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INTC Plunges 35% in the Past Year: Should You Dump the Stock?
ZACKSยท 2025-06-09 15:31
Core Insights - Intel Corporation (INTC) has experienced a significant decline of 35.1% over the past year, contrasting with the industry's growth of 12.3%, and lagging behind competitors like Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) and NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) [1][6] - The company's struggles are largely due to financial difficulties and operational challenges, particularly in the AI chip sector, where it has fallen behind NVIDIA's innovations [4][6] Financial Performance - Intel's stock performance has been adversely affected by high wafer costs, pricing pressures, and a challenging market environment, particularly in China, which accounted for over 29% of its total revenues in 2024 [8][9] - Earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 have been significantly reduced, with a 40.8% drop for 2025 to $0.29 and a 31.2% decline for 2026 to $0.77, indicating bearish sentiment [10][11] Competitive Landscape - The rise of over-the-top service providers and aggressive competition in the core business are expected to intensify, impacting Intel's ability to attract and retain customers [5][9] - Intel's reliance on the Chinese market poses risks due to potential market restrictions and increased competition from domestic chipmakers as China seeks self-sufficiency in critical industries [8][9] Strategic Initiatives - Intel is investing in expanding its manufacturing capacity as part of its IDM 2.0 strategy, focusing on operational efficiency and agility to regain market leadership [14][15] - The company has received $7.86 billion in funding from the U.S. Department of Commerce to support semiconductor manufacturing projects, which may drive innovation and growth [15] Product Development - Intel's Xeon 6 processors are designed to support large AI workloads and are positioned as industry-leading solutions for AI processing, aiming to improve performance and reduce costs [14][16] - Despite recent product launches, there are concerns that these efforts may be insufficient to address the competitive challenges faced by Intel [18]