Group 1 - The GfK consumer confidence index in the UK rose from -20 to -18 in June, reaching its highest level since December 2024, aligning with market expectations [1] - Neil Bellamy, GfK's consumer insight director, warned that consumer confidence remains "fragile" due to rising consumer prices, increased taxes, and signs of a deteriorating labor market [1] - The conflict between Israel and Iran has driven up oil costs, while President Trump's trade war is disrupting international trade [1]