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Buy or Fear GitLab Stock at $48?
Forbes· 2025-10-17 13:55
Core Insights - GitLab's stock rose by 10.6% following speculation of a takeover bid from Datadog at $60 per share, but the stock is considered unattractive at its current price of approximately $48 due to high valuation relative to fundamentals [2][11] Financial Performance - GitLab's revenues have grown significantly, with a 29.0% increase over the last 12 months, rising from $665 million to $858 million, and an average growth rate of 37.4% over the past three years [7] - The company has a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 9.1, compared to 3.2 for the S&P 500, and a price-to-free cash flow (P/FCF) ratio of 217.4 versus 20.7 for the S&P 500 [7] - GitLab's operating income over the past four quarters was -$101 million, resulting in an operating margin of -11.8%, while the S&P 500 has an operating margin of 18.6% [13] - The net income for GitLab was -$9.7 million, indicating a net income margin of -1.1%, compared to 12.7% for the S&P 500 [13] Financial Stability - GitLab's balance sheet is robust, with no debt and a market capitalization of $8.0 billion, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0% [13] - Cash and cash equivalents amount to $1.2 billion, constituting 77.8% of total assets of $1.5 billion, compared to 7.0% for the S&P 500 [13] Market Resilience - GitLab's stock has underperformed the S&P 500 during recent downturns, with a decline of 79.5% from its peak of $130.88 on November 8, 2021, to $26.77 on May 4, 2023, while the S&P 500 experienced a peak-to-trough drop of 25.4% [14] - The stock has not yet returned to its pre-crisis high, with its highest value since then being $77.60 on February 11, 2024 [14] Overall Assessment - GitLab's overall operating and financial condition is assessed as moderate, with very strong growth, very weak profitability, very strong financial stability, and very weak downturn resilience [14]