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Tempus AI Stock Jumps Post Q2 as EBITDA Breakeven Nears: Buy or Hold?
ZACKS· 2025-08-13 20:02
Core Insights - Tempus AI's stock has increased nearly 13% since the release of its second-quarter 2025 earnings, driven by strong revenue growth and strategic positioning in a high-value market [1] - The company reported an 89.6% year-over-year revenue increase, primarily due to a significant rise in Genomics revenues and growth in its Data and Services segment [1][6] - Gross profit more than doubled, and adjusted EBITDA losses narrowed, indicating a clear path to profitability [2][6] Financial Performance - Revenues rose 89.6% year over year, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 5.12%, with Genomics revenues surging by 115% and Data and Services increasing by 35.7% [6][9] - Adjusted operating expenses decreased by 57.8%, leading to a reduction in adjusted EBITDA losses to $5.6 million from $31.2 million a year ago [7][9] - The company has raised its full-year revenue guidance and strengthened liquidity through a $750 million convertible note offering [2][8] Market Position - In August, Tempus AI's shares surged 17.3%, outperforming the Medical Info Systems industry, which declined by 3% [3] - The stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating upward momentum and price stability [10] - Despite strong performance, the stock is currently overvalued compared to its industry, with a forward price-to-sales ratio of 7.98, higher than the industry average of 5.57 [12] Future Outlook - Tempus AI is positioned to achieve sustainable profitability soon, supported by high-margin revenue growth and disciplined cost control [8][13] - Management has reaffirmed its $5 million adjusted EBITDA target for 2025, representing a $110 million improvement over 2024 [7] - The company's ability to maintain growth momentum and control costs will be crucial for its path to sustained profitability [13]
Tempus AI's 89% Genomics Surge: Will the Momentum Keep Building?
ZACKS· 2025-06-20 13:46
Core Insights - Tempus AI reported $193.8 million in Genomics revenues for Q1 2025, marking an increase of nearly 89% year over year, driven by a 20% growth in oncology test volumes and higher average revenue per test due to increased Medicare reimbursement rates [1][8] - The company is set to launch a new liquid biopsy assay, xM for treatment response monitoring, which will track changes in tumor fraction during immune-checkpoint inhibitor therapies, potentially influencing treatment decisions [2] - Tempus is also preparing to launch its first whole-genome sequencing test, Xh, aimed at detecting clinically relevant variants in hematological oncology by next year [3] - A companion diagnostic test is being developed in collaboration with Verastem Oncology, leveraging Tempus' FDA-approved xT CDx assay in clinical trials for ovarian cancer treatment [4] Industry Updates - Guardant Health reported a 20% year-over-year growth in oncology revenues, with a 25% increase in test volumes, and launched a hereditary cancer test [5] - Exact Sciences is experiencing strong international adoption of its Oncotype DX genomic test and has launched Cologuard Plus, which is expected to reduce false positives significantly [6] Financial Performance - Tempus AI shares have increased by 105.3% year to date, outperforming the industry average growth of 28% [7] - The company is trading at a forward Price-to-Sales ratio of 8.60X, compared to the industry average of 6.02X [9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Tempus AI's 2025 earnings has been trending upward over the past 90 days, indicating positive market sentiment [11]
Tempus AI Eyes Positive Adjusted EBITDA in 2025: Is It Taking Shape?
ZACKS· 2025-06-06 14:10
Core Insights - Tempus AI (TEM) is on track to achieve a significant milestone in its 10th year, projecting a full-year adjusted EBITDA of $5 million, which represents an improvement of approximately $110 million over 2024 [1] - The company narrowed its adjusted EBITDA loss by $27.8 million year over year to negative $16.2 million, indicating effective cost management [1][10] Revenue and Profitability - First-quarter revenues surged by 75.4% year over year, driven by an 89% increase in Genomics, a 31% rise in Oncology testing, and a $63.5 million contribution from Hereditary testing [2] - Gross profit increased at an even higher rate of 99.8% year over year, nearly doubling the growth rate from the previous quarter, supported by gross margin expansion in Genomics and Data and services [2] Competitive Landscape - Compared to older peers like Guardant Health and Myriad Genetics, which are still facing significant annual losses, Tempus is experiencing rapid growth and margin improvements, positioning itself for a promising shift to profitability [3] - Guardant Health reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of $58.5 million for Q1 2025, while Myriad Genetics posted an adjusted EBITDA near breakeven [4][5] Stock Performance - Year to date, Tempus AI shares have increased by 71.8%, significantly outperforming the industry average growth of 22.9% [8][10] - The stock trades at a forward 12-month sales multiple of 7.36X, which is lower than its median of 28.64X but above the industry average of 6.03X [9]