Core Insights - Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) has seen a significant stock increase of 30.6% in the past month, outperforming the Zacks Computer-Integrated Systems industry, the Zacks Computer & Technology sector, and the S&P 500, which fell by 0.7%, 4%, and 1.9% respectively [2][9] - The company has outperformed competitors such as Micron Technology (MU) and Silicon Motion Technology (SIMO), which rose by 13.5% and 20.8% respectively, as well as Western Digital Corporation (WDC), which increased by 27.1% [3] Key Catalysts Fueling Growth - The growth of Seagate is driven by booming data storage demand, strong earnings, and margins, particularly in data center markets [5] - Fiscal second-quarter revenues reached $2.83 billion, marking a 22% year-over-year increase, with record margins of 42.2% attributed to high-capacity nearline demand [9][11] - Seagate's strategy focuses on balancing performance with cost efficiency, aligning with the long-term growth of AI-generated data, which is expected to sustain demand [6] Product and Technology Developments - Seagate's HAMR (Heat-Assisted Magnetic Recording) technology is seen as a key enabler for AI and machine learning-driven demand for cost-efficient mass-capacity storage [7] - The Mozaic 3 HAMR drives are now qualified with major U.S. cloud providers, with global qualification expected by the first half of 2026 [7] - Quarterly HAMR shipments have exceeded 1.5 million units, supporting a roadmap toward achieving 10TB-per-disk areal density [7] Financial Performance and Projections - Data center revenue rose by 28% year-over-year to $2.2 billion, constituting 79% of total sales, driven by cloud demand and a recovering enterprise OEM market [13] - The edge IoT segment generated $601 million, accounting for 21% of revenue, with a 2% year-over-year increase [14] - For the fiscal third quarter, Seagate expects revenues of approximately $2.9 billion, indicating a 34% year-over-year improvement [14] Estimate Revisions and Valuation - Earnings estimates for fiscal 2026 have increased by 11.8% to $12.63, while estimates for fiscal 2027 have risen by 29.7% to $18.89 [18] - The company's shares currently trade at a price/earnings ratio of 26.97 for forward earnings, compared to 16.66 for the industry [19] Investment Considerations - Seagate's recent stock rally reflects strong earnings momentum and growing investor confidence in data storage, particularly in AI infrastructure [20][21] - The company is positioned to create long-term value for customers and shareholders, with expectations of sequential revenue and profit growth through 2026 [15]

On capacity, Shihab highlighted rapid ramps of high-capacity drives and said the company’s HAMR drives are already “in our customers’ hands” for qualification. He said WD announced one customer qualifying HAMR drives the prior week and stated at the event that WD now has a second customer qualifying HAMR.Shihab framed WD’s product strategy around what he said customers consistently request: capacity at scale, reliability, cost efficiency, smooth technology transitions without software disruption, better per ...

Core Insights - The company is focusing on enhancing its internal laser capabilities and expanding UltraSMR adoption through new JBOD platforms, which provide higher storage density and improved performance for customers [1][2] - There is a strong demand for higher-density storage solutions driven by the growth of AI and cloud technologies, with the company working closely with hyperscale customers to meet their needs [3][4] - The company has secured long-term agreements with key customers, indicating strong trust and confidence in its ability to meet exabyte storage requirements [5][19] Financial Performance - In Q2 fiscal 2026, the company reported revenue of $3 billion, a 25% increase year-over-year, and earnings per share of $2.13, exceeding guidance [7][8] - Cloud revenue accounted for 89% of total revenue, reaching $2.7 billion, up 28% year-over-year, while client and consumer segments also showed growth [8] - Gross margin improved to 46.1%, reflecting a shift towards higher capacity drives and effective cost control [8][9] Product Development and Innovation - The company shipped over 3.5 million units of its latest ePMR products, with capacities up to 32 terabytes, demonstrating strong customer adoption [2][7] - The qualification of HAMR and next-generation ePMR products is underway, with expectations for these innovations to enhance capacity and reduce costs [6][30] - The company is also investing in quantum hardware design through a partnership with Qolab, aiming to advance nanofabrication processes [6] Customer Engagement and Market Trends - The company has established robust commercial agreements with top customers, indicating a strategic focus on long-term relationships and predictable pricing [5][19] - The demand for storage solutions is expected to grow significantly as AI capabilities expand, with the company positioned to benefit from this trend [3][36] - The mix of UltraSMR