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Disc Medicine (NasdaqGM:IRON) FY Conference Transcript
2025-11-10 22:30
Summary of Disc Medicine Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Disc Medicine - **Ticker Symbol**: IRON - **Public Trading Since**: End of 2022 - **Focus**: Development of therapies for blood disorders, particularly related to iron and heme metabolism [4][3] Key Programs and Developments Bitopertin - **Indication**: Erythropoietic protoporphyria (EPP) - **Regulatory Status**: Received a Commissioner's National Priority Voucher (CNPV), projecting potential approval by end of 2023 or early 2024 [2][5] - **Clinical Trials**: Completed a Phase 2 program with 100 participants; FDA aligned on an accelerated approval pathway using the toxic metabolite PPIX as a surrogate endpoint [5][6] - **Sales Force**: Planning to hire 24 sales representatives targeting 6,000 engaged patients identified through claims data [9][11] - **Market Size**: Estimated 14,000 diagnosed patients in the US, with a potential market size of $800 million to $1.4 billion [50] Competitive Landscape - **Existing Treatment**: Scenesse, which requires surgical implantation every two months, limiting its accessibility to about 3% of patients [12][14] - **Pricing Comparison**: Scenesse costs approximately $300,000 annually, while another treatment, Givlaari, is priced at $575,000 [18] Apollo Study - **Confirmatory Trial**: Enrolling 150 patients across the US, Europe, Canada, and Australia, expected to complete enrollment in about one year [21] - **Endpoints**: Co-primary endpoints include PPIX reduction and a measure of time in light at the end of the six-month trial [21] Other Assets 0974 - **Mechanism**: Monoclonal antibody targeting hemojuvelin to release iron for red blood cell production, primarily for myelofibrosis [22][23] - **Phase 1b Results**: Showed response rates of 50% in non-transfused patients, 80% in low transfusion burden patients, and 40% in high transfusion burden patients [26] - **Next Steps**: Interim results expected at ASH; aiming for a pivotal trial post-data analysis [37] Polycythemia Vera Program - **Goal**: Achieve iron restriction with a patient-friendly administration schedule [43] - **Phase 2 Study**: Aiming for a target hematocrit of 45% without phlebotomy, with a benchmark set against Rusfertide's 75% achievement [44][46] Financial Overview - **Cash Position**: Approximately $826 million post-stock offering, providing a runway until early 2029 without revenue from bitopertin [49] - **Investment Outlook**: Strong financial backing supports ongoing clinical trials and potential market entry [49] Additional Considerations - **Patient Engagement**: Focus on engaging the 6,000 identified patients initially, with broader outreach planned for the remaining diagnosed population [11] - **Regulatory Strategy**: Discussions with the FDA regarding the use of existing drug batches for potential early launch [6][8] This summary encapsulates the critical aspects of Disc Medicine's current status, focusing on their lead program, competitive landscape, financial health, and future plans.
Why Is Alnylam Pharmaceuticals Stock Trading Lower Thursday?
Benzinga· 2025-10-30 18:39
Core Viewpoint - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals reported strong third-quarter earnings, but the stock is trading lower due to unmet investor expectations regarding Amvuttra sales, despite significant year-over-year growth in revenue and earnings [1][2][7]. Financial Performance - The company reported adjusted earnings of $2.90 for Q3 2025, a significant improvement from a loss of $0.50 in the same quarter last year, surpassing analyst estimates of $0.75 [2]. - Quarterly sales reached $1.25 billion, representing a 149% increase year-over-year, exceeding the consensus estimate of $977.79 million [2]. Revenue Breakdown - Total net product revenues increased by 103% (99% at constant currency), primarily driven by Amvuttra's growth due to increased patient demand, particularly among patients with ATTR amyloidosis with cardiomyopathy in the U.S. [3]. - Amvuttra sales surged by 165% to $685.30 million, while Onpattro revenue decreased by 22% to $39.07 million. Oxlumo sales increased by 31% to $52.83 million, and Givlaari sales reached $73.87 million, up 4% year-over-year [4]. Guidance and Future Outlook - Alnylam raised its fiscal 2025 sales guidance from $3.3 billion-$3.55 billion to $3.6 billion-$3.8 billion, compared to the consensus of $3.53 billion [6]. - Total TTR net product revenues (Amvuttra and Onpattro) are now expected to be $2.48 billion-$2.53 billion, an increase from the previous guidance of $2.175 billion-$2.275 billion [6]. Market Reaction - The stock experienced an 8.05% decline, trading at $442.81, attributed to high investor expectations for Amvuttra sales, which fell short of the anticipated range of $695 million to $700 million [7].
