to Hold Hologic Stock Post Q4 Earnings?
ZACKS· 2025-11-18 15:31
Core Insights - Hologic (HOLX) is set to conclude its publicly traded phase with an $18.3 billion acquisition by Blackstone and TPG, offering $76 per share in cash plus a contingent value right worth up to $3 per share [1] - The company's fiscal Q4 2025 results showed a revenue increase of 6.2% to $1.05 billion and adjusted EPS growth of 11.9% to $1.13, driven by the Breast Health segment and other business contributions [1][8] - Hologic's stock has risen 31.4% over the past six months, outperforming its industry and key competitors [3] Financial Performance - Fiscal Q4 revenue reached $1.05 billion, with adjusted EPS rising 11.9% [1][8] - The Breast Health segment generated $393.7 million in revenue, up 4.8% year over year, supported by strong sales and improved execution [9] - GYN revenues grew 10.2% year over year to $172.5 million, driven by increased sales of MyoSure and Fluent [10] Regulatory and Innovation Developments - Hologic's Genius Digital Diagnostics System received expanded CE marking in the EU, now approved for imaging both cell and tissue specimens [2] - The system integrates AI with advanced imaging technology to enhance cancer detection and streamline workflows [12][13] - Upcoming innovations include the Envision Mammography Platform, expected to launch in fiscal 2026 [13] Market Position and Valuation - Hologic shares are trading at a forward five-year P/E ratio of 16.28, below the industry average of 29.91, indicating potential undervaluation [15] - The stock has a Value Score of B, suggesting it may be a good option for retention in investment portfolios [18] Challenges and Concerns - The Diagnostics business faces challenges due to geopolitical issues, particularly in Africa and China, along with tariff impacts expected to cost $10 million to $12 million per quarter in fiscal 2026 [17]
How to Play HOLX Stock This Breast Cancer Awareness Month?
ZACKS· 2025-10-06 13:05
Core Insights - Hologic is a leader in breast cancer detection and treatment technologies, emphasizing the importance of early detection which can lead to a 99% survival rate [1] - The company is actively addressing barriers to mammogram screenings through its BustTheMyth campaign, as nearly half of women recommended for mammograms either skip or delay the exam [1] Financial Performance - Hologic's shares closed at $68.22, reflecting a 0.5% increase from the previous close and a 31.4% rise from its 52-week low [2] - The stock is trading above both 50 and 200-day simple moving averages, indicating long-term bullish prospects [2] Clinical Innovations - Hologic is advancing AI-powered mammography technology, with studies showing that AI scores correlate with tumor characteristics, indicating its potential for early diagnosis [5][6] - The company presented findings at a major conference, demonstrating that its AI technology performs comparably to radiologists in cancer detection, with higher sensitivity [6] - Hologic's new breast surgery innovations, including the Sentimag Gen 3 device, enhance tumor localization and staging capabilities [6] Business Outlook - Hologic's Breast Health segment is expected to grow, driven by a new sales structure and strong execution from its leadership team [9] - The interventional breast health unit reached $100 million in revenue for the first time in Q3 of fiscal 2025, bolstered by the acquisition of Endomagnetics [10] - The company plans to launch the Envision Mammography Platform next year, which offers the fastest 3D scan time and improved workflow efficiencies [11] Market Positioning - Hologic's stock has gained 6% over the past three months, outperforming the industry average of 3.7% [12] - The company's forward five-year Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is 15.19X, lower than its median and industry average, indicating a potentially attractive valuation [15] Supply Chain and Geopolitical Challenges - Hologic anticipates reducing the gross impact of supply chain changes to $10-$12 million for fiscal 2026, down from $20-$25 million [18] - The Diagnostics business faces challenges outside the U.S., particularly in Africa and China, leading to a lowered revenue forecast for China to $50 million [19] Conclusion - Hologic is focused on dispelling misconceptions about breast cancer and enhancing its Breast Health division through leadership changes, acquisitions, and technological innovations [20]
Hologic's Breast Health Rebound in Motion: How to Play the Stock Now?