drives is increasing, which is beneficial for both customer needs and the company's profitability [25][26] Future Outlook - The company anticipates revenue of approximately $3.2 billion for Q3 fiscal 2026, reflecting a year-over-year growth of around 40% [11] - Gross margin is expected to be between 47% and 48%, with operating expenses projected to remain stable [11][12] - The company is committed to continuing its disciplined approach to free cash flow and capital returns, aiming for long-term value creation for shareholders [12]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for the second quarter of fiscal 2026 was $3 billion, up 25% year-over-year, driven by strong demand for Nearline drives [12] - Earnings per share (EPS) was $2.13, an increase of 78% year-over-year, exceeding guidance [15] - Gross margin improved to 46.1%, up 770 basis points year-over-year and 220 basis points sequentially [13][14] - Operating income was slightly above $1 billion, translating into an operating margin of 33.8% [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cloud segment represented 89% of total revenue at $2.7 billion, up 28% year-over-year [13] - Client segment accounted for 6% of total revenue at $176 million, up 26% year-over-year [13] - Consumer segment represented 5% of revenue at $168 million, down 3% year-over-year [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company shipped over 3.5 million units of its latest generation ePMR products, offering capacities up to 32 TB [12][8] - The company delivered 215 exabytes (EB) to customers, up 22% year-over-year [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on AI and cloud storage solutions, emphasizing high-capacity drives and partnerships with hyperscale customers [7][9] - A strategic investment in Qolab was announced to advance next-generation nanofabrication processes [10] - The company is hosting an innovation day to share updated roadmaps for HAMR and ePMR products [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in continued demand for storage solutions driven by AI and cloud growth [5][6] - The company anticipates revenue for Q3 fiscal 2026 to be around $3.2 billion, reflecting approximately 40% year-over-year growth [17] - Management highlighted a stable pricing environment and ongoing cost reductions, projecting further gross margin expansion [22][23] Other Important Information - The company returned $1.4 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends since the launch of its capital return program [16] - The board approved a quarterly cash dividend of $12.50 per share, payable on March 18, 2026 [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Gross margin guidance and durability of incremental margin - Management confirmed a gross margin of 46.1% and guidance of 47%-48%, with incremental margins around 75% [20][22] Question: Purchase orders and pricing strategy - Management indicated strong demand and stable pricing, with long-term agreements in place with top customers [27][28] Question: Customer engagement and contracts - The company has developed a customer-centric approach, resulting in longer-term contracts and improved relationships with hyperscale customers [34] Question: UltraSMR mix and gross margins - Management noted an increasing mix of UltraSMR drives, which are beneficial for both customers and profitability [42][43] Question: Yields and reliability of products - Yields on ePMR products are in the low 90s%, with positive feedback on reliability from customers [46] Question: HAMR roadmap and investments - The company has pulled in the HAMR qualification timeline and expects it to be neutral to accretive to gross margins once ramped [55][77] Question: Revenue per exabyte and mix changes - Revenue per exabyte is driven by strong demand from the cloud segment, with stable pricing trends [81] Question: Cost reductions and future expectations - Current cost reductions are around 10% year-over-year, with potential for further reductions as higher capacity drives are adopted [87]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for the second quarter of fiscal 2026 was $3 billion, up 25% year-over-year, driven by strong demand for Nearline drives [12] - Earnings per share (EPS) was $2.13, an increase of 78% year-over-year [15] - Gross margin improved to 46.1%, up 770 basis points year-over-year and 220 basis points sequentially [13][14] - Operating income was slightly above $1 billion, translating into an operating margin of 33.8% [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cloud segment represented 89% of total revenue at $2.7 billion, up 28% year-over-year [13] - Client segment accounted for 6% of total revenue at $176 million, up 26% year-over-year [13] - Consumer segment represented 5% of revenue at $168 million, down 3% year-over-year [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company shipped over 3.5 million units of its latest generation ePMR products, offering capacities up to 32 TB [12][8] - The company delivered 215 exabytes (EB) to customers, up 