Compared to Estimates, Alnylam (ALNY) Q3 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-10-30 15:30
Core Insights - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals reported $1.25 billion in revenue for Q3 2025, marking a year-over-year increase of 149.4% and a surprise of +22.25% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.02 billion [1] - The company achieved an EPS of $2.90, a significant improvement from -$0.50 a year ago, resulting in an EPS surprise of +73.65% compared to the consensus estimate of $1.67 [1] Revenue Breakdown - Product revenues netted $851.08 million, exceeding the nine-analyst average estimate of $803.35 million, reflecting a year-over-year change of +102.6% [4] - Royalty revenue was reported at $46.2 million, slightly below the estimated $46.52 million, but still showing a +97.6% change year-over-year [4] - Net Product Revenue for Oxlumo was $52.83 million, surpassing the average estimate of $50.45 million, with a year-over-year increase of +31.4% [4] - Givlaari's Net Product Revenue was $73.87 million, compared to the average estimate of $79.51 million, indicating a +4% year-over-year change [4] - Onpattro's Net Product Revenue was $39.08 million, below the average estimate of $47.48 million, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of -22.3% [4] - Amvuttra's Net Product Revenue reached $685.3 million, exceeding the estimated $637.51 million, with a remarkable year-over-year increase of +165% [4] Stock Performance - Alnylam's shares have returned +4.6% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +3.6% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term [3]
Exploring Analyst Estimates for Alnylam (ALNY) Q3 Earnings, Beyond Revenue and EPS
ZACKS· 2025-10-28 14:16
Core Insights - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.67 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 434% [1] - Anticipated revenues are projected to reach $1.02 billion, marking a 104% increase compared to the same quarter last year [1] Earnings Projections - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised upward by 43.6% over the past 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [2] - Changes in earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor reactions, with empirical studies showing a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price movements [3] Revenue Estimates - Analysts estimate 'Revenues- Product revenues, net' at $779.02 million, representing an 85.4% year-over-year change [5] - 'Revenues- Royalty revenue' is projected at $45.94 million, indicating a 96.5% increase from the prior-year quarter [5] Product Revenue Forecasts - 'Net Product Revenue- Givlaari' is expected to be $79.33 million, reflecting an 11.7% increase year-over-year [6] - 'Revenues- Net revenues from research collaborators' are forecasted to reach $177.25 million, showing a significant change of 208.9% from the previous year [6] - 'Net Product Revenue- Oxlumo' is projected at $50.27 million, indicating a 25% increase from the prior-year quarter [6] Additional Product Revenue Insights - 'Net Product Revenue- Onpattro' is expected to decline to $46.56 million, a decrease of 7.4% from the prior-year quarter [7] - 'Net Product Revenue- Amvuttra' is forecasted to reach $602.44 million, suggesting a 133% year-over-year increase [7] - 'Net revenues from research collaborators- Regeneron Pharmaceuticals' are estimated at $17.50 million, indicating a significant decline of 53.9% [7] - 'Net revenues from research collaborators- Roche' are projected at $156.00 million, reflecting an impressive increase of 857.7% year-over-year [8] Stock Performance - Over the past month, Alnylam shares have returned +7%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +3.6% change [8] - Currently, ALNY holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting its performance may align with the overall market in the near future [8]