ZACKS· 2025-09-15 14:01
Core Insights - Hologic's latest quarterly results indicate progress, particularly in the Breast Health business, which is expected to return to healthy growth by the end of fiscal 2025 [1][9] - The company anticipates mid-single-digit revenue growth and high single-digit EPS growth in the fourth quarter, moving towards long-term financial goals [1] Breast Health Segment - The Breast Health segment's revenues improved sequentially in Q3 and slightly exceeded expectations, with a new leadership team and revamped sales strategy in place [5][9] - A new strategy to upgrade older gantries is expected to gain traction, reinforcing Hologic's market leadership [6] - The introduction of Genius AI Detection PRO enhances diagnostic accuracy and reduces radiologists' reading time by up to 24% [7] Interventional Breast Health - The acquisition of Endomagnetics has strengthened Hologic's interventional breast health portfolio, contributing to a 31.8% growth in the fiscal third quarter [8] Diagnostics Segment - The Panther platform's utilization is increasing, with significant potential in the U.S. vaginitis market and strong uptake of respiratory assays due to a severe flu season [10] - Plans to diversify the Fusion menu with IVD tests for gastrointestinal and hospital-acquired infections are underway [11] GYN Surgical Segment - International markets are driving momentum in GYN Surgical, with investments expanding access to minimally invasive surgical products [12] Valuation - Hologic shares are considered undervalued, trading at a forward five-year P/E of 14.41X compared to the industry average of 27.51X [13] Challenges - The Diagnostics business faces challenges outside the U.S., particularly in China, where revenue forecasts have been lowered by $20 million [16] - Tariff implications are a concern, with anticipated direct costs of $10 million-$12 million per quarter starting fiscal 2026 [17]
Hologic's 2025 Outlook Improves on Strong Q3, Easing Tariff Headwinds
ZACKS· 2025-09-10 15:11
Core Insights - Hologic is on track with its financial improvement plan, raising fiscal 2025 revenue guidance to $4.08-$4.09 billion and adjusted EPS to $4.23-$4.26 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Hologic's Breast Health sales in Q3 reached $365.2 million, exceeding expectations and indicating a return to growth in Q4 2025 [2] - The company has reduced its estimated quarterly tariff costs from $20-$25 million to $10-$12 million through supply chain adjustments [3] - Hologic's GYN Surgical segment saw a 24.8% growth in international sales during Q3, with expectations for strong revenue growth in Q4 [4] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Becton, Dickinson and Company (BDX) reported an increase in organic growth and adjusted EPS guidance for the fiscal year, reflecting strong operational performance [5] - QIAGEN N.V. also exceeded its sales and adjusted EPS outlook, raising its FY 2025 net sales growth forecast to 4-5% [6] Group 3: Stock Performance and Valuation - Hologic shares have increased by 3.3% over the past three months, outperforming the industry average of 1.2% [7] - The stock is currently trading at a forward five-year price-to-sales ratio of 3.49X, below the industry average of 4.07X [9]
HOLX vs. BSX: Which Healthcare Stock Has More Room to Grow?
ZACKS· 2025-08-25 13:36
Core Insights - Hologic and Boston Scientific are prominent U.S. MedTech companies, with Hologic focusing on women's health and Boston Scientific on less-invasive medical devices [1][8] - Hologic's market cap is $14.94 billion, while Boston Scientific's is significantly larger at $155.90 billion [1] Hologic Overview - Hologic's fiscal 2025 third-quarter performance indicates recovery and growth, aided by a new leadership team and strategy in Breast Health [3] - The company is launching innovative products like Genius AI Detection PRO and the Envision mammography platform [3] - U.S. Molecular Diagnostics grew 7.3% year-over-year, driven by specific assay portfolios [4] - The Genius Digital Diagnostics System is gaining traction globally, addressing labor shortages in cervical cancer screening [5] - Hologic's strong balance sheet supports capital allocation strategies, including share repurchases and M&A activities [6] - The company has reduced anticipated tariff impacts for fiscal 2026, but still faces macroeconomic challenges [7] Boston Scientific Overview - Boston Scientific's Cardiovascular segment showed strong performance, with Electrophysiology sales increasing by 91% in Q2 2025 [8][9] - The company is focusing on strategic M&A and high-growth areas, acquiring SoniVie and Intera Oncology [10] - Emerging markets delivered 12.1% year-over-year operational sales growth despite geopolitical challenges [10] - The MedSurg segment, particularly Endoscopy, showed strength with notable growth in key products [11] - Urology sales grew 28% operationally, supported by acquisitions and product innovations [12] - Boston Scientific has cut its 2025 tariff impact forecast to approximately $100 million [13] Financial Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, Hologic shares have decreased by 5.4%, while Boston Scientific shares have increased by 18.8% [16] - Hologic's forward price-to-sales ratio is 3.58, slightly above its median, while Boston Scientific's is 4.14, below its median [17] - Hologic's EPS for fiscal 2025 is estimated to grow by 3.7% to $4.23, while Boston Scientific's EPS is projected to improve by 18.7% to $2.98 [19][21] Conclusion - Boston Scientific shows strong momentum in its segments and favorable earnings projections, making it a more compelling investment opportunity compared to Hologic, which is also on a growth trajectory but faces economic headwinds [22]
Hologic Eyes Organic Growth Rebound in 2026 on Breast Health Strength
ZACKS· 2025-08-13 13:26
Core Insights - Hologic (HOLX) anticipates a return to mid-single-digit organic revenue growth in 2026, driven by a recovery in its Breast Health business [1][8] - The company has restructured its sales teams to enhance focus on capital and disposable product segments, which is expected to improve performance [2][8] - Hologic is launching innovative products, including Genius AI Detection PRO and the next-generation Envision gantry, aimed at improving imaging capabilities and operational efficiency [4][8] Financial Performance - In the third quarter, Hologic's Breast Health revenues declined compared to the previous year but showed sequential improvement, slightly exceeding company expectations [1] - Interventional organic sales grew by 6% in the third quarter, with reported sales increasing by 31.8%, aided by the contribution from Endomagnetics [3] - Hologic's stock has increased by 7.4% over the past six months, contrasting with a 14.9% decline in the industry [7] Competitive Landscape - GE Healthcare reported strong revenue growth across all segments, with adjusted EPS rising to 93 cents from 13 cents year-over-year, driven by demand for radiopharmaceutical products [5] - Merit Medical Systems exceeded financial expectations in the second quarter, achieving a record operating margin of 21.2% [6] Valuation Metrics - Hologic is currently trading at a forward three-year price-to-earnings ratio of 15.28X, which is below the industry average of 28.00X [9] - Analyst estimates for Hologic's EPS show a mixed trend for fiscal years 2025 and 2026, with current estimates at 4.22 for 2025 and 4.48 for 2026 [10][11]