22% year-over-year [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on AI and cloud storage solutions, emphasizing higher density storage to meet growing demand [7][9] - Strategic investments include a partnership with Qolab to advance next-generation nanofabrication processes [10] - The company is hosting an Innovation Day to share updated roadmaps for HAMR and ePMR products [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in continued demand for storage solutions driven by AI and cloud growth [5][6] - The company anticipates revenue for Q3 fiscal 2026 to be $3.2 billion, reflecting approximately 40% year-over-year growth [17] - Management expects gross margin to be between 47%-48% in the next quarter [17] Other Important Information - The company returned $1.4 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends since the launch of its capital return program [16] - The board approved a quarterly cash dividend of $12.50 per share, payable on March 18, 2026 [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Gross margin durability and cost curve - Management indicated that the gross margin is expected to maintain a high incremental margin flow-through, with cost per terabyte decreasing by about 10% year-over-year [19][20][22] Question: Purchase orders and pricing strategy - Management confirmed that they have firm purchase orders with top customers through 2026 and established long-term agreements (LTAs) for 2027 and 2028, reflecting the value delivered to customers [26][27] Question: Customer engagement and contracts - The company has developed a customer-centric approach, deepening relationships with hyperscale customers, resulting in longer-term contracts [34][35] Question: UltraSMR mix and gross margins - The UltraSMR mix has crossed 50% and is expected to increase, positively impacting gross margins due to its software-based nature [41][43] Question: Yields and reliability - Yields on ePMR products are in the low 90s%, with good feedback on reliability, contributing to cost reductions as yields improve [46] Question: HAMR roadmap and customer interest - The company has pulled in the HAMR qualification timeline and is starting qualifications with multiple hyperscale customers [64][74] Question: Investments related to HAMR - Ongoing investments in HAMR are expected to be neutral to accretive to gross margins once ramped up [55][77] Question: Revenue per exabyte and mix changes - Revenue per exabyte is driven by strong demand from the cloud segment, with stable pricing trends [80][82] Question: Cost reductions and future expectations - Current cost reductions are about 10% year-over-year, with potential for increases as higher capacity drives are adopted [86]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for Q2 2026 was $3 billion, up 25% year-over-year, driven by strong demand for Nearline drives [10] - Earnings per share (EPS) was $2.13, an increase of 78% year-over-year [12] - Gross margin improved to 46.1%, up 770 basis points year-over-year and 220 basis points sequentially [11] - Operating income was slightly above $1 billion, translating into an operating margin of 33.8% [11] - Operating cash flow for the quarter was $745 million, with capital expenditures of $92 million, resulting in free cash flow of $653 million [12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cloud segment represented 89% of total revenue at $2.7 billion, up 28% year-over-year [11] - Client segment accounted for 6% of total revenue at $176 million, up 26% year-over-year [11] - Consumer segment represented 5% of revenue at $168 million, down 3% year-over-year [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company shipped over 3.5 million units of its latest generation ePMR products, offering capacities up to 32 TB [10][11] - The demand for higher capacity storage solutions is driven by the growth of AI and cloud technologies [5][6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on increasing drive areal density and accelerating HAMR and ePMR roadmaps to meet customer demands [5][6] - A strategic investment in Qolab was announced to advance next-generation nanofabrication processes [9] - The company is hosting an innovation day to share updated roadmaps for HAMR and ePMR products [9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ongoing demand for storage solutions driven by AI and cloud growth [4][5] - The company anticipates revenue for Q3 2026 to be $3.2 billion, reflecting approximately 40% year-over-year growth [14] - Gross margin is expected to be between 47%-48% for the next quarter [14] Other Important Information - The company returned $1.4 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends since the launch of its capital return program [13] - A quarterly cash dividend of $12.50 per share was approved, payable on March 18, 2026 [13] Q&A Session Summary Question: Gross margin guidance and durability of incremental margin - Management confirmed a stable pricing environment and effective cost control, leading to an expected gross margin of 47%-48% [16][18] Question: Purchase orders and pricing strategy - Management highlighted the value delivered to customers and the stable pricing environment, allowing for better economics in long-term agreements [24][26] Question: Customer engagement and contracts - The company has developed a customer-centric approach, resulting in longer-term contracts and improved relationships with hyperscale customers [31][33] Question: UltraSMR mix and gross margins - The UltraSMR mix has crossed 50% and is expected to increase, positively impacting gross margins due to its software-based nature [38][40] Question: Yields and reliability of ePMR products - Yields on ePMR products are in the low 90s%, with positive feedback on reliability from customers [44] Question: HAMR roadmap and investments - The qualification process for HAMR has been pulled forward, with expectations of neutral to accretive gross margins once ramped [53][70] Question: Revenue per exabyte and mix changes - Revenue per exabyte is driven by strong demand from cloud customers, with stable pricing contributing to growth [78]

Core Viewpoint - Western Digital Corporation (WDC) is expected to report second-quarter fiscal 2026 results on January 29, with earnings projected to rise by 9.6% year-over-year, while revenues are anticipated to decline by 31% compared to the prior year [2][3]. Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is $1.94, with management projecting non-GAAP earnings of $1.88 (+/- 15 cents) [2][3]. - Revenue estimates are pegged at $2.95 billion, with a mid-point guidance of $2.9 billion (+/- $100 million), indicating a 20% year-over-year growth [3][8]. - WDC has consistently surpassed earnings estimates in the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 9.18% [3][4]. Earnings Expectations - WDC has an Earnings ESP of +1.93% and a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a high probability of an earnings beat [5][6]. - The company expects non-GAAP gross margin to be between 44% and 45%, with operating expenses projected to decline to $365 million–$375 million [7][8]. Growth Drivers - WDC's focus on innovation and operational discipline positions it well to benefit from the AI-driven increase in data creation and storage demand [6][9]. - The company is making progress on Heat-Assisted Magnetic Recording (HAMR) technology, with qualifications expected to begin with hyperscale customers in 2026 [9][10]. - Partnerships, such as with Qolab for advanced nanofabrication technologies, are aimed at enhancing product performance and scalability [10]. Market Position - WDC's shares have increased by 249.1% over the past six months, outperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry, which rose by 97.5% [12]. - The company has outperformed competitors like Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) and NetApp, Inc. (NTAP) during the same period [13]. Valuation Metrics - WDC's shares currently trade at a price/earnings ratio of 25.59, compared to the industry average of 19.01 [14][17]. Investment Outlook - The demand for storage driven by AI and cloud customers is expected to sustain growth, with strong nearline high-capacity drive demand acting as a tailwind for earnings [18][19].

Core Insights - Western Digital Corporation (WDC) is strengthening its competitive position through deepening collaborations with hyperscaler customers, driven by the accelerating growth of AI-generated data [1][9] - The company is a leading provider of mass capacity storage solutions, with increasing demand for high-capacity, cost-efficient storage as industries adopt multimodal large language models and agentic AI [1] Group 1: Customer Demand and Product Development - WDC has gained significant visibility into customer demand, with a transition to higher-capacity drives, shipping over 2.2 million units of its latest ePMR products in the September quarter, including drives offering up to 26TB CMR and 32TB UltraSMR [2][9] - All top seven customers have placed orders for WDC's next-generation HAMR drives through the first half of 2026, with one major customer securing supply for all of 2027 [3][9] - The company is on track to begin qualification of HAMR drives with one hyperscale customer in the first half of 2026, potentially expanding to three customers by year-end, positioning for volume production ramp-up in early 2027 [4] Group 2: Financial Performance and Projections - WDC anticipates ongoing revenue growth supported by strong data center demand, with non-GAAP revenues expected to reach $2.9 billion (+/- $100 million) for the second quarter of fiscal 2026, representing a 20% year-over-year increase [5] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for WDC's earnings for fiscal 2026 has been revised upwards, indicating positive sentiment among analysts [18] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - WDC faces intense competition from Seagate Technology Holdings Plc and other flash-based alternatives, with Seagate also experiencing strong demand for its Mozaic drives, which are the only products in the industry offering 3 terabytes per disk [6][10] - Pure Storage is another significant player in the data storage space, with increasing adoption of flash storage and strong growth prospects in emerging data-driven markets [12][13] Group 4: Stock Performance and Valuation - WDC's shares have increased by 24.3% over the past month, slightly underperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry's growth of 25.2% [14] - The company's shares are currently trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 23.25X, higher than the industry's 21.7X [15]