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALNY) Overview: A Deep Dive into Financials and Developments
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-10-04 02:00
Core Insights - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals is a leader in RNA interference (RNAi) therapeutics, focusing on treatments for rare diseases and cardiovascular conditions [1][6] - The company's revenue growth is driven by a diverse product lineup, including key drugs like Amvuttra, Givlaari, and Oxlumo [1][6] - Alnylam is conducting the ZENITH global Phase 3 trial for zilebesiran to advance its cardiovascular research [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Alnylam's rare disease drugs generated $236.8 million in revenues, marking a 16% increase from the previous year [4] - The company has a negative price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of -185.46 and a high debt-to-equity ratio of 5.18, indicating financial challenges [4][6] - Despite these challenges, Alnylam's current ratio of 2.80 suggests a strong ability to cover short-term liabilities [5][6] Product Development - Amvuttra has received approval in the U.S. and EU for treating polyneuropathy of hereditary transthyretin-mediated (hATTR) amyloidosis and ATTR amyloidosis with cardiomyopathy (ATTR-CM) [3] - The success of Amvuttra is attributed to new patient initiations and transitions from Onpattro, Alnylam's first FDA-approved drug for hATTR amyloidosis [3]
Alnylam's Amvuttra Makes Powerful Entrance, Eyes First-Line Dominance
Benzinga· 2025-08-01 18:28
Core Viewpoint - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals reported strong second-quarter earnings and raised its 2025 sales guidance, indicating positive momentum in its product launches and overall financial performance [1][3]. Financial Performance - The company reported adjusted earnings of 32 cents for Q2 2025, a decrease from 56 cents year-over-year, but significantly better than analysts' expectations of a loss of 79 cents [1]. - Quarterly sales reached $773.69 million, reflecting a 17% year-over-year increase and surpassing the consensus estimate of $638.55 million [1]. Product Revenue - Global net product revenues for Amvuttra and Onpattro were $492 million and $53 million, respectively, while Givlaari and Oxlumo generated $81 million and $47 million in revenue for the same quarter [2]. - The launch of Amvuttra for ATTR-CM has been particularly successful, with approximately 1,400 patients treated by June 30, 2025, contributing to an estimated $150 million increase in revenue [4]. Guidance and Analyst Outlook - Alnylam raised its fiscal 2025 sales guidance from $2.7 billion-$3 billion to $3.3 billion-$3.55 billion, exceeding the consensus of $2.89 billion [3]. - Analysts from Chardan Research and William Blair expressed positive outlooks, with Chardan highlighting the strong start of Amvuttra's launch [3][6]. Analyst Ratings and Price Forecasts - Various analysts have upgraded their price forecasts for Alnylam, with Chardan raising its target from $325 to $400, and UBS increasing its forecast from $403 to $550 [5][8]. - Morgan Stanley maintained an Equal-Weight rating while increasing its price forecast from $312 to $405, and Piper Sandler raised its target from $304 to $449 [7].
ALNY Q2 Earnings Top Estimates on Higher Amvuttra Revenues, Stock Up
ZACKS· 2025-08-01 16:51
Core Insights - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals reported second-quarter 2025 earnings of $0.32 per share, significantly surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.03, primarily due to increased revenues from its lead drug, Amvuttra [1][11] - Total revenues for the quarter reached $773.7 million, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $673 million, and reflecting a 17% year-over-year increase [2] - The company's net product revenues were $672.2 million, a 64% increase year-over-year, driven by strong demand for Amvuttra, Givlaari, and Oxlumo [3] Revenue Breakdown - Alnylam's net product revenues from Amvuttra amounted to $492 million, representing a 114% increase year-over-year, aided by expanded label use and patient switches from Onpattro [8][11] - Givlaari generated sales of $80.8 million, a 30% year-over-year increase, while Oxlumo recorded revenues of $46.9 million, up 15% year-over-year [9] - Net revenues from collaborators were $61.5 million, down 73% from the previous year, primarily due to a significant milestone payment received in the prior quarter [4] Financial Guidance - Alnylam raised its 2025 product revenue guidance to a range of $2.65 billion to $2.8 billion, up from the previous range of $2.05 billion to $2.25 billion [11][16] - The guidance for net revenues from collaborations and royalties remains unchanged at $650 million to $750 million [16] Research and Development - Adjusted R&D expenses increased by 11% year-over-year to $274.1 million, reflecting costs associated with new studies in partnership with Roche [13] - Adjusted SG&A expenses rose by 26% year-over-year to $261.2 million, driven by higher employee compensation and marketing investments related to Amvuttra [14] Cash Position - As of June 30, 2025, Alnylam's cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities totaled $2.86 billion, an increase from $2.63 billion as of March 31, 2025, primarily due to net cash inflows from operating activities [15]
Alnylam (ALNY) Q2 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-07-31 15:31
Core Insights - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals reported a revenue of $773.69 million for the quarter ended June 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 17.3% and a surprise of +14.96% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $673 million [1] - The company's EPS was $0.32, down from $0.56 in the same quarter last year, with an EPS surprise of +1166.67% compared to the consensus estimate of -$0.03 [1] Revenue Breakdown - Product revenues were $672.21 million, exceeding the average estimate of $540.14 million by analysts, representing a year-over-year increase of +63.9% [4] - Royalty revenue reached $39.98 million, surpassing the average estimate of $32.74 million, with a year-over-year change of +78.5% [4] - Net Product Revenue from Oxlumo was $46.87 million, slightly above the estimated $46.64 million, marking a +15.4% change year over year [4] - Net Product Revenue from Givlaari was $80.85 million, exceeding the average estimate of $72.59 million, reflecting a +30.1% year-over-year increase [4] - Net Product Revenue from Amvuttra was $491.95 million, significantly higher than the estimated $365.41 million, showing a +113.8% change compared to the previous year [4] - Net Product Revenue from Onpattro was $52.24 million, below the average estimate of $45.89 million, indicating a -32.4% year-over-year decline [4] Research Collaborator Revenues - Net revenues from research collaborators totaled $61.5 million, falling short of the average estimate of $90.07 million, representing a -73% change year over year [4] - Other net revenues from research collaborators were $10.69 million, exceeding the estimated $3 million, with a remarkable +872.4% change compared to the previous year [4] - Net revenues from Regeneron Pharmaceuticals were $32.54 million, significantly lower than the estimated $17.5 million, reflecting an -84.3% change year over year [4] - Net revenues from Roche were $18.27 million, surpassing the average estimate of $12 million, with a +10.7% year-over-year change [4] Stock Performance - Alnylam's shares returned +3% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +2.7% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]
Alnylam Wins EC Nod for Label Expansion of Amvuttra for ATTR-CM
ZACKS· 2025-06-10 14:11
Core Insights - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals has received European Commission approval for the label expansion of its RNAi therapeutic Amvuttra to treat wild-type or hereditary transthyretin amyloidosis in adult patients with cardiomyopathy [1][9] - Year-to-date, Alnylam's stock has increased by 29.1%, significantly outperforming the industry, which has seen a decline of 0.9% [2] Approval Details - The European Commission's approval was based on positive results from the late-stage HELIOS-B study, where Amvuttra met all 10 pre-specified primary and secondary endpoints [3][9] - The HELIOS-B trial demonstrated statistically significant reductions in all-cause mortality and recurrent cardiovascular events, along with major improvements in functional capacity, health status, and heart failure symptoms [4][9] Competitive Advantage - Amvuttra is administered quarterly via subcutaneous injection, providing an advantage over existing therapies that require daily oral dosing [5] - The drug's novel RNAi mechanism allows for rapid knockdown of transthyretin (TTR), addressing the disease at its source [6] Market Impact - The approval in the EU follows similar approvals in the United States and Brazil, expanding Amvuttra's global footprint [6] - Alnylam reported better-than-expected first-quarter 2025 results, with revenue growth driven by increasing Amvuttra sales due to heightened patient demand [10][11]