Core Insights - Western Digital Corporation's HDD business is experiencing significant revenue growth driven by a shift towards higher-capacity drives and increasing exabyte demand from large-scale customers [2][3] - The company is focused on advancing HDD technology to enhance capacity, performance, energy efficiency, and total cost of ownership for customers [2] Revenue Growth and Market Demand - In the fiscal first quarter, Western Digital shipped 204 exabytes of storage, marking a 23% year-over-year increase, largely due to the rising adoption of AI and data-intensive workloads [3] - The demand for higher-capacity HDDs is evident, with over 2.2 million units of ePMR-based products shipped in the September quarter [3] Technological Advancements - Western Digital is progressing with its next-generation HAMR drives, with all top seven customers placing orders through the first half of 2026, indicating strong customer confidence [4] - The qualification process for HAMR technology is aimed at ensuring reliability and performance, with volume production expected to ramp up in the first half of 2027 [5] Future Outlook - Management anticipates ongoing revenue growth in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, projecting non-GAAP revenues of $2.9 billion, which represents a 20% increase year-over-year [7] - The proliferation of generative AI is expected to drive a refresh cycle in client and consumer devices, boosting long-term content growth across various sectors [6] Competitive Landscape - Competitors like Pure Storage are also experiencing growth, with a raised fiscal 2026 revenue outlook and strong sales momentum in enterprise storage [8][9] - Micron Technology is benefiting from the expanding AI-driven memory and storage markets, with anticipated revenues of $18.7 billion for the fiscal second quarter [11] Stock Performance and Valuation - Over the past three months, Western Digital's shares have increased by 62.7%, outperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry's growth of 23.8% [12] - The forward price/earnings ratio for Western Digital is currently at 20.36X, slightly above the industry's 19.68X [14] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Western Digital's earnings for fiscal 2026 has been revised up by 0.4% to $7.66 [15]

Industry Overview - The computer storage devices industry is expected to benefit from growth in cloud computing, IoT, connected devices, virtual reality, and AI, leading to increased demand for robust data storage solutions [1] - Companies are leveraging AI for IT Operations (AIOps) and machine learning to optimize storage solutions, while virtualization technologies are being used to streamline data storage [2] Company Insights Western Digital Corp. (WDC) - WDC has seen strong performance driven by cloud and AI demand, with cloud end market revenue increasing by 31% in the last quarter, accounting for 89% of total revenue [6] - The company has doubled shipments of ePMR products and is set to ramp up HAMR drives by the first half of 2027 [6] - WDC anticipates a client refresh cycle due to generative AI, boosting storage demand across various consumer electronics [7] - Expected revenue for fiscal Q2 2026 is $2.9 billion, a 20% increase, driven by data center demand [9] - Current revenue and earnings growth rates are projected at -12.1% and 54.8%, respectively, for the current year [10] Teradata Corp. (TDC) - TDC is expected to benefit from improved ARR growth, cost savings, and productivity measures, which will enhance free cash flow [11] - The company is well-positioned to manage enterprise data for AI systems, with innovative products like QueryGrid and ClearScape Analytics driving growth [12][14] - Recent acquisitions, such as Stemma, enhance TDC's analytics capabilities [13] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for next year are -0.6% and 3.3%, respectively [14] Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) - STX is experiencing strong demand from the cloud and high-capacity HAMR drive adoption, with significant revenue generated from data centers [15] - The company has its high-capacity nearline production booked through 2026, with revenue projections of $2.7 billion for fiscal Q2 2026, a 16% year-over-year increase [16][19] - Advancements in aerial density are a key strength for STX, providing a competitive advantage in the hard drive industry [17] - STX has formed an alliance with Acronis to offer secure storage solutions for AI-driven data growth [18]